Emerging Risks

Emerging Risks

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Israel Faces a Second-Front in Lebanon
Israel Faces a Second-Front in Lebanon
Israel is on the brink of having to fight Iranian-backed terrorists on a second front, in Lebanon. In the last six months, more than 100,000 civilians on both sides of the border have been displaced f
·realclearworld.com·
Israel Faces a Second-Front in Lebanon
A Declining China Is a Dangerous China | The National Interest
A Declining China Is a Dangerous China | The National Interest
Even if the United States has fallen into decline in absolute economic and military terms, China may have crested early and plunged into yet steeper decline. In that case, the margin between the
·nationalinterest.org·
A Declining China Is a Dangerous China | The National Interest
Are we heading for World War Three?
Are we heading for World War Three?
Doomsday pendulum swings back towards Middle East after Iran crosses red line in bombarding Israeli territory
·theweek.com·
Are we heading for World War Three?
The enemies of the West are preparing to use a tactical nuke
The enemies of the West are preparing to use a tactical nuke

The world is not yet at war. But the relative peace that we enjoyed since the end of the last Cold War has gone. State-on-state aggression is back. My fear, though, is that we are in a Cold War far more complex and dangerous than the last. Then we had back channels, treaties and wise statecraft to prevent it turning hot. It contained a nuclear arms race to ensure no nuclear weapon, large or small, would ever be deployed. Those days are over. The back channels have gone, the treaties have lapsed, and the determination of dictators like Putin not to lose (believing the West will not respond) means a nuclear weapon will, in my view, be fired within the next decade. It may not come from an unexpected source – a country that has nearly acquired one, or a terrorist faction within a state – but the danger is very real.

·archive.ph·
The enemies of the West are preparing to use a tactical nuke
Bird flu pandemic could be '100 times worse' than COVID, scientists warn
Bird flu pandemic could be '100 times worse' than COVID, scientists warn
A bird flu pandemic with the potential to be “100 times worse than COVID” may be on the horizon after a rare human case was discovered in Texas, experts have warned. The H5N1 avian flu has...
·nypost.com·
Bird flu pandemic could be '100 times worse' than COVID, scientists warn