Emerging Risks

Emerging Risks

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Mamdani Is a Warning for Western Civilization
Mamdani Is a Warning for Western Civilization
Maybe the Democrats will wake up and go back to the days of Thomas Phillip “Tip” O’Neill and Dick Gephardt. I didn’t think much of them back then, but boy, wouldn’t it be great if Democrats loved America again?
·dailysignal.com·
Mamdani Is a Warning for Western Civilization
Jim Ferguson on X: "https://t.co/8bst9RWRdx ALERT:🚨BRITAIN ON THE BRINK: THIS WILL TURN VIOLENT Professor David Betz — 25 years in War Studies at King’s College London — now says the UK has crossed the threshold. His words are razor-sharp: “We are past the point at which normal politics can https://t.co/01MOfTns50" / X
Jim Ferguson on X: "https://t.co/8bst9RWRdx ALERT:🚨BRITAIN ON THE BRINK: THIS WILL TURN VIOLENT Professor David Betz — 25 years in War Studies at King’s College London — now says the UK has crossed the threshold. His words are razor-sharp: “We are past the point at which normal politics can https://t.co/01MOfTns50" / X
ALERT:🚨BRITAIN ON THE BRINK: THIS WILL TURN VIOLENT Professor David Betz — 25 years in War Studies at King’s College London — now says the UK has crossed the threshold. His words are razor-sharp: “We are past the point at which normal politics can
·x.com·
Jim Ferguson on X: "https://t.co/8bst9RWRdx ALERT:🚨BRITAIN ON THE BRINK: THIS WILL TURN VIOLENT Professor David Betz — 25 years in War Studies at King’s College London — now says the UK has crossed the threshold. His words are razor-sharp: “We are past the point at which normal politics can https://t.co/01MOfTns50" / X
Nuclear Deterrence Reconsidered: The Emerging Threat of Limited Nuclear Warfare - Military Strategy Magazine
Nuclear Deterrence Reconsidered: The Emerging Threat of Limited Nuclear Warfare - Military Strategy Magazine
This article analyzes the concept of limited nuclear war (LNW) and argues that the likelihood of states adopting an LNW strategy is increasing, driven by shifting global power dynamics and technological advancements. Under certain conditions, the use of nuclear weapons could achieve political objectives without escalating into full-scale nuclear war, something that Cold War dynamics largely precluded.
·militarystrategymagazine.com·
Nuclear Deterrence Reconsidered: The Emerging Threat of Limited Nuclear Warfare - Military Strategy Magazine
Open Minded Approach on X: "Why the elites are building bunkers before 2035 Dr. John L. Casey, former NASA consultant and White House science advisor, warned years ago about a coming Grand Solar Minimum. Scientists expect the Sun to enter its quiet phase between 2030 and 2040, and combined with a weakened https://t.co/nMVsPCO54i" / X
Open Minded Approach on X: "Why the elites are building bunkers before 2035 Dr. John L. Casey, former NASA consultant and White House science advisor, warned years ago about a coming Grand Solar Minimum. Scientists expect the Sun to enter its quiet phase between 2030 and 2040, and combined with a weakened https://t.co/nMVsPCO54i" / X
Dr. John L. Casey, former NASA consultant and White House science advisor, warned years ago about a coming Grand Solar Minimum. Scientists expect the Sun to enter its quiet phase between 2030 and 2040, and combined with a weakened
·x.com·
Open Minded Approach on X: "Why the elites are building bunkers before 2035 Dr. John L. Casey, former NASA consultant and White House science advisor, warned years ago about a coming Grand Solar Minimum. Scientists expect the Sun to enter its quiet phase between 2030 and 2040, and combined with a weakened https://t.co/nMVsPCO54i" / X
Israeli Hezbollah Strikes: Toward a New Conflict?
Israeli Hezbollah Strikes: Toward a New Conflict?
The Israel-Lebanon ceasefire agreement continues to rack up violations, fueling fears of a new regional conflict in the making.
·geopoliticalmonitor.com·
Israeli Hezbollah Strikes: Toward a New Conflict?
China’s Closing Window: Strategic Compression and the Risk of Crisis - Foreign Policy Research Institute
China’s Closing Window: Strategic Compression and the Risk of Crisis - Foreign Policy Research Institute
For China, compression arises from converging demographic decline, economic stagnation, and political rigidity. These forces produce a closing window in which Beijing perceives a diminishing opportunity to achieve its central project: the “national rejuvenation” with the main marker of absorbing Taiwan.
·fpri.org·
China’s Closing Window: Strategic Compression and the Risk of Crisis - Foreign Policy Research Institute
A Global Weimar? | Grok / X
A Global Weimar? | Grok / X

Robert Kaplan’s latest book describes a world breaking on lines both old and new.

·x.com·
A Global Weimar? | Grok / X
Putin Is Losing the Ukraine War: Escalation Is Coming
Putin Is Losing the Ukraine War: Escalation Is Coming
Key Points and Summary – Vladimir Putin is losing the war in Ukraine; the West must prepare for escalation. Russia’s recent summer offensive failed militarily, resulting in massive casualties for little gain. -More critically, Ukraine’s long-range drone strikes are crippling Russia’s economy by taking a huge portion of its oil refining capacity offline, leading to […]
·nationalsecurityjournal.org·
Putin Is Losing the Ukraine War: Escalation Is Coming
Grok / X
Grok / X
Key Points from "China’s Closing Window: Strategic Compression and the Risk of Crisis" by Ryan Agee
·x.com·
Grok / X
China’s Closing Window: Strategic Compression and the Risk of Crisis
China’s Closing Window: Strategic Compression and the Risk of Crisis
When Beijing dispatched a relatively unknown rear admiral from its National Defense University to the 2025 Shangri-La Dialogue, bypassing its own defense minister and forfeiting its plenary address, i
·realcleardefense.com·
China’s Closing Window: Strategic Compression and the Risk of Crisis
5 Ways a U.S.-China War Could Breakout In 2025
5 Ways a U.S.-China War Could Breakout In 2025
Key Points and Summary – A U.S.–China war would likely begin not with a declaration, but with a chain of miscalculations. -Five flashpoints stand out: a South China Sea confrontation that spirals; a Taiwan crisis that jumps from coercion to blockade or strikes; a clash around Japan’s Senkaku Islands; an unsafe aerial intercept that echoes […]
·nationalsecurityjournal.org·
5 Ways a U.S.-China War Could Breakout In 2025