Emerging Risks

"To be caught in Thucydides’s Trap...does not mean that war is fated."

Edward Lucas reviews “Putinism” by Walter Laqueur and “Putin’s Russia” edited by Leon Aron.

Here come Moscow's robots.

The 1987 Treaty between the United States of America and the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics on the Elimination of their Intermediate-Range and Shorter-Range Missiles—known as the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty—was one of the most significant arms-reduction accomplishments of the Cold War era.

Russia had all but disappeared from the international arena in the last couple of weeks, particularly following the July 14 signing of the international de-nuclearization deal reached with Iran. Indeed, as long as the pause in the Ukraine war holds, Moscow’s opinions on international relations attract little attention because its ability to influence key global matters has shrunk to irrelevance. …

On April 21, the Center hosted an event to discuss the new National Interest cover story “Russia and America: Stumbling to War,” by Graham Allison, Director ...

The odds of a war, while remote, are no longer negligible.

Australia, India, Japan and the US are all stepping up wargames in the Indo-Pacific in response to China's sabre rattling over disputed islands in the South and East China Sea.

As the Minsk accord seems to collapse, new military dangers loom.

As America lurches from crisis to crisis, our foreign policy elites can't even agree on our principal adversary

A growing chorus of analysts and policymakers are sounding the alarm. Will the world hear them in time?

Russian President Vladimir Putin has memorably called the breakup of the former Union of Soviet Socialist Republics a tragedy, and that has led many to believe that he is hoping to restore the old USSR as he consolidates control within Russia and projects military power outward into Ukraine and beyond

Could a U.S. response to Russia’s actions in Ukraine provoke a confrontation that leads to a U.S.-Russian war?

Despite the Obama-Xi handshake deal, the probability of confrontation will only heighten as long as the PLA remains a black box.

COLORADO SPRINGS: We’ve known for some time that China conducted an anti-satellite test July 23 last year, but we learned today that that test was “successful” even if it didn’t destroy anything. China has successfully placed low earth orbit satellites at risk, Air Force Lt. Gen. Jay Raymond told an overflow audience at the annual Warfighters Lunch at the Space Symposium here. “Soon every satellite in every orbit will be able to be held at risk,” the head of the 14th Air Force said. China has claimed the test was for missile defense and noted that nothing was destroyed in the test. Raymond ...

World War III may not be as unlikely as you think.

In The Wall Street Journal, Garry Kasparov writes that Islamists set the time machine to the Dark Ages. Putin dreams of czarist Russia. A common enemy: America.

Below is a transcript of tonight's monologue Russia has been chipping away at a master plan, a plan that few, if any, have even taken note of, and no one has shown you. You know the history. We’ve shown it to you, and the brain behind it all. Tonight, we’re going to try to show you what possibly co...

U.S. currently lacks strategy to counter political, information warfare threats from states and terrorists

Russia has passed the United States in the nuclear weapons category. Their new generation of tactical nuclear weapons is superior to ours, and they are expanding other capabilities. Which would be bad enough if our nuclear weapons actually worked well and were ready if we ever needed them. But we have some issues and no one wants to even work on them anymore, erroneously thinking that nuclear deterrence is an obsolete relict of the Cold War.

Vladimir Putin sees West as gloating in post-Cold War era, trying to muscle into Russia's historical sphere of influence, analysts say.

Putin is launching "increasingly daring and increasingly stupid stunts."

The Wall was a stark symbol of Russia projecting hard power into Europe — a dynamic that's on its way back.

Is it possible?

The conflict between Russia and the West is evidence of a post-Cold War clash of worldviews that has never been resolved.

Classical antiquity offers a lesson in the perils of economic warfare.

Experts on both sides think they can turn up the pressure and prevail. This is dangerous.

People in the Baltic states cannot feel secure. Russian President Vladimir Putin has a plan he has been working on for over a decade. So says former adviser to President Putin, Andrey Illarionov.

China's patient and successful method for pushing its border forward

Chinese President Xi Jinping has said China will spur military innovation and called on the army to create a new strategy for "information warfare" as the country embarks on military reform,...