Emerging Risks

Foreign Minister Qin Gang heaps blame on Washington for deteriorating ties

"There is but one China in the world and Taiwan is an inalienable part of China's territory," Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Wang Wenbin said.

Everything about human life has a rhythm. It is literally built into our bodies: Your heart beats in a repeating pattern that keeps you alive. Your breath is another pattern. Repetition is natural for all of us individually and for the societies we create together. Every society has its own rhythms and traditions.

A weekly selection of opinions and analyses from the Arab media around the world.

Israel accuses Hezbollah group of escalating tension along borderline - Anadolu Ajansı

How do most wars start? With a rising, authoritarian country taking territory and clashing with neighbors.

Dmitry Medvedev accused Western nations of ignoring signals from Moscow that could lead to World War III.

Today we continue our study of the historical cycles suggesting a major crisis is in our near-term (5‒8 years) future. We don’t know the precise timing or nature of the crisis, but the patterns indicate one is coming and could be severe.

Israel and Iran used to be partners, until 1979. Since then, following the Islamic revolution, there has been a conflict between them. Iran’s nuclear program is getting closer to  producing nuclear weapons. It is a top concern for Israel, since Iran had threatened to destroy Israel. The latter, according to non – Israeli sources, has […]

Hezbollah chief responds to Israeli defense minister's warnings against Lebanon during recent border tensions, claims IDF 'in its worst shape in history'

An escalating war of words between Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon echoes heightened tension at the border, with each vowing to return the other to the stone age and preparing for a possible conflict even as they deny seeking one.

Kyiv’s allies may have to establish a shipping corridor after the collapse of the U.N. grain deal, Admiral James Stavridis says.

Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, and Kim Jong Un see the world in the same terms, and they all realize that none of them will accomplish their goals unless they get the United States out of the way. Perhaps of greatest concern is that all three regimes

Cancer is a horrible diagnosis to receive at any age, but an apparent rise in the rate of cancers among young adults uncovered by a recent study is posing a concerning mystery epidemiologists are especially keen to solve.

China is showing no let-up in the rapid expansion of its nuclear forces and now joins Russia in posing a dual threat to American strategic deterrence of a nuclear conflict, the commander of the U.S. S

Military leaders are sounding the alarm about a rising risk of attack on Israel as it faces a worsening political crisis.

Indications are growing that Hezbollah could use chemical weapons to attack Israeli targets in the next war.

Iranian political analyst Emad Abshenas discussed his country's nuclear program on an August 12, 2023 show on Asharq News (Saudi Arabia). He said that before the nuclear deal was signed, Iran had enough uranium to produce 20 nuclear bombs and it now has enough uranium to produce 10-15 bombs if it only wanted to. Abshenas said that Iran doesn't want to produce nuclear weapons, but it has technology and science to do so if it wanted to. He suggests that Iran might be using its nuclear program as a bargaining chip so that the other side lifts its sanctions.

Iran's fast-moving development of weapons-grade uranium is bringing the possibility of an Iranian first nuclear test closer.

The current Chinese system has been staring down the barrel of a number of serious challenges for quite a while now, and this new economic data just took the...

Historically, rising great powers become more aggressive when their economies slow and geopolitical troubles multiply

Underlying longer-term weaknesses in the economy are bound up with Beijing’s repressive political system

The deployment of a Sino-Russian naval flotilla near Alaska last week underlines the growing threat those nations pose to America.

Anonymous officials from the Biden administration have told the New York Times that Chinese malware has been planted in the networks that control the critical infrastructure of military bases. The "ticking time bomb" could potentially cripple military systems in the event of a conflict between the two countries.

Japan’s Ministry of Defense uses annual white papers to survey the country’s strategic surroundings and explain how it means to manage them. Its latest such survey shows Tokyo upping its g

Mark B. Schneider, The Death of the New START Treaty, No. 560, August 7, 2023 Download PDF The Death of the New START Treaty Dr. Mark SchneiderDr. Mark B. Schneider is a Senior Analyst with

Every aspect of American life and culture is under assault, including the very processes by which we govern ourselves, and the manner in which we live.

Like other authoritarian regimes, China's economic development is following a predictable pattern, said the Peterson Institute's Adam Posen.