Emerging Risks

Emerging Risks

2988 bookmarks
Custom sorting
Iran’s New Nuclear Threat | Foreign Affairs
Iran’s New Nuclear Threat | Foreign Affairs

Key Points of the Article:

  • Iran's New Strategy: Iran is using its advanced nuclear capabilities (being a "threshold state") as a deterrent against attacks and sanctions.
  • Threats and Rhetoric: Iran has threatened to build nuclear weapons if Israel or the US attacks its nuclear facilities or reimposes sanctions.
  • Risks of the Strategy:
    • This strategy may lead Iran to actually build nuclear weapons.
    • It increases tensions and risks miscalculation leading to war.
    • International inspectors may not be able to properly monitor Iran's program.
  • Recommendations for US and Allies:
    • Increase diplomatic pressure to convince Iran not to build a bomb.
    • Strengthen monitoring and intelligence capabilities.
    • Prepare consequences for Iranian nuclear provocations.
    • Work on a new diplomatic agreement with Iran before October 2025 deadline.
#Israel
·archive.md·
Iran’s New Nuclear Threat | Foreign Affairs
Why North Korea wants a war (sooner than you think) | Mapped Out
Why North Korea wants a war (sooner than you think) | Mapped Out
North Korean weapons tests have become so common that they're often dismissed as empty threats. But with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un newly emboldened, another conflict with South Korea is no longer off the table. We're used to seeing missile launches from North Korea and dismissing them as empty posturing. But Kim Jong Un’s rhetoric has changed. And arms trade with Russia seems to be emboldening the North Korean leader. Is it about time we took him seriously? Chapters: 00:00 Kim Jong Un is redrawing the map 03:47 Korea: The hottest Cold War 05:08 North Korea: A country in isolation 06:09 Putin: Kim Jong Un's new best friend 10:45 The great disappointment in the US 12:48 Conclusion: A new Cold War? Subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/user/deutschewelleenglish?sub_confirmation=1 For more news go to: http://www.dw.com/en/ Follow DW on social media: ►Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/deutschewellenews/ ►Twitter: https://twitter.com/dwnews ►Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/dwnews ►Twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/dwnews_hangout Für Videos in deutscher Sprache besuchen Sie: https://www.youtube.com/dwdeutsch #KimJongUn #NorthKorea #mappedout
#North Korea
·youtube.com·
Why North Korea wants a war (sooner than you think) | Mapped Out
Niall Ferguson: We’re All Soviets Now
Niall Ferguson: We’re All Soviets Now
A government with a permanent deficit and a bloated military. A bogus ideology pushed by elites. Poor health among ordinary people. Senescent leaders. Sound familiar?
·thefp.com·
Niall Ferguson: We’re All Soviets Now
Why is Europe afraid to protect itself from further & inevitable agression? Where is the will of the West? Here’s a brilliantly insightful essay on the things we musn’t repeat—situation in Ukraine is dramatically reminiscent of that in Finland, March 1940👉
Why is Europe afraid to protect itself from further & inevitable agression? Where is the will of the West? Here’s a brilliantly insightful essay on the things we musn’t repeat—situation in Ukraine is dramatically reminiscent of that in Finland, March 1940👉
— Desk Russie (@DeskRussie_en)
#vladimir putin
·x.com·
Why is Europe afraid to protect itself from further & inevitable agression? Where is the will of the West? Here’s a brilliantly insightful essay on the things we musn’t repeat—situation in Ukraine is dramatically reminiscent of that in Finland, March 1940👉
Russia—the Chronic Threat
Russia—the Chronic Threat
Russia does note intend to stop with Ukraine…Russia presents a chronic threat. – General Christopher Cavoli, April 10, 2024[i] A decade after Russia’s 2014 invasion of Ukrai
#Ukraine
·realcleardefense.com·
Russia—the Chronic Threat
Nobody in China Wants to Marry or Have Kids! Married People Divorcing, Divorce Queues Last a Month
Nobody in China Wants to Marry or Have Kids! Married People Divorcing, Divorce Queues Last a Month
Recently, there has been much news from the public about the plummeting marriage and childbirth rates in mainland China, with worsening signs. "Piling up divorces" and "a fertility rate lower than South Korea's" are becoming the synonyms of Shanghai city. Numerous online posts indicate that it's now even difficult to secure a divorce appointment in Shanghai. In areas like Pudong, it can take over half a month to schedule a divorce, requiring people to wait in line for their turn. #chinaobserver All rights reserved.
·youtube.com·
Nobody in China Wants to Marry or Have Kids! Married People Divorcing, Divorce Queues Last a Month
Advantage Over Parity: Assessing China’s Expanding Nuclear Arsenal | The Heritage Foundation
Advantage Over Parity: Assessing China’s Expanding Nuclear Arsenal | The Heritage Foundation
China is the fastest growing nuclear power on the planet, building 100 new nuclear warheads every year. While many assume that China’s nuclear arsenal will be the same size as that of the United States’ by 2035, this is mere speculation in absence of evidence. Indeed, there is ample historical reason to believe that China will seek to grow a nuclear arsenal that is substantially larger and more advanced than the United States’ in the coming two decades. Accordingly, the U.S. may need a nuclear arsenal that is larger and more diverse than the one it has now if it hopes to deter simultaneously Russia and China.
·heritage.org·
Advantage Over Parity: Assessing China’s Expanding Nuclear Arsenal | The Heritage Foundation
The U.S. Increases the Risk of War With Russia
The U.S. Increases the Risk of War With Russia
Last week, U.S. Senator J.D. Vance took to X to warn that when Biden authorized Ukraine to use U.S. weapons to strike targets in Russia, he believes, “the risk of nuclear war is
#Ukraine
·realclearworld.com·
The U.S. Increases the Risk of War With Russia
The real danger of Iran linking Hezbollah to Gaza - analysis
The real danger of Iran linking Hezbollah to Gaza - analysis
Although this is not a direct parallel, it’s worth considering how the current crisis has some commonalities with the First World War and the failed concepts that led Europe into a massive conflagration in 1914.
#Israel
·jpost.com·
The real danger of Iran linking Hezbollah to Gaza - analysis