Emerging Risks

The U.S. Department of Defense considers China the pacing threat to the United States as its military buildup, economic coercion, and political warfare threaten the U.S.-led world order that serves the interests of Americans.[1]

The Kremlin said on Wednesday that Ukraine's ongoing ambitions to join the Western NATO military alliance presented a threat to Russia's security and highlighted the necessity for Russia to conduct what it calls a "special military operation" in Ukraine.

If nothing is done within days, people in Somalia will start dying, according to the Red Cross. Experts say that lessons from previous famines have to be learned to prevent mass casualties.

archived 15 Sep 2022 05:14:43 UTC

archived 14 Sep 2022 21:12:12 UTC

Medvedev then quoted Revelation 9:18: “A third of mankind was killed by these three plagues – by the fire and the smoke and the brimstone that came from the mouths of the horses.”

archived 14 Sep 2022 16:06:45 UTC

The West isn’t nearly prepared enough for the scale and complexity of China’s all-of-nation covert offensive.

The Russian president must now contend with an unusual level of criticism of his commanders’ competence in Ukraine.

There are others who talk to journalists but choose to keep their names and faces hidden. Many of these testimonies have wound up in the Russian opposition publication Vazhnye Istorii, which has conducted regular investigations and interviews with combat participants. Our command does not give a f**...

archived 13 Sep 2022 17:16:47 UTC

Trump national security adviser John Bolton on Monday said the threat of nuclear war with Russia is “a lot closer” than before. “Where we are now after this Ukraine success in the north is not that…

Iranian military leaders unveiled a new line of attack drones that they say were built with "unique capabilities that were considered specifically for targeting Haifa and Tel Aviv," two of Israel’s largest cities.

Rumors swirl that Iranian Leader Ali Khamenei is on his deathbed. This isn't the time nor place to negotiate a nuclear deal with Iran.

archived 9 Sep 2022 11:47:37 UTC

NATO has declared Russia the "most significant and direct threat” to its members’ peace and security amid Moscow's unprovoked invasion of Ukraine.

Some pundits and politicians argue that China as a rising power has peaked and that US power is in decline, making them both more insecure and dangerous. Woe to all of us if both ideas prove right.

The bloc needs to be ready for a crisis in relations with Beijing, even as we all hope it will never become a reality.

archived 8 Sep 2022 14:24:04 UTC

The world is in the midst of one such decade. As with other historical hinges, the danger today stems from a sharp decline in world order. But more than at any other recent moment, that decline threatens to become especially steep, owing to a confluence of old and new threats that have begun to intersect at a moment the United States is ill positioned to contend with them.

archived 6 Sep 2022 10:11:28 UTC

In my latest book, “The Storm Before the Calm,” I predicted that the U.S. would go through a massive social crisis in the 2020s. That prediction has

The current Russian and Chinese governments want Americans to be afraid to demand political progress from them.

After more than 6 months into the Ukraine war, President Putin has approved Russia’s new foreign policy doctrine. The 31-page "humanitarian policy" is primar...

archived 6 Sep 2022 16:28:50 UTC

As the war in Ukraine has reminded us, we still live in the Atomic Age. Total annihilation is a permanent threat, as NUKEMAP shows.

A $1.1 billion package would “severely jeopardize” ties, Chinese officials say in demanding that Washington revoke the deal.

“Tang Ping” or Lying Flat, was a 2021 movement that rejected the work culture in China. Now, it has morphed into the more extreme “Bai Lan” or Let It Rot. Wh...

Gatestone Institute Senior Fellow Gordon Chang and former Defense Intelligence Agency officer Rebekah Koffler analyzes Russia and China’s growing alliance, o...

Civilian nuclear plants in war zones are becoming ticking radiological bombs.