Emerging Risks

archived 6 Oct 2022 09:54:01 UTC

“Here’s what former CIA Director Panetta says are the odds for a nuclear war in Ukraine.”

The realities underlying the menacing vocabulary are a grey area – it is far from certain that Putin would be prepared to use nuclear weapons

Plus, Fed fears doing ‘too little’ on inflation and Saudi Arabia defends oil cuts

Just what we need, another dangerous street drug. It's called xylazine aka Tranq and is approved only as an animal sedative. But it's increasingly being used along with fentanyl, making both more dangerous. And there is no antidote. Our drug policy continues to result in more dangerous drugs on the street - something we should have (but did not) learn long ago. And a short DCLFH for all you masochists out there.

A new podcast about China’s leader

No comprehensive settlement is possible for the moment, but the US must start laying the groundwork for crisis diplomacy The second lesson is Putin’s reaction to humiliating setbacks. Far from backing down, he will double down with little regard for the strategic consequences of his actions.

The U.S. government purchased an anti-radiation drug, while radiation emergency information posters line PATH trains in New Jersey and New York.

archived 10 Oct 2022 20:14:47 UTC

archived 10 Oct 2022 22:15:24 UTC

China insists that its growing military and diplomatic clout pose no threat. The rest of the world, and particularly America, is not so sure, says Edward Carr archived 27 Jan 2021 20:40:44 UTC

It is clear that hard choices loom archived 11 Oct 2022 06:13:04 UTC

Pressured by opposition leader Benjamin Netanyahu, and concerned over Hezbollah attacking, Prime Minister Yair Lapid announced Israel will not negotiate its maritime border with Lebanon under threats.

Cabinet reportedly gives Lapid, Gantz, Bennett power to deal with rising tensions; northern council urges tourists to visit despite fears wobbling border pact could spark conflict

The president and the Doomsday Clock.

archived 7 Oct 2022 11:30:01 UTC

archived 5 Oct 2022 09:38:53 UTC

The idea he is bluffing is naive, and it fails to understand how Russia views this war. We must prepare for the worst scenario archived 8 Oct 2022 00:38:44 UTC

For the first time, Russians are starting to believe that their isolated and out-of-touch leader really could launch a nuclear weapon.

Yair Lapid rejects Lebanese proposal to reverse Israeli security, economic gains from US-mediated agreement

A New York Times video investigation reveals new details about Dr. Li Wenliang’s illness and death from Covid-19 based on medical records and an exclusive in...

If China stands at the zenith of its power, and if CCP magnates know it, then they might reason now is the best time for war with America.

archived 5 Oct 2022 23:17:09 UTC

Chiu says China 'deliberately destroyed' tacit agreement on median line to establish new normal | 2022-10-05 13:41:00

The primary deterrent to a Chinese first strike with tactical nuclear weapons is the threat of a second strike with American nukes.

Island has food, energy and other critical supplies in reserve, according to deputy economy minister Chen Chern-chyi.

TAIPEI, Taiwan (AP) — Taiwan’s defense minister on Wednesday said the island will respond to incursions into its airspace by Chinese warplanes and drones, but gave no details on specific actions. Responding to questions from legislators, Chiu Kuo-cheng said China’s newly aggressive stance had changed what Taiwan would define as a “first strike” that would necessitate a response.

“The islands you occupy do not bind us, we will do what is necessary when the time comes. As we say, we can come suddenly one night.” Weeks have now

Israel-Lebanon maritime border proposal 'does nothing to lower or alleviate tensions along the blue line' - Click the link for more details

archived 4 Oct 2022 20:14:04 UTC