Emerging Risks

archived 29 Mar 2022 21:04:33 UTC

archived 29 Mar 2022 18:53:13 UTC

#PeterZeihan maintains his position that #china will no longer exist as a unified nation 10 years from now. He discusses China's One Child Policy, the population bomb, demographics and the Chinese Economy. He says that there is 1 in 3 chance that China will invade Taiwan. Follow Peter on Twitter: @PeterZeihan Full Interview here… https://youtu.be/nBLL3gg6RHk

As a candidate, South Korean President-Elect Yoon Seok-Yeol suggested that the ROK might need to preemptively strike North Korea.

archived 28 Mar 2022 10:04:30 UTC

Fertilizers, fuels, feed grain and cheap wheat--we've seen prices across the board jump in recent weeks following Moscow's invasion of Ukraine. We know what ...

Every day, millions of sailors, truck drivers, longshoremen, warehouse workers and delivery drivers keep mountains of goods moving into stores and homes to m...

The prospect is growing all too real that Russia could resort to its deadliest weapons or trigger an accidental nuclear war.

archived 25 Mar 2022 11:19:42 UTC

Globalization has been under attack for two decades now. Can economic liberalism survive?

Unless the U.S. and its allies mobilize to save it, the second great age of globalization is coming to a catastrophic close.

“Ukraine’s example shows what we expect. Should there be any threat, we will respond,” said the Russian Ambassador to Bosnia and Herzegovina.

After U.S. President Joe Biden's 2020 election victory, his future policy chief for the Indo-Pacific region said the new administration would have to decide quickly its approach to North Korea and its nuclear and missile programs.

Indo-Pacific military chief says Asian allies must take seriously the possibility of an attack on island

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MARK GALEOTTI: The war in Ukraine has turned into a disaster and everyone is looking for other people to blame. The atmosphere of mistrust is being stoked by Western intelligence services.

This year is shaping up to be a pendulum year—a moment in history when the big formative forces of world affairs reverse direction. There are telling parallels with the year 2001. Europe, however, needs to draw the right lessons.

Iran may soon roll out the Russian blackmail model regarding Syria and Iraq

archived 23 Mar 2022 12:59:09 UTC

Writing in the current Washington Examiner, Anne Pierce suggests that the United States is today confronted by a new “Avis of Evil” composed of Russia, China, and Iran, which poses an exis

The war in Ukraine is a humanitarian tragedy to be sure, but that’s not why it has commanded the world’s attention. After all, there are humanitarian

This brew of attitudes — complaints about Western aggression, exaltation of traditional values over the decadence of individual rights, assertions of Russia’s duty to unite Eurasia and subordinate Ukraine — developed in the cauldron of post-imperial resentment. Now they infuse Mr. Putin’s worldview and inspire his brutal war. The goal, plainly, is empire. And the line will not be drawn at Ukraine.

It’s tempting to think the strongman could fall and democracy could revive, but a more likely scenario is “Tehran on the Volga.”

WARSAW — Russian President Vladimir Putin’s massive military offensive in Ukraine has prompted European officials on the edge of the war zone to contemplate the prospect that he might use nuclear weapons to achieve his objectives — or even consider an attack on a NATO-allied state.

I have been writing about Russia’s nuclear doctrine and threat for more than 15 years, but I have never had to do it during a debate concerning whether Putin would use nuclear weapons in the nea

Iran launched at least a dozen ballistic missiles on Sunday that struck several buildings near a United States consulate compound being built outside the city of Erbil, the capital of the autonomous Kurdish province in northern Iraq. According the Department of Defense, there were no casualties and no damage to any U.S. facilities. But the attack represents a significant escalation for Iran in the lethal shadow war it has waged to expel U.S. military forces from Iraq and the broader region, as well as Iran’s conflict with Israel.

Admiral John C Aquilino said the hostile actions were in contrast to Xi Jinping’s assurances that Beijing would not transform the artificial islands in contested waters into military bases.

While the Russia-Ukraine war has attracted the attention of the international community, the shadow war between the Iranian regime and Israel is escalating and increasing tensions in the region. The danger of the expanding shadow war between Iran and Israel is that it can spiral out of control, leading to a full-fledged war between the two countries. In an unprecedented move, Israel reportedly destroyed hundreds of Iranian drones with an attack on an airbase near Kermanshah, in western Iran. The Iranian regime did not disclose the attack, most likely not to lose face or show weakness.

Krystal covers the incoming food crisis being caused by the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the western sanction in response as the global wheat supply and g...

It’s 1936 again.