Emerging Risks

Emerging Risks

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WATCH: Niall Ferguson Stuns World Leaders at ARC Australia - "Are we the Soviets now?"
WATCH: Niall Ferguson Stuns World Leaders at ARC Australia - "Are we the Soviets now?"
"Nobody believed in the system anymore." In recent years academics have coined the term 'late Soviet America' in response to alarming similarities between conditions in the late Soviet Union prior to its downfall, and those we see in US society today and across Western nations more broadly.
·youtube.com·
WATCH: Niall Ferguson Stuns World Leaders at ARC Australia - "Are we the Soviets now?"
Why it's dangerously misguided to ignore threat of new axis
Why it's dangerously misguided to ignore threat of new axis

History, Ferguson argues, shows us that major conflicts typically arise from two conditions: economic volatility and imperial decline. Both are present in geopolitics today.

The collapse of the Soviet Union created a vacuum in Eastern Europe. Putin’s Russia, like Germany after World War I, emerged from this collapse with a sense of humiliation and revanchist ambitions.

l
·newsroom.co.nz·
Why it's dangerously misguided to ignore threat of new axis
Trick Question: Who Will Defend Europe?
Trick Question: Who Will Defend Europe?
A scathing new book by Kier Giles outlines the Europe's defense crisis, and its consequences if nations do not improve their militaries soon.
·cepa.org·
Trick Question: Who Will Defend Europe?
Powder Keg in the Pacific
Powder Keg in the Pacific
While the world looks on with trepidation at regional wars in Israel and Ukraine, a far more dangerous global crisis is quietly building at the other end of Eurasia, along an island chain that has
·tomdispatch.com·
Powder Keg in the Pacific
Today’s Axis of Evil is bigger and more dangerous than ever
Today’s Axis of Evil is bigger and more dangerous than ever
All these lethal interactions and collaborative efforts are operationalizing the mutual diplomatic and ideological declarations of a joint anti-U.S., anti-Western strategy.
·thehill.com·
Today’s Axis of Evil is bigger and more dangerous than ever
Beyond Iran and Israel: The Unseen Gulf-Europe Connection
Beyond Iran and Israel: The Unseen Gulf-Europe Connection

Based on the article, the main threats mentioned include:

  1. Escalation of conflict between Iran and Israel into a wider regional or global war

  2. Formation of an "Axis of Upheaval" by Iran, China, and Russia to challenge American dominance

  3. Middle East potentially becoming a superpower battlefield

  4. Russia's advances in Ukraine and destabilizing influence in Africa

  5. China's imperial ambitions over Taiwan and the South China Sea

  6. Rise of authoritarian models challenging the liberal world order

  7. Europe's industrial decline and economic vulnerability

  8. Potential fragmentation of Europe under pressure from the East

  9. Energy security concerns for Europe

  10. Iran-Russia-China militarism

  11. Dismantling of the liberal world order that has driven social, technological, and economic progress

  12. China's exploitative practices in Africa, including labor abuse and predatory lending

  13. Russia's neo-imperialism in Africa

  14. Threat to globalization and its associated benefits of liberalism, freedom, democracy, and prosperity

·realcleardefense.com·
Beyond Iran and Israel: The Unseen Gulf-Europe Connection
Terrorist threat signal ‘blinking red’ for U.S.; Biden 
Terrorist threat signal ‘blinking red’ for U.S.; Biden 
Foreign terrorist groups such as the Islamic State and al Qaeda, and even Iran-allied forces such as Hezbollah and Hamas, pose an immediate threat to the American homeland and warrant a serious respon
·washingtontimes.com·
Terrorist threat signal ‘blinking red’ for U.S.; Biden 
China’s nuclear arsenal may surpass U.S. estimates, expert warns
China’s nuclear arsenal may surpass U.S. estimates, expert warns

“If the [Defense Department] is wrong, China may achieve superiority — several thousand nuclear weapons — within a few years,” said Mr. Schneider, senior analyst at the National Institute for Public Policy, which publishes the journal. ...

China’s long-range missiles are being outfitted with multiple warheads, with newer systems capable of carrying up to 10 warheads.

Recent Pentagon reports may have also substantially undercounted the number of Chinese nuclear weapons carried by bombers.

Mr. Schneider concludes that the aggressive Chinese nuclear buildup is neither defense-based nor intended to deter aggressors.

“Rather, it coincides with Beijing’s aggressive, expansionist policies in which nuclear weapons provide coercive leverage for regional expansion and the ultimate means in war-fighting strategies,” he said. ...

·washingtontimes.com·
China’s nuclear arsenal may surpass U.S. estimates, expert warns
U.S. Highly Vulnerable to Nuclear First Strike
U.S. Highly Vulnerable to Nuclear First Strike
Congressman Don Bacon, a retired U.S. Air Force Brigadier General, believes that the United States has become highly vulnerable to a nuclear first strike by Russia or China. He ought to know. A member
·realcleardefense.com·
U.S. Highly Vulnerable to Nuclear First Strike
Douglas Murray: A Time of War
Douglas Murray: A Time of War
The West is ‘drunk on peace.’ What will it take to wake them up?
·thefp.com·
Douglas Murray: A Time of War
The Death of Deterrence
The Death of Deterrence
The Death of Deterrence: How Biden’s Public Signals Are Undermining Global Security Since April, President Biden’s public assurances—stating that the United States would not join Isr
·realcleardefense.com·
The Death of Deterrence
The U.S. Must Confront the Multi-Front War Against the West
The U.S. Must Confront the Multi-Front War Against the West
October 7th is the first anniversary of the unprovoked attack and murder of Israeli citizens by Hamas in Gaza.  A year later, kidnapped innocents remained as hostages to Iran's goal of making Isr
·realclearworld.com·
The U.S. Must Confront the Multi-Front War Against the West
The Perils of Ignoring the Obvious | RealClearPolitics
The Perils of Ignoring the Obvious | RealClearPolitics
One year ago, I woke up to multiple text messages telling me there was an attack in Israel. I checked the news and like most people could not believe what I...
·realclearpolitics.com·
The Perils of Ignoring the Obvious | RealClearPolitics
U.S. Nuclear Deterrence: What Went Wrong and What Can Be Done?
U.S. Nuclear Deterrence: What Went Wrong and What Can Be Done?
Keith B. Payne and Mark B. Schneider, U.S. Nuclear Deterrence:  What Went Wrong and What Can Be Done?, No. 601, October 7, 2024 Download PDF U.S. Nuclear Deterrence:  What Went Wro
·realcleardefense.com·
U.S. Nuclear Deterrence: What Went Wrong and What Can Be Done?