Emerging Risks

China is pushing ahead with the largest-ever expansion of its nuclear arsenal, modernising the atomic deterrent with an eye on any future conflicts with the United States, experts say."A major factor is likely an assessment that a larger nuclear force is necessary to dissuade the United States's involvement in a future potential conflict in the Taiwan Strait," Ankit Panda at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace told AFP. "China may well believe that a larger nuclear force will moderate

The modern world is "sick" and "it is quite likely that it is on the verge of a new world war," said former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev.

archived 26 Apr 2023 23:11:08 UTC

archived 26 Apr 2023 06:18:55 UTC

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China may well attack Taiwan. According to the CIA, President Xi Jinping has instructed his armed forces to be able to strike by 2027. Nothing is certain, and there are no signs of mobilisation for an imminent attack. But beyond that, Beijing’s behaviour is consistent with Xi’s orders. It builds up its assault forces. It

Under some circumstances, Israel could decide to strike Iran on its own without informing America of every detail.

India alone must manage to stand its ground against Chinese aggression.

The dollar is finally being dethroned

archived 20 Apr 2023 19:34:23 UTC

According to the Israeli Defense Ministry's data, Hezbollah received $700 million from Iran last year as well as “knowledge and strategic weaponry” such as precision-guided munitions.

Putin has had a long-standing "fear" about a "coming war with the West" and that worry "encouraged" him to invade Ukraine, a former US general said.

The missile launch is said to be the first such weapon test since Russian President Vladimir Putin withdrew from the New START treaty.

archived 14 Apr 2023 19:32:05 UTC

Recently, Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Colin Kahl told Congress that the odds Russia would use nuclear weapons are low: “I don’t think they’re likely to do so.” The Washington-…

Former national security adviser Yaakov Amidror said Thursday that war with Iran is increasingly likely and Israel needs to gear up to attack without US assistance.

China launched military drills encircling Taiwan after President Tsai Ing-wen met with U.S. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy during a stopover visit to California.

The likelihood of Israel becoming embroiled in a real war has risen significantly in recent months. That’s the conclusion of Military Intelligence, and both senior army officers and the political decision makers are aware of it. archived 11 Apr 2023 05:41:05 UTC

Security tensions will not disappear at the end of Ramadan and an unusual response against terror organizations should be held off, intel suggests.

On the last Friday of Ramadan, Iranians and other Arab and Muslim countries will mark Al-Quds Day, intended to express general opposition to Israel - Click the link for more

As I ooze back to consciousness after COVID-19 had me in its grip for the past few weeks, it has occurred to me that the real story unfolding in the world

With Vladimir Putin’s announcement that Russia is suspending its New START treaty obligations, the United States is entering a new era in international relations, where the United States and Rus

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If Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has shaken the foundations of the international order, a Chinese takeover of Taiwan would usher in a new global order by ending America’s global preeminence and unde…

archived 3 Apr 2023 18:49:48 UTC

Archaeologists are sounding the alarm.

Unlike in previous years, the 2023 annual US Threat Assessment Report  views West Asia through the prism of a Great Power competition that threatens t

archived 31 Mar 2023 07:36:37 UTC

Russia would only use nuclear weapons in the context of the Ukraine conflict if it were facing an "existential threat," Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told CNN International Tuesday.

The Kremlin's new 42-page foreign policy doctrine sets out the changes to Moscow's view of the world and states that the West is trying to weaken Russia in "every possible way".