Emerging Risks

Emerging Risks

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The West Bank, not Iran, is Israel’s greatest threat in 2022
The West Bank, not Iran, is Israel’s greatest threat in 2022
Israeli leaders are beating the war drums against Tehran. But as settler violence rises with impunity, they would do better to concentrate on matters closer to home
·middleeasteye.net·
The West Bank, not Iran, is Israel’s greatest threat in 2022
China Is Running Out of Water and That’s Scary for Asia
China Is Running Out of Water and That’s Scary for Asia
Of all Bejing’s problems — demographic decline, a stifling political climate, the stalling or reversal of economic reforms — dwindling natural resources may be the most urgent.
·bloomberg.com·
China Is Running Out of Water and That’s Scary for Asia
Putin's Asymmetric Blind Spot
Putin's Asymmetric Blind Spot
Former Senior CIA Officer Gregory Sims highlights a potential miscalculation in the thinking of Russian President Vladimir Putin in Ukraine
·thecipherbrief.com·
Putin's Asymmetric Blind Spot
A Ukraine Invasion Could Go Nuclear: 15 Reactors Would Be In War Zone
A Ukraine Invasion Could Go Nuclear: 15 Reactors Would Be In War Zone
Since humanity first harnessed the atom, active nuclear power plants have not been on the front lines of conventional conflict. A Russian invasion of Ukraine could unleash an unprecedented radiological catastrophe.
·forbes.com·
A Ukraine Invasion Could Go Nuclear: 15 Reactors Would Be In War Zone
Modern America’s Most Successful Secessionist Movement
Modern America’s Most Successful Secessionist Movement
In rural Oregon, voters fed up with their state’s leftward turn have embraced a simple and outlandish idea: What if we were just Idaho?
·theatlantic.com·
Modern America’s Most Successful Secessionist Movement
The Looming Threat of a Nuclear Crisis with Iran
The Looming Threat of a Nuclear Crisis with Iran
The Biden Administration faces a potential confrontation with a longtime rival that is better armed and more hard-line than at any time in its modern history.
·newyorker.com·
The Looming Threat of a Nuclear Crisis with Iran
CNN Exclusive: US intel and satellite images show Saudi Arabia is now building its own ballistic missiles with help of China
CNN Exclusive: US intel and satellite images show Saudi Arabia is now building its own ballistic missiles with help of China
US intelligence agencies have assessed that Saudi Arabia is now actively manufacturing its own ballistic missiles with the help of China, CNN has learned, a development that could have significant ripple effects across the Middle East and complicate the Biden administration's efforts to restrain the nuclear ambitions of Iran, the Saudis' top regional rival.
·edition.cnn.com·
CNN Exclusive: US intel and satellite images show Saudi Arabia is now building its own ballistic missiles with help of China
Is a War Over Ukraine Inevitable? | The National Interest
Is a War Over Ukraine Inevitable? | The National Interest
If Putin prefers to continue the force buildup on Ukraine’s border, he is likely to provoke an increasingly tough NATO response both economically and militarily.
·nationalinterest.org·
Is a War Over Ukraine Inevitable? | The National Interest
How the Kremlin Is Militarizing Russian Society
How the Kremlin Is Militarizing Russian Society
With a “youth army,” a cathedral honoring the military and state media promoting patriotism, the government is preparing Russians for the possibility of a fight.
·nytimes.com·
How the Kremlin Is Militarizing Russian Society
Israel knows attacking Iranian nuke program will bring war with Hezbollah - Al-Monitor: The Pulse of the Middle East
Israel knows attacking Iranian nuke program will bring war with Hezbollah - Al-Monitor: The Pulse of the Middle East
Israeli leadership is coping not only with the question of military preparedness for the possibility of attacking the Iranian nuclear program, but also with the implications of such an attack on Israel’s homeland security, its economy and its growth.
·al-monitor.com·
Israel knows attacking Iranian nuke program will bring war with Hezbollah - Al-Monitor: The Pulse of the Middle East
Russian Citizens Are Now Being Prepped for Nuclear War
Russian Citizens Are Now Being Prepped for Nuclear War
Photo Illustration by Elizabeth Brockway/The Daily Beast/GettyThe rhetoric on Kremlin-funded state television is amping up the sense of urgency around Russian President Vladimir Putin’s NATO “ultimatum.” Olga Skabeeva, the host of state TV show 60 Minutes, said Tuesday: “The level of anxiety has reached its maximum. We’re 20 days away from the expiration of the ultimatum and the stakes are rising, even though it seems they couldn’t be any higher.”One day after Moscow submitted a draft of its Rus
·yahoo.com·
Russian Citizens Are Now Being Prepped for Nuclear War
Putin’s Ukraine calculation | The Strategist
Putin’s Ukraine calculation | The Strategist
As reports pile up about Russia’s military mobilisation on Ukraine’s border and the Kremlin’s diplomatic demands, questions abound. What is going on? What will come next? Will Russia invade? In fact, Russian President Vladimir Putin ...
·aspistrategist.org.au·
Putin’s Ukraine calculation | The Strategist