Emerging Risks

Emerging Risks

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Putin's path to war in three speeches
Putin's path to war in three speeches
A look at prior Putin statements shows that rationality gave way to irrationally, paranoia and the decision to launch an armed conflict.
·spectatorworld.com·
Putin's path to war in three speeches
Fears grow over Russian chemical threat to Ukraine
Fears grow over Russian chemical threat to Ukraine
Biden administration officials are raising alarms about the threat that Russia will escalate its war on Ukraine with chemical weapons, but are stopping short of establishing red lines that would involve U.S. military intervention.
·thehill.com·
Fears grow over Russian chemical threat to Ukraine
Putin Is Losing the War, but Russians Have Stockholm Syndrome
Putin Is Losing the War, but Russians Have Stockholm Syndrome
After two weeks of Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine, the majority of Russian society apparently still supports the aggression. Pro-government opinion poll organizations cheerfully report 71 percent backing for the “special operation” and 84 percent of Russians trusting their military (ЕADaily, March 6). The conclusions of independent sociologists, based on browsed social network content, suggest those figures are only somewhat …
·jamestown.org·
Putin Is Losing the War, but Russians Have Stockholm Syndrome
Moscow Preparing for Possible Blockade of Kaliningrad
Moscow Preparing for Possible Blockade of Kaliningrad
Ever since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Moscow has worried about maintaining transportation links with its non-contiguous exclave of Kaliningrad. These worries intensified when the two countries cutting Kaliningrad off from the rest of the Russian Federation (and Moscow-aligned Belarus)—Poland and Lithuania—became members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the European Union. Moreover, the conduct of Russian …
·jamestown.org·
Moscow Preparing for Possible Blockade of Kaliningrad
History never ended: Ukraine and the risk of nuclear escalation | The Strategist
History never ended: Ukraine and the risk of nuclear escalation | The Strategist
Last Sunday, Russian missiles struck the International Center for Peacekeeping and Security at Yavoriv in western Ukraine, a mere 25 kilometres from the Polish border. The strikes were carried out with cruise missiles launched by ...
·aspistrategist.org.au·
History never ended: Ukraine and the risk of nuclear escalation | The Strategist
The Primrose Path to Catastrophe
The Primrose Path to Catastrophe
Drawing cheap historical parallels will not help us understand the Ukraine conflict.
·americanmind.org·
The Primrose Path to Catastrophe
US thinks Russia will lean into nuclear threat as invasion drags on
US thinks Russia will lean into nuclear threat as invasion drags on
The U.S. believes that Russia may lean into its nuclear threat to project its strength as its invasion of Ukraine drags on, according to an assessment from the Defense Intelligence Agency.
·thehill.com·
US thinks Russia will lean into nuclear threat as invasion drags on
Could The War In Ukraine Trigger A Global Food Crisis?
Could The War In Ukraine Trigger A Global Food Crisis?
Alex Smith of the Breakthrough Institute explains how Russia's invasion of Ukraine could lead to soaring prices, food shortages, and other problems around the world.
·rferl.org·
Could The War In Ukraine Trigger A Global Food Crisis?
What Happens If There’s A Nuclear Attack
What Happens If There’s A Nuclear Attack
Nearly 70% of Americans surveyed by the American Psychological Association said they worry the invasion of Ukraine could potentially lead to nuclear war and they fear that we could be at the beginning stages of World War III. Researchers estimate there are about 12,700 nuclear weapons spread between nine countries, with the United States and Russia holding the majority, but experts consider an attack to be unlikely. Watch the video above to learn how a nuclear attack could play out. The world watched uneasily on Feb. 24 when Russian troops, under the orders of President Vladimir Putin, invaded Ukraine. “The prospect of nuclear conflict, once unthinkable, is now back within the realm of possibility,” U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said March 14. Nearly 70% of Americans surveyed by the American Psychological Association said they “are worried the invasion of Ukraine is going to lead to nuclear war, and that they fear that we are at the beginning stages of World War III.” Researchers estimate there are approximately 12,700 nuclear weapons spread between nine countries, with the United States and Russia holding the majority. Researchers and government officials stress that a nuclear attack is very unlikely. “We are assessing President Putin’s directive and, at this time, we see no reason to change our own alert levels,” White House press secretary Jen Psaki said Feb. 28. “As long as these weapons are around, the possibility will always be there that they will actually be used,” said Alejandra Munoz, a project officer at the Dutch peace organization PAX. Researchers, academics and advocacy groups for risk reduction and nuclear disarmament have written reports detailing what a hypothetical attack could look like and the long-term impact it could have on the planet and society. » Subscribe to CNBC: https://cnb.cx/SubscribeCNBC » Subscribe to CNBC TV: https://cnb.cx/SubscribeCNBCtelevision About CNBC: From 'Wall Street' to 'Main Street' to award winning original documentaries and Reality TV series, CNBC has you covered. Experience special sneak peeks of your favorite shows, exclusive video and more. Connect with CNBC News Online Get the latest news: https://www.cnbc.com/ Follow CNBC on LinkedIn: https://cnb.cx/LinkedInCNBC Follow CNBC News on Facebook: https://cnb.cx/LikeCNBC Follow CNBC News on Twitter: https://cnb.cx/FollowCNBC Follow CNBC News on Instagram: https://cnb.cx/InstagramCNBC #CNBC What Happens If There’s A Nuclear Attack
·youtube.com·
What Happens If There’s A Nuclear Attack
China's Xi Jinping is 'a silent partner' in Putin's 'aggression' in Ukraine, CIA Director Burns warns
China's Xi Jinping is 'a silent partner' in Putin's 'aggression' in Ukraine, CIA Director Burns warns
CIA Director William Burns on Thursday said Chinese President Xi Jinping is “a silent partner” in Russian President Vladimir Putin’s “aggression” in Ukraine, warning that China poses the “greatest challenge” and “most profound test” that the agency has ever faced.
·foxnews.com·
China's Xi Jinping is 'a silent partner' in Putin's 'aggression' in Ukraine, CIA Director Burns warns
Stephen Kotkin - "NATO Expansion" was a Pretext, not a Reason, for Putin's Invasion
Stephen Kotkin - "NATO Expansion" was a Pretext, not a Reason, for Putin's Invasion
Full video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ylaC0MUleZs "…we had this debate in the early part of the cold war. Peter, we had this debate where people said, ‘you know, we didn't respect soviet sensitivities, we didn't respect stalin's psychology and look what happened — he conquered all his neighbors because he was disrespected. He conquered eastern europe, he conquered northeast asia. We should have respected him more'. Peter, i'm sorry but that argument is bunk. There are internal processes in Putin's russia, which started in Yeltsin's russia — which predate both of them by a long long time — where the recourse to autocracy, the recourse to repression, the recourse to militarism the suspicion of foreigners these are not reactions to something that the west does or doesn't do. These are internal processes that had a dynamic of their own and that NATO expansion became a pretext or an excuse, post-facto, for many years that we've now been having this, i would say, self-flagellation. Let's imagine that we don't expand the security perimeter and the realm of freedom. Where would those countries be right now? Where would Czechoslovakia, Poland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania — where would they be right now? They would potentially be in the same place as Ukraine. So the causality is the opposite here."
·youtube.com·
Stephen Kotkin - "NATO Expansion" was a Pretext, not a Reason, for Putin's Invasion
Putin’s Doomsday Threat
Putin’s Doomsday Threat
How to Prevent a Repeat of the Cuban Missile Crisis in Ukraine
·archive.ph·
Putin’s Doomsday Threat