Emerging Risks

Emerging Risks

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Iran Has Put Middle East Into 'Convergence of Crises,' CENTCOM Commander Tells Senate - USNI News
Iran Has Put Middle East Into 'Convergence of Crises,' CENTCOM Commander Tells Senate - USNI News
Iran has thrown the Middle East into “a convergence of crises” with its military support of Hamas in Gaza and the Houthis in Yemen, Army Gen. Michael Kurilla told the Senate Armed Services Committee Thursday. Calling it “the most volatile situation in 50 years,” Central Command’s top commander said Tehran has “every proxy operationalized” to include militias in Syria and Iraq, who have launched missile and drone attacks killing three American service members, and Hezbollah in Lebanon engaged in cross-border shelling with Israel. In the Middle East, to help finance these militia operations, ran is selling 90 percent of its
·news.usni.org·
Iran Has Put Middle East Into 'Convergence of Crises,' CENTCOM Commander Tells Senate - USNI News
Hamas Spokesman: Oct 7 attack launched to stop the red heifers
Hamas Spokesman: Oct 7 attack launched to stop the red heifers
The Hamas spokesman gave a rare speech on the 100 day anniversary of the war against Israel. In his speech, he cited the arrival of the red heifers in Israel as one of the motives for the massacre of Jews on October 7.
·israel365news.com·
Hamas Spokesman: Oct 7 attack launched to stop the red heifers
Niall Ferguson on Twitter / X
Niall Ferguson on Twitter / X
"The entire Western world has been living in a fool’s paradise, imagining that the post-Cold War era would never end. We have been living in the age of butter not guns, ploughshares not swords." https://t.co/oFraPxYz86— Niall Ferguson (@nfergus) March 2, 2024
·x.com·
Niall Ferguson on Twitter / X
Opinion | The Risk of a China War Over Taiwan Is Rising - The New Yor…
Opinion | The Risk of a China War Over Taiwan Is Rising - The New Yor…

In 2020 the balance of military power in the Taiwan Strait began a gradual but profound shift in China’s favor.

As a military analyst specializing in China and Taiwan who has spent the past two years managing an open-source database tracking Chinese military activity, I am deeply concerned about the dangers that this activity poses. Alarms should be ringing, but neither Taiwan nor the United States has taken meaningful action to deter China, ... .

·archive.is·
Opinion | The Risk of a China War Over Taiwan Is Rising - The New Yor…
War Between Israel and Hezbollah Is Now Inevitable
War Between Israel and Hezbollah Is Now Inevitable

It is likely that there is going to be a war between Hezbollah and Israel within the next six to eight months.

So, either Nasrallah will order his forces north to the Litani River, or the IDF will force them back. Hezbollah will resist because that is what it purports to do—and what better way to burnish its tattered domestic credentials? It is unlikely there is any way to hold off war now.

·archive.is·
War Between Israel and Hezbollah Is Now Inevitable
Europe’s long peace is over. We must prepare for the coming wars
Europe’s long peace is over. We must prepare for the coming wars
After decades of complacency, reality is starting to dawn. The world is not drawing inexorably closer, autocracies are not turning to democracy and liberalism, and geopolitical competition is growing more dangerous. The countries of Europe face multiple threats to their security. Russia continues to wage its war against Ukraine and could feasibly a...
·msn.com·
Europe’s long peace is over. We must prepare for the coming wars
Our Gathering Storm
Our Gathering Storm
On civil war in America and other unpleasant possibilities.
On civil war in America and other unpleasant possibilities.
·americanmind.org·
Our Gathering Storm
Israel-Hezbollah tensions rise with strikes from Lebanon
Israel-Hezbollah tensions rise with strikes from Lebanon
"This isn’t just a dribble anymore, this is war,” Israel’s National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, who’s long advocated a more aggressive stance against Hezbollah, said. "It is time to change the way we think.”
"This isn’t just a dribble anymore, this is war,” Israel’s National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, who’s long advocated a more aggressive stance against Hezbollah, said. "It is time to change the way we think.”
·japantimes.co.jp·
Israel-Hezbollah tensions rise with strikes from Lebanon
World facing 'dangerous decade', top UK think-tank warns
World facing 'dangerous decade', top UK think-tank warns

The Israel-Hamas war, ongoing fighting in Ukraine and rising tensions in the Indo-Pacific and Africa herald 'what is likely to be a more dangerous decade,' a British military think-tank warned Tuesday.

The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) said in its annual 'Military Balance' report that the world has entered 'a highly volatile security environment', which is set to endure.

The Israel-Hamas war, ongoing fighting in Ukraine and rising tensions in the Indo-Pacific and Africa herald 'what is likely to be a more dangerous decade,' a British military think-tank warned Tuesday.The International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) said in its annual 'Military Balance' report that the world has entered 'a highly volatile security environment', which is set to endure.
·dailymail.co.uk·
World facing 'dangerous decade', top UK think-tank warns