Emerging Risks

Pro-Putin journalist Vladimir Solovyev discussed the war in Ukraine entering "a new stage."

The Russian military now says the official plan is to create a land corridor all the way along Ukraine’s coast to Moldova, where another border is under threat.

The prominent former editor-in-chief of the Global Times, a highly popular state-run Chinese media outlet, published a commentary on Saturday urging Chinese citizens to “prepare for a military struggle” in the near future. The commentary, written by journalist Hu Xijin, came after U.S. senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and six other U.S. officials visited Taiwan’s capital, Taipei, last Thursday. The visit was strongly denounced by Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zhao Lijian, who warned that China is “firmly opposed to any form of official exchange between the U.S. and Taiwan.”

Vladimir Putin retains overall favorability with 86 percent of his own citizens but only 4 percent of Americans expressed at least somewhat favorable views of the Russian leader.

Since Russia’s war began, Putin-watchers have become increasingly concerned about nuclear weapons.

Putin boasts new intercontinental ballistic weapon will provide rivals with ‘food for thought’

Fortune reported in early March that 30,000 Belgians went to pharmacies to retrieve iodine tables, and in Finland there was a hundredfold increase in demand for this mitigator for thyroid cancer th…

For decades, China maintained a relatively small nuclear force, but according to current U.S. intelligence estimates, that arsenal is now on track to nearly quadruple, to 1,000 weapons, by 2030, ...

archived 19 Apr 2022 19:09:05 UTC

Experts worry Russian President Vladimir Putin may turn to using nuclear weapons as the war on Ukraine continues on.

Nina Khrushcheva said she fears Russian President Vladimir Putin will eventually deploy tactical nuclear weapons to claim victory in Ukraine.

DUBAI (Reuters)—Iran's armed forces will target Israel's heart if it makes "the slightest move" against the Islamic Republic, President Ebrahim Raisi told a military parade on Monday, amid stalled talks between Tehran and world powers to revive a 2015 nuclear pact.

It’s good we’re ignoring Russian President Vladimir Putin’s demands to stop aiding Ukraine. But we should grasp what that might lead to.

Vladimir Putin has raised the spectre of a nuclear war in Europe. Here's what we know and what might happen next

The war in Ukraine has started. How did Russia build its narrative and what are Russians being told about this conflict?

When Russia invaded Ukraine, the West’s assumptions about the world became unsustainable.

Opinion | As the situation becomes more volatile and less predictable, is escalation the only way forward for a weakened Putin?

The West’s focus needs to be on saving Ukraine and ending a war that has the potential to get horribly out of hand. There will be plenty of time for punishment later.

War is happening right now in Europe, but every actor in the area can cause a butterfly-effect scenario for Israel and its neighbors.

In the simulation we mapped out, not only does NATO get sucked in unintentionally, but Russia releases nuclear weapons in its desperation.

The West, in particular NATO and the US, are already at war with Russia. Our leaders just don’t know it or are in denial.

Vladimir Putin has dramatically escalated threats against the West, saying devastating economic sanctions are ‘akin to a declaration of war’, as the US and Poland work on plans to deploy warplanes over Ukraine’s besieged cities.

While accidental wars are rare, they do happen. Here are five ways that the war in Ukraine could escalate to conflict between Russia and NATO.

The word “war” is presently banned in the official Russian discourse on Ukraine, but in fact the “special military operation,” launched on President Vladimir Putin’s order in the early morning hours of February 24, includes several wars fought in different domains. The massive re-invasion of Ukraine constitutes clearly the most kinetic aspect; however, at the highest level, Putin imagines he …

Russian “escalate to de-escalate” doctrine suggests Putin is thinking the unthinkable.

U.S. intelligence officials said Tuesday that the nuclear threat from Russia is likely "increasing" as the invasion of Ukraine continues for a second week.

A look at prior Putin statements shows that rationality gave way to irrationally, paranoia and the decision to launch an armed conflict.

Biden administration officials are raising alarms about the threat that Russia will escalate its war on Ukraine with chemical weapons, but are stopping short of establishing red lines that would involve U.S. military intervention.

After two weeks of Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine, the majority of Russian society apparently still supports the aggression. Pro-government opinion poll organizations cheerfully report 71 percent backing for the “special operation” and 84 percent of Russians trusting their military (ЕADaily, March 6). The conclusions of independent sociologists, based on browsed social network content, suggest those figures are only somewhat …

Ever since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Moscow has worried about maintaining transportation links with its non-contiguous exclave of Kaliningrad. These worries intensified when the two countries cutting Kaliningrad off from the rest of the Russian Federation (and Moscow-aligned Belarus)—Poland and Lithuania—became members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the European Union. Moreover, the conduct of Russian …