Emerging Risks

Beyond the imminent threat of violence, Russia is poised to upend the global energy market.

Russia’s three-month-long buildup of military forces along Ukraine’s borders culminated in a flurry of activity over the weekend that revealed the full scope of Vladimir Putin’s intentions. For all the

Washington fears that too deep involvement on the ground could bring on a war with Russia. Why should Putin not have the same fear?

Professor Cai is one among several voices asserting the world's two preeminent powers are on a collision course. Whether the analytical framework predicting this inevitable fight is geographic, diplomatic, or economic, the United States is faced with its own geo-strategic version of Pascal's wager. Given revelations of recent PRC weapons development, preparing for the next war would seem to be the winning bet.

Former PM lambastes nascent deal being negotiated in Vienna, claiming it only delays Iran by a few years while giving regime's nukes a 'kosher seal of approval'

Moscow is acting with total disregard for European norms. The west’s line of military defence must now be bolstered, says Keir Giles of Chatham House

Only about 7 percent of those responding to a recent poll said that they felt China was highly likely to take advantage of the Ukraine crisis in order to launch an attack on Taiwan.

Most South Koreans support their country going nuclear, but not necessarily to deter North Korean threats, a new poll released Tuesday shows. The Chicago Council on Global Affairs found that 71% of South Koreans support an indigenous nuclear weapons program, and strongly prefer a domestic program compared to stationing U.S. nuclear weapons in their country.  […]

US troops and their families at major bases in South Korea and Japan could end up as "missile hostages" to North Korea (or China) in a crisis.

“This region will become a nuclear tinderbox. This will bring war, and then another war,” he said. “We are going from a bad deal to a worse deal.”

Britain warned of potential cyberattacks with "international consequences" on Tuesday after Russian President Vladimir Puitin ordered troops to two breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine.

President Biden will deliver a speech addressing the Ukraine crisis at 1 p.m. ET, the White House said, after Russia's president signed a decree recognizing two breakaway republics.

MOSCOW (AP) — Russian lawmakers on Tuesday authorized President Vladimir Putin to use military force outside the country — a move that could presage a broader attack on Ukraine after the U.S.

[Elite capture] is a crucial tool of [China's] success. The idea is simple enough: by tempting another country's elite with money, access and favors, you move them to see their interests and China's interests as intertwined or even the same. [Each] of

archived 22 Feb 2022 01:19:54 UTC

To return to a theme. For me, the moment that seemed to pierce reality, Don Delillo in real life, was when anarchists protested in favor of mask mandates. Children in black hoodies who wave the anarchist flag fight for the government and its right to override individual choice. They do not do so because of how they have parsed Bakunin or Kropotkin; they never bothered to know what anarchism is or means in the first place. Why would they? Politics is only who you sneer at and who sneers at you. Jeremy Corbyn was briefly the most powerful authentically-socialist politician in the Anglophone world in generations. His reward is the World Socialist Website declaring him a “pseudo-leftist.” A lifetime of actual socialist

The autocrat has been trying for decades to end what he sees as a prolonged period of Russian humiliation.

The Russian president is leveraging a reconstituted military to force the world to reckon with his demands.

Now, as Russia uncoils its forces, there are no good choices. Only the consequences of bad ones.

Michael Losacco is a former active-duty U.S. Army officer who served in Afghanistan in 2017. He currently studies at Georgetown University’s Walsh School of Foreign Service where he focuses on U

The revival of the Iran nuclear deal, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), is nearing an agreement. Iran’s top negotiator Ali Bagheri Kan...

archived 20 Feb 2022 19:20:07 UTC

The Australian Strategic Policy Institute’s Michael Shoebridge says Australia should be taking the threat of China “very seriously”. “We should take them as ...

The facility in Natanz is built deep under a massive mountain, making it extremely difficult for the IDF to ever bomb it.

The messages from Iran’s key military leaders and its allies in Lebanon are clear.

Beijing wants the world to embrace its authoritarian model. But the country is also part of a highly integrated global economy. A Q&A with Elizabeth Economy.

Evidence suggests Russia is planning "the biggest war in Europe since 1945", Prime Minister Boris Johnson has said.He told the BBC's Sophie Raworth in an int...

archived 19 Feb 2022 15:47:15 UTC

China ranked 12th on 2021 Global Innovation Index, commerce ministry points out in calling for an objective approach from the US.

Former White House National Security Council John Bolton said the Biden administration needs to call on China to denuclearize North Korea