Emerging Risks

Emerging Risks

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America is headed for class warfare | Opinion
America is headed for class warfare | Opinion
The class politics that have long dominated Europe are now here with a vengeance, and they will stick around until they are addressed.
·newsweek.com·
America is headed for class warfare | Opinion
This Is the War’s Decisive Moment
This Is the War’s Decisive Moment
The United States and its allies can tip the balance between a costly success and a calamity.
·theatlantic.com·
This Is the War’s Decisive Moment
Jerusalem clashes raise fears of wider conflict
Jerusalem clashes raise fears of wider conflict
At least 152 Palestinians were wounded when Israeli riot police entered the Al-Aqsa mosque compound on Friday to disperse Palestinians who threw firecrackers and stones at them.
·japantimes.co.jp·
Jerusalem clashes raise fears of wider conflict
Russian state TV threatens nuclear strike on US
Russian state TV threatens nuclear strike on US
Regarding the U.S., military pundit Igor Korotchenko told the Russia 1 channel: "we will not wage war with you in Europe."
·newsweek.com·
Russian state TV threatens nuclear strike on US
'Inevitably': Nuclear Weapons Will Be Used in Putin's Invasion of Ukraine, Retired Kremlin Military Official Warns
'Inevitably': Nuclear Weapons Will Be Used in Putin's Invasion of Ukraine, Retired Kremlin Military Official Warns
A Kremlin military official warned that nuclear war was the "inevitable" conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war, RadarOnline.com has learned. The warning was issued by none other than the author who wrote Russia's War Bible, retired Major General Alexander Vladimirov. The retired major general sat down with journalist Vladislav Shurygin and discussed...
·msn.com·
'Inevitably': Nuclear Weapons Will Be Used in Putin's Invasion of Ukraine, Retired Kremlin Military Official Warns
Review of "The Fourth Turning Is Here" by Neil Howe | City Journal
Review of "The Fourth Turning Is Here" by Neil Howe | City Journal
Howe is grimly adamant, however, that “sometime before the mid-2030s, America will pass through a great gate in history” commensurate with these past crises. During that time, “The risk of catastrophe will be high. The nation could erupt into insurrection or civil conflict, crack up geographically, or succumb to authoritarian rule.” A major foreign war is also highly likely. And any war, foreign or civil, “is likely to be one of maximum risk and effort—in other words, a total war—precisely because so much will seem to rest on the outcome.”
·city-journal.org·
Review of "The Fourth Turning Is Here" by Neil Howe | City Journal
China warns US has crossed red line: "Lethal consequences"
China warns US has crossed red line: "Lethal consequences"
"There is but one China in the world and Taiwan is an inalienable part of China's territory," Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Wang Wenbin said.
·newsweek.com·
China warns US has crossed red line: "Lethal consequences"
Noble Sacrifices
Noble Sacrifices
Today we’ll continue reviewing Peter Turchin’s new book End Times, which describes his theory of “cliodynamics” and how elite overproduction tends to precede societal crises. As with Neil Howe and George Friedman,
·mauldineconomics.com·
Noble Sacrifices
Storms and Patterns
Storms and Patterns
Everything about human life has a rhythm. It is literally built into our bodies: Your heart beats in a repeating pattern that keeps you alive. Your breath is another pattern. Repetition is natural for all of us individually and for the societies we create together. Every society has its own rhythms and traditions.
·mauldineconomics.com·
Storms and Patterns
The Science of Cycles
The Science of Cycles
Today we continue our study of the historical cycles suggesting a major crisis is in our near-term (5‒8 years) future. We don’t know the precise timing or nature of the crisis, but the patterns indicate one is coming and could be severe.
·mauldineconomics.com·
The Science of Cycles
Israel’s challenges in striking Iran’s nuclear sites
Israel’s challenges in striking Iran’s nuclear sites
Israel and Iran used to be partners, until 1979. Since then, following the Islamic revolution, there has been a conflict between them. Iran’s nuclear program is getting closer to  producing nuclear weapons. It is a top concern for Israel, since Iran had threatened to destroy Israel. The latter, according to non – Israeli sources, has […]
·moderndiplomacy.eu·
Israel’s challenges in striking Iran’s nuclear sites
Israel-Hezbollah tensions elevate risks of conflict
Israel-Hezbollah tensions elevate risks of conflict
An escalating war of words between Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon echoes heightened tension at the border, with each vowing to return the other to the stone age and preparing for a possible conflict even as they deny seeking one.
·reuters.com·
Israel-Hezbollah tensions elevate risks of conflict
Will China, Russia, and North Korea Launch Their Nukes?
Will China, Russia, and North Korea Launch Their Nukes?
Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, and Kim Jong Un see the world in the same terms, and they all realize that none of them will accomplish their goals unless they get the United States out of the way. Perhaps of greatest concern is that all three regimes
·gatestoneinstitute.org·
Will China, Russia, and North Korea Launch Their Nukes?
More Young People Are Getting Cancer, And We Don't Know Why
More Young People Are Getting Cancer, And We Don't Know Why
Cancer is a horrible diagnosis to receive at any age, but an apparent rise in the rate of cancers among young adults uncovered by a recent study is posing a concerning mystery epidemiologists are especially keen to solve.
·sciencealert.com·
More Young People Are Getting Cancer, And We Don't Know Why
No let-up in China nuclear weapons expansion, Stratcom general says
No let-up in China nuclear weapons expansion, Stratcom general says
China is showing no let-up in the rapid expansion of its nuclear forces and now joins Russia in posing a dual threat to American strategic deterrence of a nuclear conflict, the commander of the U.S. S
·washingtontimes.com·
No let-up in China nuclear weapons expansion, Stratcom general says
Iranian Political Analyst Emad Abshenas: Iran Has Enough Uranium To Produce 15 Nuclear Bombs
Iranian Political Analyst Emad Abshenas: Iran Has Enough Uranium To Produce 15 Nuclear Bombs
Iranian political analyst Emad Abshenas discussed his country's nuclear program on an August 12, 2023 show on Asharq News (Saudi Arabia). He said that before the nuclear deal was signed, Iran had enough uranium to produce 20 nuclear bombs and it now has enough uranium to produce 10-15 bombs if it only wanted to. Abshenas said that Iran doesn't want to produce nuclear weapons, but it has technology and science to do so if it wanted to. He suggests that Iran might be using its nuclear program as a bargaining chip so that the other side lifts its sanctions.
·memri.org·
Iranian Political Analyst Emad Abshenas: Iran Has Enough Uranium To Produce 15 Nuclear Bombs