Emerging Risks

Emerging Risks

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Will Putin Invade Ukraine (Again)?
Will Putin Invade Ukraine (Again)?
The Russian troop buildup at the border and his heated rhetoric are ominous, but is he ready to face the consequences, or is this just saber-rattling to get the West’s attention?
·newlinesmag.com·
Will Putin Invade Ukraine (Again)?
Poll: Trust in US military declines as worry over China rises - Breaking Defense
Poll: Trust in US military declines as worry over China rises - Breaking Defense
WASHINGTON: A majority of Americans view China has the biggest national security threat to the United States, while trust in the American military continues to erode, according the Reagan Institute’s annual National Defense Survey. The poll found that 52% of Americans see China as a top threat, up from just under 40% in the February…
·breakingdefense.com·
Poll: Trust in US military declines as worry over China rises - Breaking Defense
Twitter Is About to Get Way Worse
Twitter Is About to Get Way Worse
Defending free speech in a time of ascendent authoritarianism was always a losing battle. But Jack Dorsey tried.
·bariweiss.substack.com·
Twitter Is About to Get Way Worse
Ukraine’s Troubles, Putin’s ‘Red Lines’ and Biden’s Warnings
Ukraine’s Troubles, Putin’s ‘Red Lines’ and Biden’s Warnings
Crisis is brewing yet again in the intrinsically antagonistic relations between Russia and Ukraine, and President Vladimir Putin seeks to harvest richer political dividends from it than he did half a year ago. The apparent buildup of Russian forces near the Ukrainian border follows much the same pattern; Moscow’s denials of easily detectable parks of military hardware are as categorical …
·jamestown.org·
Ukraine’s Troubles, Putin’s ‘Red Lines’ and Biden’s Warnings
Putin pushes confrontation with NATO as hardliners prevail - Taipei Times
Putin pushes confrontation with NATO as hardliners prevail - Taipei Times
Russian President Vladimir Putin is an expert at bluffing and keeping the West on its toes, pushing relations to the edge before pivoting without warning. However, hemmed in and fuming, he is deadly serious about being heard on Ukraine. Those close to the Kremlin said that the Russian president does not want to start another war in Ukraine. Still, he must show he is ready to fight if necessary in order to stop what he sees as an existential security threat: the creeping expansion of the NATO in a country that for centuries had been part of Russia. After years of disillusionment
·taipeitimes.com·
Putin pushes confrontation with NATO as hardliners prevail - Taipei Times
Why ‘Confrontation’ with China Cannot Be Avoided | The National Interest
Why ‘Confrontation’ with China Cannot Be Avoided | The National Interest
A resolute policy of confrontation now is the United States’ best hope of eventually convincing Beijing to change course and put us on a path toward a genuinely competitive and cooperative future.
·nationalinterest.org·
Why ‘Confrontation’ with China Cannot Be Avoided | The National Interest
The Drums of War in Taiwan and Ukraine
The Drums of War in Taiwan and Ukraine
Nov 27, 2021 // In their rhetoric as well as in their military investment, training, and deployment decisions, China and Russia have both clearly signaled their aggressive strategic intentions. The task now is to ensure that their misguided militarism does not upend longstanding security arrangements in East Asia and Europe, writes Carl Bildt.
·diplomaticourier.com·
The Drums of War in Taiwan and Ukraine
US risks ‘Suez moment’ in a Taiwan war
US risks ‘Suez moment’ in a Taiwan war
MANILA – In The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers, the historian Paul Kennedy argued that “there is [often] a noticeable ‘lag time’ between the trajectory of a state’s relative economic stren…
·asiatimes.com·
US risks ‘Suez moment’ in a Taiwan war
Moscow says U.S. rehearsed nuclear strike against Russia this month
Moscow says U.S. rehearsed nuclear strike against Russia this month
Russia's defence minister on Tuesday accused U.S. bombers of rehearsing a nuclear strike on Russia from two different directions earlier this month and complained that the planes had come within 20 km (12.4 miles) of the Russian border.
·reuters.com·
Moscow says U.S. rehearsed nuclear strike against Russia this month
Russia Has Bigger Plans Beyond Ukraine and Belarus
Russia Has Bigger Plans Beyond Ukraine and Belarus
Russia is probing the entire “grey zone” between NATO’s eastern border and Russia’s western border: not just Ukraine and Belarus, but also Moldova and the Caucasus republics.
·19fortyfive.com·
Russia Has Bigger Plans Beyond Ukraine and Belarus