The US Military's China Missile Problem Is Getting Worse
archived 4 May 2024 10:09:31 UTC
Emerging Risks
Israel Faces a Second-Front in Lebanon
Israel is on the brink of having to fight Iranian-backed terrorists on a second front, in Lebanon. In the last six months, more than 100,000 civilians on both sides of the border have been displaced f
Chat about the apocalypse is becoming more mainstream
Fears about nuclear war, climate change, disease and AI are changing discussions
China is now engaged in open hybrid warfare against the West
archived 4 May 2024 16:38:12 UTC
Russia plotting sabotage across Europe, intelligence agencies warn
archived 5 May 2024 20:38:08 UTC
US Intelligence Officials See China, Russia Militaries Working Closer…
archived 2 May 2024 21:45:40 UTC
A Declining China Is a Dangerous China | The National Interest
Even if the United States has fallen into decline in absolute economic and military terms, China may have crested early and plunged into yet steeper decline. In that case, the margin between the
The Guardian: A new cold war? World war three? How do we navigate this age of confusion?
In history, as in romance, beginnings matter – so what we do now will be crucial in shaping the future, says historian Timothy Garton Ash
Senior Iranian regime officials warn of coming nuclear breakout - JNS.org
The Iranian regime's open and explicit discussion of the issue seems to herald a change in its nuclear policy.
US vs China, Israel vs Iran, India vs Pakistan: Asia plays with fire as nuclear war safety net frays
archived 28 Apr 2024 09:19:53 UTC
Why the West will refuse to fight
China warns Antony Blinken US must choose between ‘co-operation or confrontation’
Secretary of state expected to demand Beijing cease support for Russia’s war in Ukraine
Israel Prepares Forces as Conflict With Hezbollah Intensifies - Bloom…
Israel is stepping up preparations for a potential all-out war with Hezbollah, as the risk of a devastating new phase in the country’s conflict with Iran and its proxy militias grows more acute.
A Confident Putin Has Many in Europe Frightened
A former leader of the CIA says Vladimir Putin's confidence is growing - and that means fears are growing in Europe about what may come next.
China Is Battening Down for the Gathering Storm over Taiwan - War on the Rocks
Chinese war drums beat on as pundits hotly debate if or when Beijing will try to seize Taiwan by force. There is no apparent countdown to D-day for
Are we heading for World War Three?
Doomsday pendulum swings back towards Middle East after Iran crosses red line in bombarding Israeli territory
Isarael—Iran Conflict: How Close Is Iran to Having a Nuclear Weapon? …
archived 16 Apr 2024 16:00:38 UTC
The enemies of the West are preparing to use a tactical nuke
The world is not yet at war. But the relative peace that we enjoyed since the end of the last Cold War has gone. State-on-state aggression is back. My fear, though, is that we are in a Cold War far more complex and dangerous than the last. Then we had back channels, treaties and wise statecraft to prevent it turning hot. It contained a nuclear arms race to ensure no nuclear weapon, large or small, would ever be deployed. Those days are over. The back channels have gone, the treaties have lapsed, and the determination of dictators like Putin not to lose (believing the West will not respond) means a nuclear weapon will, in my view, be fired within the next decade. It may not come from an unexpected source – a country that has nearly acquired one, or a terrorist faction within a state – but the danger is very real.
U.S. Intel Warns of Imminent Iranian Strike on Israel: Report
The attack is expected to come in the form of missile or drone strikes against Israeli government sites, according to the report.
Americans are still not worried enough about the risk of world war
In which I try to be Gandalf instead of Cassandra.
Wider war in Europe ‘no longer a fantasy’, warns EU’s top diplomat
archived 9 Apr 2024 09:06:34 UTC
Nasrallah says Iranian response to alleged Israeli strike ‘definitely coming’
Hezbollah leader calls attack that killed top IRGC generals a 'turning point,' says terror group has not yet used its main weapons in six months of clashes with Israel
Bird flu pandemic could be '100 times worse' than COVID, scientists warn
A bird flu pandemic with the potential to be “100 times worse than COVID” may be on the horizon after a rare human case was discovered in Texas, experts have warned. The H5N1 avian flu has...
South China Morning Post: How will China turn economic, social fortunes around if youth ‘let it rot’?
Many younger Chinese are beleaguered by high expectations, extreme academic competition and bleak work and lifestyle prospects.
Newsweek: Putin Friend Predicts Nuclear Strike 'Most Likely' Coming
Viktor Medvedchuk said, "If the collective West continues to assert its right to global dominance, Ukraine's human capital will not be enough in any case."
Putin’s nuclear warnings: heightened risk or revolving door?
Observers have put forward varying explanations suggesting that Russian President Vladimir Putin hopes, through nuclear threats, to achieve some current or future tactical edge in his face-off with Ukraine and NATO. But none of that reasoning erases a dangerous reality: Any Russian use of tactical nuclear weapons would create unprecedented conditions that could easily lead not to Russia's advantage, but to a wider nuclear war that would decimate Russia—and its leadership.
On Russia's War Perspectives – Putin Has No Fear Of A Massive Nuclear War
If Russia succeeds in a new round of mobilization, its advance becomes imminent, and the Western direct involvement will be considered almost as an attack on Russian territory. Putin, I would insist, has no fear of a massive nuclear war since his close friends (most probably Mikhail Kovalchuk, who is himself a physicist and since 2005 has been Director of the Russian National Research Centre "Kurchatov Institute") presented him with a series of research findings against the so-called theory of a "nuclear winter,"[25] which was shaped in the 1970s by both U.S. and Soviet academics, who tried to convince their governments that nuclear war cannot be won, as it inevitably destroys the entire human environment causing a reduction in the share of solar radiation reaching the Earth's surface. Russian scholars told Putin that the theory was discounted immediately after the Cold War ended and reportedly argued that the use of nuclear warheads causing explosions equaling less than 200 to 300 megatons[26] will not provoke such terrible outcomes,[27] since the eruption of the Krakatoa volcano in 1883, which has been estimated at around the same magnitude did not significantly change the global climate.[28] Taking into account that these days the most powerful warheads in both Russia and the U.S. do not exceed two megatons each, it means that hundreds of nuclear exchanges could be made without causing the final destruction of the Earth – and so one should seriously consider Putin's words about Russia "having a certain advantage in several cutting-edge weapons [and] in this context, there should be no doubt for anyone that any potential aggressor will face defeat and ominous consequences should it directly attack our country."[29]
War looms for Europe, warns Poland’s Donald Tusk
“I don’t want to scare anyone, but war is no longer a concept from the past,” said Polish prime minister.
Putin's offensive capability will be gone 'within a decade' | Peter Zeihan
"Russia is going to cease to have the ability to carry out an offensive military operation within the decade."Putin is running out of time and allies as the ...
Jordan: On the Edge? | The National Interest
Popular unrest against ties with Israel and an uneasy economy makes the country vulnerable to Iran’s and ISIS’ malign activity.