Emerging Risks

With the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war on Feb. 24, 2022, Egypt's food security crisis now poses an existential threat to its economy. The fragile state of Egypt's food security stems from the agricultural sector's inability to produce enough cereal grains, especially wheat, and oilseeds to meet even half of the country's domestic demand.

The nuclear threat surfaced strongly when Russian FM Sergei Lavrov said frankly, “If a third World War were to happen,

The US is currently facing challenges from its adversaries in Northeast Asia: Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, China’s military build-up on…

North Korea always moves on its own timetable, but it might decide that the Ukraine crisis offers useful cover while it ramps up its testing program.

The West’s focus needs to be on saving Ukraine and ending a war that has the potential to get horribly out of hand. There will be plenty of time for punishment later.

Belarus’ President Alexander Lukashenko has shown a battle map on live TV, seemingly showing a planned Russian operation which moves beyond Ukraine into ano...

This is terra incognita for economic policy. No country has ever faced this kind of global freeze-out.

Some pharmacies running out as fears of radiation poisoning increase

Potassium iodide offers limited protection to those exposed to a Chernobyl-type disaster.

Russian President Vladimir Putin gave orders to his nation's nuclear forces over the weekend, but their exact meaning is unclear. Russia has more nuclear weapons than any other nation.

archived 2 Mar 2022 07:30:35 UTC

Opinion | As the situation becomes more volatile and less predictable, is escalation the only way forward for a weakened Putin?

When Russia invaded Ukraine, the West’s assumptions about the world became unsustainable.

archived 1 Mar 2022 15:27:28 UTC

The war in Ukraine has started. How did Russia build its narrative and what are Russians being told about this conflict?

Putin is trying to take down the entire world order, the veteran Russia watcher said in an interview. But there are ways even ordinary Americans can fight back.

NATO Must Prepare for Horizontal Escalation Russia's invasion of Ukraine demonstrates the relevance of hard power. The United States must take note – the possibility for European escalation rema

Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine means that the post–Cold War era may have just ended. [This is called a tipping point.]

Only where he is stopped, as Russian history reminds us.

Vladimir Putin's move has reshaped the balance of power on the Continent.

Former NATO Chief General, Sir Richard Shirreff says NATO being at war with Russia is “precisely the scenario we want to avoid”. “Direct support – soldiers, ...

Mikhail Gorbachev himself said the question of NATO's expansion didn't come up in discussions when he was Soviet leader. That hasn't stopped the assertion that NATO and the United States misled Moscow from becoming a central grievance for Russian President Vladimir Putin and the Kremlin.

Sir Richard Shireff, former ex-Deputy Supreme Commander at Nato, says western leaders 'ignored' Russian intentions and Britain must now realise its defence starts at the border of the Baltic states

Shoppers and business people express despair and disillusion as sanctions cause run on rouble

Every year, trillions of dollars are siphoned out of the developing world and laundered through tax havens into Western financial centers. Nate Sibley, Casey...

But a cornered Russian president could become even more ruthless and dangerous archived 28 Feb 2022 09:21:44 UTC

The U.S. military has new technology on the drawing board in response to warfare trends previously demonstrated in the region

Ukraine is a highly devout country – about 87% of its 44 million citizens practice Christianity. So it's notable that, to many Ukrainians, Mary Magdalene now has a new moniker: St. Javelin. The

Research Fellow at Hudson Institute's Kleptocracy Initiative in Washington, DC.

Kleptocracy, or “rule by thieves,” has for too long been disregarded from mainstream foreign policy discussions. It is often overlooked as a perip...