Emerging Risks

archived 30 Apr 2022 01:41:24 UTC

... in war game scenarios he had taken part in, which considered what would happen if Russia hit Ukraine with nuclear weapons, the only way of de-escalation was when “clear political off-ramps and lines of communication between Moscow and Washington have remained open. In all the other games, the world is basically destroyed.”

Russian President Vladimir Putin could expand his unprovoked war in Ukraine into other countries like Moldova and Georgia.

archived 30 Apr 2022 12:49:55 UTC

But even as Russia bludgeons its way into limited gains in the east, it has lost so much already in the conflict with Ukraine.

’Either we lose in Ukraine or the Third World War starts’, says top Russian propagandist Margarita Simonyan

War with China is very likely, but it is avoidable if we take the threat seriously and act now.

Nina Khrushcheva, an academic, warned the conflict in Ukraine is more dangerous because neither side appears prepared to 'back off'.

Russian TV host and Editor-in-Chief of state broadcaster RT, Margarita Simonyan, said she believed a nuclear strike to be the most 'probable' outcome in the war against Ukraine. One of the Kremlin's highest-profile mouthpieces, she also said that she believed World War III was 'realistic'.

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The leader of Lebanon’s militant Hezbollah group has warned that if Israel continues to target Iran’s presence in the region, Tehran could eventually retaliate by striking deep inside Israel

The Kremlin said on Thursday that Western arms supplies to Ukraine, including heavy weapons, posed a threat to the security of the European continent.

While continuing its armed assault on the battlefields of Donbas, the Kremlin is boosting its attacks against Ukraine on the information front as well. Russian propaganda’s continuing dehumanization of Ukraine and the West, which backs the Ukrainian defense efforts, is being used to justify increasingly radical methods in the Kremlin’s so-called “special military operation.” Perhaps the most serious event last …

Vladimir Putin uses warfare to make up for Russia’s weaknesses. That is why he is so dangerous

Since Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, Western governments and analysts have periodically expressed fears that the Kremlin might try to escalate by using nuclear weapons. This anxiety stems directly from Moscow’s own nuclear threat rhetoric: indeed, Putin’s original announcement of the officially designated spetsial’naya voyennaya operatsiya (special military operation) against Ukraine included …

*To read Part One, please click here.   Moscow’s official statements since February 24, 2022, concerning possible nuclear escalation should the United States and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) directly intervene in the Russo-Ukrainian war represent a deliberate policy of strategic deterrence. Possible escalation to a world war between the US and Russia is acknowledged by both sides, which …

Predictions of a decisive offensive in the eastern Ukrainian region of Donbas on the one hand, and speculation about peace talks on the other hand, have gained new intensity in both Russian propaganda and Western commentary in recent days—however, neither makes much sense. Russian artillery and air strikes against the solid Ukrainian defense lines up and down the Donbas front …

The latest Tweet by Disclose.tv states, 'JUST IN - Russia's FM Lavrov says "the danger [of a nuclear war] is serious, it is real, it cannot be underestimated." ' 🌎 JUST IN - Russia's FM Lavrov Says "the Danger [of a Nuclear War] is Serious, It is Real, ... - Latest Tweet by Disclose.tv.

On April 15, Zelensky announced that the world should “be ready” for the possibility that Putin will use nuclear weapons in Ukraine. Whether a gaffe or a Freudian slip, Biden’s call for a regime change in Russia, in the middle of an active armed conflict, checked off Moscow’s “existential threat” requirement for the use of nuclear weapons. Now finding himself cornered in an unwinnable position, Putin is invoking the concepts of “total war” and an “existential threat” to keep the US and NATO out of the conflict.

Ukraine has warned that Russia plans to attack more countries and expand its war. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Ukraine's neighbor Moldova sho...

The likelihood of Russian President Vladimir Putin using nuclear weapons in his war on Ukraine is growing, local experts say. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that “all of the countries of the world” should prepare for the possibility of tactical nuclear weapons on CNN earlier this week. Tactical nuclear weapons are typically described as smaller nuclear weapons that can be used in a…

A leading Kremlin military figure claims Moscow wants to create a corridor to a disputed region of Moldova claimed by Russian separatists.

The comments from Pentagon press secretary John Kirby came just days after TV analysts spoke about the Russian military testing a nuclear-capable missile.

Pro-Putin journalist Vladimir Solovyev discussed the war in Ukraine entering "a new stage."

The Russian military now says the official plan is to create a land corridor all the way along Ukraine’s coast to Moldova, where another border is under threat.

The prominent former editor-in-chief of the Global Times, a highly popular state-run Chinese media outlet, published a commentary on Saturday urging Chinese citizens to “prepare for a military struggle” in the near future. The commentary, written by journalist Hu Xijin, came after U.S. senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and six other U.S. officials visited Taiwan’s capital, Taipei, last Thursday. The visit was strongly denounced by Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zhao Lijian, who warned that China is “firmly opposed to any form of official exchange between the U.S. and Taiwan.”

Vladimir Putin retains overall favorability with 86 percent of his own citizens but only 4 percent of Americans expressed at least somewhat favorable views of the Russian leader.

Since Russia’s war began, Putin-watchers have become increasingly concerned about nuclear weapons.

Putin boasts new intercontinental ballistic weapon will provide rivals with ‘food for thought’

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