Emerging Risks

Emerging Risks

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U.S. rejects flawed New START arms accord
U.S. rejects flawed New START arms accord
The Trump administration rejected continuing to abide by the expired New START agreement limiting U.S. and Russian nuclear weapons, because it fails to curb Moscow’s strategic arsenal and excludes China’s rapid expansion of its nuclear forces, a senior State Department official said Friday.
·washingtontimes.com·
U.S. rejects flawed New START arms accord
Do Nuclear Numbers Matter
Do Nuclear Numbers Matter
Russia and China and the Politics of Nuclear Coercion Last year, the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) concluded that both Russia and China are increasingly dependent on nuclear weapons to achieve th
·realcleardefense.com·
Do Nuclear Numbers Matter
Iran developing unconventional warheads for ballistic missiles, sources say
Iran developing unconventional warheads for ballistic missiles, sources say
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is developing biological and chemical warheads for the country's long-range ballistic missiles, informed military sources told Iran International on Sunday.
·iranintl.com·
Iran developing unconventional warheads for ballistic missiles, sources say
Jim Ferguson on X: "🚨 RUDY GIULIANI ISSUES GRAVE WARNING TO AMERICA Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani delivered a stark message, arguing the West has ignored a fundamental threat for decades. Giuliani said: “We have failed for a very, very long time to realize that there is a holy war against https://t.co/sUUcH53kQI" / X
Jim Ferguson on X: "🚨 RUDY GIULIANI ISSUES GRAVE WARNING TO AMERICA Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani delivered a stark message, arguing the West has ignored a fundamental threat for decades. Giuliani said: “We have failed for a very, very long time to realize that there is a holy war against https://t.co/sUUcH53kQI" / X
Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani delivered a stark message, arguing the West has ignored a fundamental threat for decades. Giuliani said: “We have failed for a very, very long time to realize that there is a holy war against
·x.com·
Jim Ferguson on X: "🚨 RUDY GIULIANI ISSUES GRAVE WARNING TO AMERICA Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani delivered a stark message, arguing the West has ignored a fundamental threat for decades. Giuliani said: “We have failed for a very, very long time to realize that there is a holy war against https://t.co/sUUcH53kQI" / X
Why the U.S. Might Strike Iran: The “Red Line” Has Been Crossed
Why the U.S. Might Strike Iran: The “Red Line” Has Been Crossed
Internal tabulations from Iran's Health Ministry indicate that over 30,000 protesters were killed by security forces between January 8-9, 2026, a toll so high it reportedly exhausted the country's supply of body bags. As U.S. warships head to the Middle East, reports describe semi-trailers being used to transport bodies, with experts comparing the scale of violence to the World War II Babyn Yar massacre and Tiananmen Square. Amidst this bloodshed, analysts Ray Takeyh and Reuel Marc Gerecht urge the Trump administration to intervene, while the Atlantic Council outlines military options ranging from strikes on nuclear facilities to targeting the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) directly.
·19fortyfive.com·
Why the U.S. Might Strike Iran: The “Red Line” Has Been Crossed
AI Wargame Points to Catastrophe for US
AI Wargame Points to Catastrophe for US
Through the use of artificial intelligence, researchers have proven that the U.S. is not prepared for a war with China.
·dailysignal.com·
AI Wargame Points to Catastrophe for US
I've studied nuclear war for 15 years - you should be worried
I've studied nuclear war for 15 years - you should be worried
Annie Jacobsen lays out a second-by-second timeline for how nuclear war could happen. She also discusses time pressure, submarines, interceptor missiles, cyb...
·youtube.com·
I've studied nuclear war for 15 years - you should be worried
Is Iran Headed Towards a Persian Spring?
Is Iran Headed Towards a Persian Spring?
Synopsis and Key Points: Former U.S. Ambassador to Tunisia Gordon Gray draws striking parallels between the current 2026 protests in Iran and the 2011 Arab Spring. -Following the collapse of Syria’s Bashar al-Assad in December 2024, Gray argues that Tehran faces a similar existential crisis driven by economic ruin and a loss of dignity. While […]
·nationalsecurityjournal.org·
Is Iran Headed Towards a Persian Spring?
