Emerging Risks
Is Kim Jong Un Preparing for War? - 38 North: Informed Analysis of North Korea
That may sound overly dramatic, but we believe that, like his grandfather in 1950, Kim Jong Un has made a strategic decision to go to war.
That may sound overly dramatic, but we believe that, like his grandfather in 1950, Kim Jong Un has made a strategic decision to go to war.
Lebanese Journalist Close To Hizbullah: If Israel Starts A War, Hizbullah Will Use Unconventional Weapons
In a January 4, 2024 article, Ibrahim Al-Amin, board chairman of the pro-Hizbullah Lebanese daily Al-Akhbar, threatened that, if Israel initiates a war against Lebanon, Hizbullah will use
How quickly could Iran make nuclear weapons today? | Institute for Science and International Security
Today, it would need only about a week to produce enough for its first nuclear weapon. It could have enough weapon-grade uranium for six weapons in one month, and after five months of producing weapon-grade uranium, it could have enough for twelve.
The long pole in the tent of building nuclear weapons is essentially complete. Iran can quickly make enough weapon-grade uranium for many nuclear weapons, something it could not do in 2003. Today, it would need only about a week to produce enough for its first nuclear weapon.3 It could have enough weapon-grade uranium for six weapons in one month, and after five months of producing weapon-grade uranium, it could have enough for twelve.
For The Middle East, There Is No Turning Back Now...
There is no way to avoid an apocalyptic war in the Middle East now. Too much has been said and done, and both sides have pushed things past the point of no return. It won’t be too long before thousands of missiles are flying back and forth, and that is going to have enormous implications ... Read more
The world should fear 2024
The year 2023 saw the greatest global resurgence of armed conflict since 1945: 2024 will be worse. We are living, if not through a World War, then a world at war, the great post-globalisation jostling to divide up the spoils of what was once America’s unipolar imperium. This will be as epoch-defining a period as the late Forties were for Britain, or 1991 for Russia.
Israel’s Benny Gantz threatens to ramp up military action against Hizbollah
“If the world and the Lebanese government don’t act in order to prevent the firing on Israel’s northern residents, and to distance Hizbollah from the border, the IDF will do it,” he said, using the acronym for the Israel Defense Forces.
Israel’s Benny Gantz threatens to ramp up military action against Hizbollah
Russia threatens to take US military bases in NATO territory
A top Kremlin propagandist called on the US to hand over its European military bases to Russia in a terrifying warning this week. Vladimir Solovyov, a Russian broadcaster, issued the demand during a recent TV segment. In a clip shared on X by Eastern European media outlet Nexta, Solovyov said Moscow should capture American bases in Germany, Italy and Portugal. He said during Evening with Vladimir Solovyov: “I believe that all American occupation troops should be withdrawn from Europe, and Russian military bases should be located deep from the territory of the Russian Federation. “For example, it is perfectly possible […]