Emerging Risks

archived 2 Nov 2022 12:29:30 UTC

A senior official from Russia's Foreign Ministry has warned that Western commercial satellites could become legitimate targets for Moscow if they were involved in the war in Ukraine.

The Russian president's resort to partial mobilization suggests that he’s more afraid of regime hardliners than his own public.

Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu told his French counterpart in a telephone call on Sunday that the situation in Ukraine was rapidly deteriorating and trending towards "uncontrolled escalation". archived 23 Oct 2022 15:20:38 UTC

In war, nothing is inevitable and not much is predictable. But the war in Ukraine has a direction that observers can see and that we should name. What

Joe Biden's Ukraine strategy could very well mean that Russia feels trapped and could start a nuclear war where billions would die.

archived 6 Oct 2022 09:54:01 UTC

The president and the Doomsday Clock.

The idea he is bluffing is naive, and it fails to understand how Russia views this war. We must prepare for the worst scenario archived 8 Oct 2022 00:38:44 UTC

“The islands you occupy do not bind us, we will do what is necessary when the time comes. As we say, we can come suddenly one night.” Weeks have now

Israel-Lebanon maritime border proposal 'does nothing to lower or alleviate tensions along the blue line' - Click the link for more details

archived 3 Oct 2022 19:07:01 UTC

God forbid, if Russia uses a nuclear weapon, we may look back and wonder if we responded to Putin’s rhetoric with sufficient urgency at this moment.

In a nuclear war, "there will be no security for anyone, not for Ukraine, and not for the world," the Global Times wrote in an editorial on Sunday.

Putin is "losing" in Ukraine and faces an "irreversible" situation, retired Army general and former CIA chief David Petraeus said Sunday

archived 1 Oct 2022 14:58:40 UTC

archived 3 Oct 2022 07:06:56 UTC

Former CIA director and retired army general says Moscow’s leader is ‘desperate’ and ‘battlefield reality he faces is irreversible’

Russian plans for a so-called “tactical nuclear strike” in Ukraine could quickly spiral out of control.

In a gathering Cold War atmosphere, American officials are gaming out responses should Russia resort to battlefield nuclear weapons.

archived 1 Oct 2022 20:09:14 UTC

archived 17 Sep 2022 19:58:50 UTC

archived 17 Aug 2022 06:00:15 UTC

“Russian doctrine for defending Russian-occupied territory includes the use of tactical nuclear weapons. There’s no doubt at all that that’s an option.” There is ‘no doubt’ Putin has the option of using nuclear weapons to defend Crimea, Former British Army officer Major General Tim Cross tells #TimesRadio. --- Times Radio brings you the latest breaking news, expert analysis and well-informed discussion on the biggest stories of the day. 📻 Listen now - https://www.thetimes.co.uk/radio Follow Times Radio on social: 🔵 Facebook https://www.facebook.com/thetimesradio/ 🔵 Twitter https://twitter.com/TimesRadio 🔵 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/timesradio/ Subscribe here: http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCTjDhFuGXlhx9Us0gq0VK2w?sub_confirmation=1

archived 10 Aug 2022 11:43:51 UTC

The tide of the Ukraine war has subtly shifted as the Russian offensive has exhausted itself and the Ukrainian pushback has started to gain momentum. In retrospect, the pitched battle for Sievierodonetsk and Lysychansk in late June and early July 2022 could perhaps be recognized as the high-water mark for Russia’s violent intervention aimed at exterminating Ukraine as an independent …

The Russo-Ukrainian War could yet go nuclear, and expanding war aims could push Russia over the brink.

Are these actions merely intimidation tactics and saber-rattling?

A White House official said Russia was using a playbook it established in Crimea eight years ago. The war in Ukraine has also brought Russia and Iran far closer.

Urged on by Israel and the murderous Saudi prince, Biden may be on the verge of a truly catastrophic mistake