The Chinese Military’s Rotten Core
The Chinese Military’s Rotten Core
New internal ethics guidelines won’t be enough to stamp out the deeply embedded corruption within China’s People’s Liberation Army.
·nationalinterest.org·
The Chinese Military’s Rotten Core
Coming Soon: The Iran Civil War of 2026?
Coming Soon: The Iran Civil War of 2026?
Key Points and Summary – Even if Iran’s current protests intensify, a clean democratic transition is unlikely. Like Syria’s early uprisings, hope can outrun political reality—especially when a regime retains a loyal core, commands vast patronage networks, and fears retribution. -The most destabilizing scenario is not reform but succession collapse: rival clerical factions, competing security […]
·19fortyfive.com·
Coming Soon: The Iran Civil War of 2026?
The U.S. Air Force Might Not Be ‘Ready’ for a War
The U.S. Air Force Might Not Be ‘Ready’ for a War
Synopsis: A new Pentagon Inspector General audit found F-35 aircraft availability averaged about 50% in fiscal year 2024, underscoring persistent sustainment and oversight shortcomings in the program’s contractor-driven support model. -The issue is broader than one fighter: Air Force-wide mission capable rates fell to roughly 67% in FY2024, the lowest in at least a decade, […]
·19fortyfive.com·
The U.S. Air Force Might Not Be ‘Ready’ for a War
China’s military is staring down the barrel of its gun
China’s military is staring down the barrel of its gun
Chinese Communist leader Mao Zedong stated that “political power grows out of the barrel of a gun.” Today, Communist China’s military power has never been greater. A new Pentagon report warns that the United States is “increasingly vulnerable” to attack. Worse still: China, well aware of its growing strength, is flexing its muscles. China’s People’s […]
·msn.com·
China’s military is staring down the barrel of its gun
Israel Mulls New Iran Strikes as Strategic Restraint Collapses
Israel Mulls New Iran Strikes as Strategic Restraint Collapses
A month of accelerating developments, including missile tests, executions, high-level signaling, and military warnings, illustrate a dangerous reality: both Israel and Iran believe they are prepared, and both are looking to deter the other through strength rather than compromise.
·geopoliticalmonitor.com·
Israel Mulls New Iran Strikes as Strategic Restraint Collapses
Why America Must Relearn Situational Awareness
Why America Must Relearn Situational Awareness
One of the most dangerous illusions Americans are living under today is the belief that safety is ambient, existing automatically, everywhere, and at all times, by virtue of laws, norms, or declarations. For decades, we have been trained to assume th...
·americanthinker.com·
Why America Must Relearn Situational Awareness
The ‘Free World’ Is at Peak Disunity
The ‘Free World’ Is at Peak Disunity
Donald Trump is making big moves in foreign policy: Trying to end wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, seeking regime change in Venezuela, waging a high-stakes economic contest with China. But perhaps his most far-reaching, fateful policy is his bid to rewire the free world. The free world — America’s democratic allies in Europe […]
·aei.org·
The ‘Free World’ Is at Peak Disunity
UK 'rapidly developing' plans to prepare for war
UK 'rapidly developing' plans to prepare for war
Al Carns has warned of a "shadow of war" at Europe's door, as hostile intelligence activity against the UK has jumped by more than 50% over the past year.
·news.sky.com·
UK 'rapidly developing' plans to prepare for war
The Coming Storm: A 9/11 2.0 Threat
The Coming Storm: A 9/11 2.0 Threat
This article draws on research for Book 4 of the Reforging the Sword series. Titled *Shadows of Division*, the book depicts the outbreak of widespread 4th Generation Warfare in the US homeland.
·donvandergriff.substack.com·
The Coming Storm: A 9/11 2.0 Threat
How France is becoming a ‘third-world’ economy
How France is becoming a ‘third-world’ economy
This video was disseminated on behalf of Humanoid Global Holdings Corp, and was funded by Gold Standard Media LLC and/or affiliates. For our full disclaimer,...
·youtube.com·
How France is becoming a ‘third-world’ economy