
Emerging Risks
Thereâs a risk of cascading conflicts in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen, along with the possibility of Iranâs full armed support. Even the potential use of chemical and biological weapons cannot be ruled out in light of reports that Hezbollah has already been transporting chemical weapons from Syria.
In 2020 the balance of military power in the Taiwan Strait began a gradual but profound shift in Chinaâs favor.
As a military analyst specializing in China and Taiwan who has spent the past two years managing an open-source database tracking Chinese military activity, I am deeply concerned about the dangers that this activity poses. Alarms should be ringing, but neither Taiwan nor the United States has taken meaningful action to deter China, ... .
It is likely that there is going to be a war between Hezbollah and Israel within the next six to eight months.
So, either Nasrallah will order his forces north to the Litani River, or the IDF will force them back. Hezbollah will resist because that is what it purports to doâand what better way to burnish its tattered domestic credentials? It is unlikely there is any way to hold off war now.