Emerging Risks

... in war game scenarios he had taken part in, which considered what would happen if Russia hit Ukraine with nuclear weapons, the only way of de-escalation was when “clear political off-ramps and lines of communication between Moscow and Washington have remained open. In all the other games, the world is basically destroyed.”

archived 30 Apr 2022 12:49:55 UTC

But even as Russia bludgeons its way into limited gains in the east, it has lost so much already in the conflict with Ukraine.

’Either we lose in Ukraine or the Third World War starts’, says top Russian propagandist Margarita Simonyan

Terror group's Gaza chief vows attacks on 'thousands of synagogues' worldwide if police raid Al-Aqsa Mosque; urges West Bank Palestinians, Arab Israelis to commit terror attacks

War with China is very likely, but it is avoidable if we take the threat seriously and act now.

Nina Khrushcheva, an academic, warned the conflict in Ukraine is more dangerous because neither side appears prepared to 'back off'.

Russian TV host and Editor-in-Chief of state broadcaster RT, Margarita Simonyan, said she believed a nuclear strike to be the most 'probable' outcome in the war against Ukraine. One of the Kremlin's highest-profile mouthpieces, she also said that she believed World War III was 'realistic'.

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The leader of Lebanon’s militant Hezbollah group has warned that if Israel continues to target Iran’s presence in the region, Tehran could eventually retaliate by striking deep inside Israel

The Kremlin said on Thursday that Western arms supplies to Ukraine, including heavy weapons, posed a threat to the security of the European continent.

Currently, 62 percent of Americans see China as a competitor and 25 percent as an enemy.

Google reports that the most malicious cyberattacks in the U.S. are coming from Iran, North Korea, Russia, and China.

While continuing its armed assault on the battlefields of Donbas, the Kremlin is boosting its attacks against Ukraine on the information front as well. Russian propaganda’s continuing dehumanization of Ukraine and the West, which backs the Ukrainian defense efforts, is being used to justify increasingly radical methods in the Kremlin’s so-called “special military operation.” Perhaps the most serious event last …

Radio data collected from space is the next frontier.

Vladimir Putin uses warfare to make up for Russia’s weaknesses. That is why he is so dangerous

"The demographic system has tipped already, and so we're never going back to the consumption and production balance that we had in 2019 that got muddled by COVID. We were all worried about other things for two years and in that time we shifted. The Chinese are arguably the biggest beneficiary of the globalized system and it hasn't really sunk in just how terminal this is going to be for them in every way that you measure it: demographically, economically, culturally, nationally. The Chinese aren't even going to exist as a country I would say by the end of the decade, ..."

Deutsche Bank raised eyebrows earlier this month by becoming the first major bank to forecast a US recession, albeit a "mild" one.

'It definitely worries us': US blames Trump administration for Iran's nuclear development, urges diplomatic solution, as talks remain stalled

Since Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, Western governments and analysts have periodically expressed fears that the Kremlin might try to escalate by using nuclear weapons. This anxiety stems directly from Moscow’s own nuclear threat rhetoric: indeed, Putin’s original announcement of the officially designated spetsial’naya voyennaya operatsiya (special military operation) against Ukraine included …

*To read Part One, please click here.   Moscow’s official statements since February 24, 2022, concerning possible nuclear escalation should the United States and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) directly intervene in the Russo-Ukrainian war represent a deliberate policy of strategic deterrence. Possible escalation to a world war between the US and Russia is acknowledged by both sides, which …

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Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov spoke to Russian state-run media and said that a nuclear war threat "cannot be underestimated" but later said he didn'...

On April 16, North Korea tested a new, unnamed short-range ballistic missile (SRBM), claiming the test would improve the operation…

Iran last week unveiled a handful of new missile systems and advanced war drones amid escalating threats to attack Israel if the Jewish state makes "even a small mistake" in the region, according to reports in Iran's state-controlled press.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov late on Monday said that the threat of nuclear war amid the war in Ukraine “should not be underestimated.” In an interview with Russian-state medi…

First comes the dehumanization. Then comes the killing.

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Russia has said that the threat of a nuclear war is "very, very significant."