Emerging Risks

China's diplomatic and military pressure on Taiwan represents a threat to all democracies and the United States is committed to helping the island defend itself, the top U.S. diplomat in Taipei said.

Unless democracies defend themselves, the forces of autocracy will destroy them.

archived 31 Mar 2022 07:07:05 UTC

The most compelling reason why the international community is opposed to any border change is the capacity of changes in one border to spark consideration of changes in others, creating or at least exacerbating problems in the relations between existing countries. Until Russian President Vladimir Putin’s annexation of Ukraine’s Crimea in 2014 and his moves to absorb parts of Donbas …

This will put American allies like Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Bahrain and Israel in the crosshairs. The regional turmoil that America is set to unleash as a result will only exacerbate the current challenges to the U.S.-led world order.

Dmitry Medvedev, who served a President of Russia from 2008 to 2012, listed the four scenarios in which Russia would launch their nuclear arsenal

By Sarah N. Lynch

archived 29 Mar 2022 21:04:33 UTC

archived 29 Mar 2022 18:53:13 UTC

#PeterZeihan maintains his position that #china will no longer exist as a unified nation 10 years from now. He discusses China's One Child Policy, the population bomb, demographics and the Chinese Economy. He says that there is 1 in 3 chance that China will invade Taiwan. Follow Peter on Twitter: @PeterZeihan Full Interview here… https://youtu.be/nBLL3gg6RHk

As a candidate, South Korean President-Elect Yoon Seok-Yeol suggested that the ROK might need to preemptively strike North Korea.

archived 28 Mar 2022 10:04:30 UTC

Fertilizers, fuels, feed grain and cheap wheat--we've seen prices across the board jump in recent weeks following Moscow's invasion of Ukraine. We know what ...

Every day, millions of sailors, truck drivers, longshoremen, warehouse workers and delivery drivers keep mountains of goods moving into stores and homes to m...

The prospect is growing all too real that Russia could resort to its deadliest weapons or trigger an accidental nuclear war.

archived 25 Mar 2022 11:19:42 UTC

Globalization has been under attack for two decades now. Can economic liberalism survive?

Unless the U.S. and its allies mobilize to save it, the second great age of globalization is coming to a catastrophic close.

“Ukraine’s example shows what we expect. Should there be any threat, we will respond,” said the Russian Ambassador to Bosnia and Herzegovina.

After U.S. President Joe Biden's 2020 election victory, his future policy chief for the Indo-Pacific region said the new administration would have to decide quickly its approach to North Korea and its nuclear and missile programs.

Indo-Pacific military chief says Asian allies must take seriously the possibility of an attack on island

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MARK GALEOTTI: The war in Ukraine has turned into a disaster and everyone is looking for other people to blame. The atmosphere of mistrust is being stoked by Western intelligence services.

This year is shaping up to be a pendulum year—a moment in history when the big formative forces of world affairs reverse direction. There are telling parallels with the year 2001. Europe, however, needs to draw the right lessons.

Iran may soon roll out the Russian blackmail model regarding Syria and Iraq

archived 23 Mar 2022 12:59:09 UTC

Writing in the current Washington Examiner, Anne Pierce suggests that the United States is today confronted by a new “Avis of Evil” composed of Russia, China, and Iran, which poses an exis

The war in Ukraine is a humanitarian tragedy to be sure, but that’s not why it has commanded the world’s attention. After all, there are humanitarian

This brew of attitudes — complaints about Western aggression, exaltation of traditional values over the decadence of individual rights, assertions of Russia’s duty to unite Eurasia and subordinate Ukraine — developed in the cauldron of post-imperial resentment. Now they infuse Mr. Putin’s worldview and inspire his brutal war. The goal, plainly, is empire. And the line will not be drawn at Ukraine.

It’s tempting to think the strongman could fall and democracy could revive, but a more likely scenario is “Tehran on the Volga.”