Emerging Risks

Emerging Risks

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Trick Question: Who Will Defend Europe?
Trick Question: Who Will Defend Europe?
A scathing new book by Kier Giles outlines the Europe's defense crisis, and its consequences if nations do not improve their militaries soon.
·cepa.org·
Trick Question: Who Will Defend Europe?
Powder Keg in the Pacific
Powder Keg in the Pacific
While the world looks on with trepidation at regional wars in Israel and Ukraine, a far more dangerous global crisis is quietly building at the other end of Eurasia, along an island chain that has
·tomdispatch.com·
Powder Keg in the Pacific
Today’s Axis of Evil is bigger and more dangerous than ever
Today’s Axis of Evil is bigger and more dangerous than ever
All these lethal interactions and collaborative efforts are operationalizing the mutual diplomatic and ideological declarations of a joint anti-U.S., anti-Western strategy.
·thehill.com·
Today’s Axis of Evil is bigger and more dangerous than ever
Beyond Iran and Israel: The Unseen Gulf-Europe Connection
Beyond Iran and Israel: The Unseen Gulf-Europe Connection

Based on the article, the main threats mentioned include:

  1. Escalation of conflict between Iran and Israel into a wider regional or global war

  2. Formation of an "Axis of Upheaval" by Iran, China, and Russia to challenge American dominance

  3. Middle East potentially becoming a superpower battlefield

  4. Russia's advances in Ukraine and destabilizing influence in Africa

  5. China's imperial ambitions over Taiwan and the South China Sea

  6. Rise of authoritarian models challenging the liberal world order

  7. Europe's industrial decline and economic vulnerability

  8. Potential fragmentation of Europe under pressure from the East

  9. Energy security concerns for Europe

  10. Iran-Russia-China militarism

  11. Dismantling of the liberal world order that has driven social, technological, and economic progress

  12. China's exploitative practices in Africa, including labor abuse and predatory lending

  13. Russia's neo-imperialism in Africa

  14. Threat to globalization and its associated benefits of liberalism, freedom, democracy, and prosperity

·realcleardefense.com·
Beyond Iran and Israel: The Unseen Gulf-Europe Connection
Terrorist threat signal ‘blinking red’ for U.S.; Biden 
Terrorist threat signal ‘blinking red’ for U.S.; Biden 
Foreign terrorist groups such as the Islamic State and al Qaeda, and even Iran-allied forces such as Hezbollah and Hamas, pose an immediate threat to the American homeland and warrant a serious respon
·washingtontimes.com·
Terrorist threat signal ‘blinking red’ for U.S.; Biden 
China’s nuclear arsenal may surpass U.S. estimates, expert warns
China’s nuclear arsenal may surpass U.S. estimates, expert warns

“If the [Defense Department] is wrong, China may achieve superiority — several thousand nuclear weapons — within a few years,” said Mr. Schneider, senior analyst at the National Institute for Public Policy, which publishes the journal. ...

China’s long-range missiles are being outfitted with multiple warheads, with newer systems capable of carrying up to 10 warheads.

Recent Pentagon reports may have also substantially undercounted the number of Chinese nuclear weapons carried by bombers.

Mr. Schneider concludes that the aggressive Chinese nuclear buildup is neither defense-based nor intended to deter aggressors.

“Rather, it coincides with Beijing’s aggressive, expansionist policies in which nuclear weapons provide coercive leverage for regional expansion and the ultimate means in war-fighting strategies,” he said. ...

·washingtontimes.com·
China’s nuclear arsenal may surpass U.S. estimates, expert warns
U.S. Highly Vulnerable to Nuclear First Strike
U.S. Highly Vulnerable to Nuclear First Strike
Congressman Don Bacon, a retired U.S. Air Force Brigadier General, believes that the United States has become highly vulnerable to a nuclear first strike by Russia or China. He ought to know. A member
·realcleardefense.com·
U.S. Highly Vulnerable to Nuclear First Strike
Douglas Murray: A Time of War
Douglas Murray: A Time of War
The West is ‘drunk on peace.’ What will it take to wake them up?
·thefp.com·
Douglas Murray: A Time of War
The Death of Deterrence
The Death of Deterrence
The Death of Deterrence: How Biden’s Public Signals Are Undermining Global Security Since April, President Biden’s public assurances—stating that the United States would not join Isr
·realcleardefense.com·
The Death of Deterrence
The U.S. Must Confront the Multi-Front War Against the West
The U.S. Must Confront the Multi-Front War Against the West
October 7th is the first anniversary of the unprovoked attack and murder of Israeli citizens by Hamas in Gaza.  A year later, kidnapped innocents remained as hostages to Iran's goal of making Isr
·realclearworld.com·
The U.S. Must Confront the Multi-Front War Against the West
The Perils of Ignoring the Obvious | RealClearPolitics
The Perils of Ignoring the Obvious | RealClearPolitics
One year ago, I woke up to multiple text messages telling me there was an attack in Israel. I checked the news and like most people could not believe what I...
·realclearpolitics.com·
The Perils of Ignoring the Obvious | RealClearPolitics
U.S. Nuclear Deterrence: What Went Wrong and What Can Be Done?
U.S. Nuclear Deterrence: What Went Wrong and What Can Be Done?
Keith B. Payne and Mark B. Schneider, U.S. Nuclear Deterrence:  What Went Wrong and What Can Be Done?, No. 601, October 7, 2024 Download PDF U.S. Nuclear Deterrence:  What Went Wro
·realcleardefense.com·
U.S. Nuclear Deterrence: What Went Wrong and What Can Be Done?
Israel’s Iron Prime Minister
Israel’s Iron Prime Minister
At home, the left sees him as cynical, conniving and corrupt; while the right sees him as tired, weak and unambitious. Abroad, he is almost universally loathed and distrusted. And yet no one can deny his Machiavellian mastery of the dirty game of politics, domestic and international. Modern history has produced only two figures who
·spectator.co.uk·
Israel’s Iron Prime Minister
Putin’s Revision of Russian Nuclear Doctrine
Putin’s Revision of Russian Nuclear Doctrine
Introduction Russia has announced it is changing its nuclear doctrine. In June 2024, President Vladimir Putin stated that. “…we are still thinking about what can be changed in this doctri
·realcleardefense.com·
Putin’s Revision of Russian Nuclear Doctrine
The Chinese Nuclear Threat
The Chinese Nuclear Threat
China’s military buildup introduces new challenges for U.S. deterrence strategy. China’s nuclear force may expand to thousands of warheads within a few years. In 2023, CIA Director William Burns noted that China’s President Xi Jinping directed that China’s military be prepared to invade Taiwan in 2027. Chinese nuclear weapons could play a supporting role in a Taiwan contingency. Current U.S. nuclear policy is not focused on deterring a near-term conflict and is ill-prepared for the threat of theater nuclear escalation.
·realcleardefense.com·
The Chinese Nuclear Threat
How the UK is becoming a ‘third-world’ economy
How the UK is becoming a ‘third-world’ economy
Go to https://ground.news/caspian to access worldwide perspectives on geopolitical events. Subscribe for 40% off unlimited access.#Britain has slumbered and ...
·youtube.com·
How the UK is becoming a ‘third-world’ economy