Emerging Risks

Emerging Risks

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Are the US and China Headed to War? Watch for These 5 Signs - Bloombe…
Are the US and China Headed to War? Watch for These 5 Signs - Bloombe…
Are we headed toward a hot war with China? The short answer is that I hope not, of course, but I am increasingly concerned about the trends. I spent the majority of my Navy career in the Pacific, and I never felt we were as close to an actual shooting war with Beijing as we are today.
·archive.md·
Are the US and China Headed to War? Watch for These 5 Signs - Bloombe…
Is Europe on the Brink of World War III?
Is Europe on the Brink of World War III?
The ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine has pushed the entirety of Europe to pursue massive military modernization and increase contributions to NATO as uncertainty surrounds America’s commitment. Such tension may push the continent to its’ breaking point.
·nationalinterest.org·
Is Europe on the Brink of World War III?
World War III may have already started: Trump's former adviser
World War III may have already started: Trump's former adviser
"We're already in a situation where you could describe this as World War II structurally," Hill said. "Everyone immediately thinks nuclear war, nuclear Armageddon. And Trump wants Zelensky to just put up, shut up, and go away so we can get back to negotiating with Putin."
·newsweek.com·
World War III may have already started: Trump's former adviser
NATO Is a Corpse
NATO Is a Corpse
And Trump Might Be Its Undertaker NATO is a corpse. All that remains is the grotesque performance art of a diplomatic zombie stumbling from summit to summit, mouthing tired clichés about &ldquo
laration from the Kremlin or Beijing. It is a sober diagnosis, grounded in realism and restrai
·realcleardefense.com·
NATO Is a Corpse
China’s population is just a fraction of 1.4 billion
China’s population is just a fraction of 1.4 billion
China’s massive population decline is now visible to the naked eye. Empty streets and deserted villages are everywhere. Few people still believe that China’s...
·youtube.com·
China’s population is just a fraction of 1.4 billion
The crisis rocking Xi Jinping’s military
The crisis rocking Xi Jinping’s military
According to sources inside China, Xi Jinping is under significant stress over a massive loyalty crisis within his military. One of his most trusted PLA lead...
·youtube.com·
The crisis rocking Xi Jinping’s military
[19-Mar-2025] Scoop: Trump gives Iran 2-month deadline for new nuclear deal in letter
[19-Mar-2025] Scoop: Trump gives Iran 2-month deadline for new nuclear deal in letter

Time is up from May 5 to May 19, 2025.

Why it matters: It isn't clear whether the two-month clock begins from the time the letter was delivered or from when negotiations start. But if Iran rejects Trump's outreach and doesn't negotiate, the chances of U.S. or Israeli military action against Iran's nuclear facilities would dramatically increase.

·axios.com·
[19-Mar-2025] Scoop: Trump gives Iran 2-month deadline for new nuclear deal in letter
Iran Nuclear Program: What Would a Military Strike Mean for the Middl…
Iran Nuclear Program: What Would a Military Strike Mean for the Middl…
Coordinated U.S. and Israeli airstrikes targeting Iran’s nuclear, military, and command infrastructure—including underground sites—are likely to escalate into a wider conflict, given the higher probability of retaliatory strikes.
·archive.md·
Iran Nuclear Program: What Would a Military Strike Mean for the Middl…
What the Iran War of 2025 Might Look Like
What the Iran War of 2025 Might Look Like
Summary and Key Points: The U.S. military is positioning B-2 stealth bombers at Diego Garcia, signaling potential strikes against Iran amid heightened tensions. -Historically cautious, America’s approach to Iran seems to be changing under President Trump, especially after recent Iranian provocations, nuclear advancements, and direct attacks against Israel. -The strategic deployment indicates preparations for significant […]
·19fortyfive.com·
What the Iran War of 2025 Might Look Like
Iran Nuke Debate Is Another Narrative Collapse
Iran Nuke Debate Is Another Narrative Collapse
U.S. policymakers have relied on these IC assurances to kick the decision, and policy can down the road, now to the point where Iran very possibly has a bomb, and we are playing games over its definition.
·realcleardefense.com·
Iran Nuke Debate Is Another Narrative Collapse
China's War Plans
China's War Plans
Xi Jinping’s Insecurity, China’s Economic Decline, and the Increasing Danger of War Over Taiwan The People’s Republic of China (PRC) makes no secret of its ambitions for global hegem
·realcleardefense.com·
China's War Plans
The Chinese Nuclear Arsenal: More DoD Nuclear Threat Minimization
The Chinese Nuclear Arsenal: More DoD Nuclear Threat Minimization
The Biden Administration came into power intending to reduce U.S. nuclear weapons and, despite Russian aggression against Ukraine, some reductions were announced in the 2022 Nuclear Posture Review. Because of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the reductions were largely vetoed by Congress but nothing positive was done to enhance the inadequate U.S. nuclear modernization program while the U.S. nuclear deterrent continued to age. It appears that the Biden Administration did not want to admit that it was going to allow China to build a larger nuclear force than that of the United States.
·realcleardefense.com·
The Chinese Nuclear Arsenal: More DoD Nuclear Threat Minimization
Defence chief warns Starmer one peacekeeping misstep could spark WWIII
Defence chief warns Starmer one peacekeeping misstep could spark WWIII
British spymaster Colonel Philip Ingram fears tyrant Vladimir Putin would never stick to any peace deal and could open fire on British troops acting as part of a peacekeeping force in Ukraine.
·dailymail.co.uk·
Defence chief warns Starmer one peacekeeping misstep could spark WWIII