Emerging Risks

archived 3 Oct 2022 19:07:01 UTC

Mancur Olson’s The Rise and Decline of Nations shows how small groups can undermine broader prosperity.

God forbid, if Russia uses a nuclear weapon, we may look back and wonder if we responded to Putin’s rhetoric with sufficient urgency at this moment.

There is a very real concern that the spread of a virus that originated with human activity—mass poultry farming—is now coming around to bite back.

Russian nuclear targeting reflects both doctrine and capabilities. Russia has the lowest nuclear weapons use threshold of the major nuclear weapons states. President Vladimir Putin’s June 2020 d

Officials say almost eight million people need assistance and more than one million are internally displaced

In a nuclear war, "there will be no security for anyone, not for Ukraine, and not for the world," the Global Times wrote in an editorial on Sunday.

Lab tests suggest the Khosta-2 virus thrives in human cells and is resistant to current coronavirus vaccines. We need better jabs to fight new animal viruses.

The search for the perpetrators has begun following Monday's sabotage attack on the Nord Stream pipelines. Which countries could have been behind it, and how secure is Europe's critical infrastructure at the bottom of the sea?

Putin is "losing" in Ukraine and faces an "irreversible" situation, retired Army general and former CIA chief David Petraeus said Sunday

How long will Beijing deny that it has a major financial and economic crisis on its hands?

archived 1 Oct 2022 14:58:40 UTC

archived 3 Oct 2022 07:06:56 UTC

Former CIA director and retired army general says Moscow’s leader is ‘desperate’ and ‘battlefield reality he faces is irreversible’

The Chinese dictator is reversing the reforms of his predecessors

Russian plans for a so-called “tactical nuclear strike” in Ukraine could quickly spiral out of control.

In a gathering Cold War atmosphere, American officials are gaming out responses should Russia resort to battlefield nuclear weapons.

Chechen leader and Putin ally Ramzan Kadyrov said Saturday that Russia should consider using low-yield nuclear weapons in its war against Ukraine.

A top aide of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Ukraine’s intelligence community believes the threat of Russian forces using nuclear weapons is “very high” following a s…

China is beset by severe economic problems. Growth has stalled, youth unemployment is at a record high, the housing market is collapsing, and companies are struggling with recurring supply chain headaches.

archived 15 Sep 2022 06:14:12 UTC

Only state intervention can save the day, but the pain is likely to fall on ordinary citizens, say observers

China’s economy is slowing, with annualized GDP growth falling to 0.4% for April–June 2022, its second lowest level since 1992. Economic recovery is being hampered by the combined effects of COVID and a falling property market.

archived 1 Oct 2022 20:09:14 UTC

Putin is cornered and insists he’s not bluffing. Will his nuclear blackmail backfire?

We might be able to stop an asteroid, but not incompetent leadership.

Opinion |

Putin has ordered a "partial military mobilization," attempting to bring in an additional 300,000 troops to fight in his unprovoked war on Ukraine.

Flight-trackers have spotted US surveillance plans flying near Kaliningrad, a Russian territory in Europe separate from the rest of the country.