Emerging Risks

Emerging Risks

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Like It or Not, the South Korea-US Alliance Is Changing
Like It or Not, the South Korea-US Alliance Is Changing
The ROK-U.S. alliance is at a time of transition, and a lot of changes will be required to maintain the strength and effectiveness of the alliance into the future.
·thediplomat.com·
Like It or Not, the South Korea-US Alliance Is Changing
How will Israel face Hezbollah’s attempts to change the rules of the game?
How will Israel face Hezbollah’s attempts to change the rules of the game?
The security apparatus in Israel erred when it believed that Hezbollah would not respond to its attacks in Lebanon, and despite the disciplined response by the Israeli army, Hezbollah, contrary to the assessment of the Israeli army, was quick to present a deterrence equation towards Israel, and it also seeks to restrict the freedom of […]
·weeklyblitz.net·
How will Israel face Hezbollah’s attempts to change the rules of the game?
Biden brings the world closer to nuclear war
Biden brings the world closer to nuclear war
The return to safe global strategic balance will require America regaining the world’s respect, and our enemies’ fear.
·thehill.com·
Biden brings the world closer to nuclear war
The Mathematics of War: On Earthquakes and Conflicts
The Mathematics of War: On Earthquakes and Conflicts
A conversation with my colleague Sinan Aral at PopTech 2011 reminded me of some earlier research I had carried out on the mathematics of war. So this is a good time to share some of the findings fr…
·irevolutions.org·
The Mathematics of War: On Earthquakes and Conflicts
Importing Enemies
Importing Enemies
The demand to resettle Afghan refugees brings the war home.
·americanmind.org·
Importing Enemies
Hezbollah — What’s Next? - The Commentator
Hezbollah — What’s Next? - The Commentator
In the midst of the Israeli-Hamas crisis of 2021, from May 13 to 19, about a dozen rockets were fired from Lebanon into Israel. This was the first time since late 2015 that such an attack was carried out, breaking the unofficial ceasefire and paving the road for further attacks over the summer. The next …
·yucommentator.org·
Hezbollah — What’s Next? - The Commentator
Can China Step Off Its Property Treadmill? Not Likely
Can China Step Off Its Property Treadmill? Not Likely
The real estate bubble has made prices beyond unaffordable, but even a simple solution like a property tax could be a dire threat to the economy.
·bloomberg.com·
Can China Step Off Its Property Treadmill? Not Likely
Iran and Israel are on the brink of catastrophe
Iran and Israel are on the brink of catastrophe
It seems that the Iranian regime has provided Israel with the perfect excuse to take military action against Tehran. This opportunity came after the Islamic Republic was implicated in the drone strike on an oil tanker, owned by Israeli billionaire Eyal Ofer, off the coast of Oman. Two crew members, a Briton and a Romanian, died in the attack. This has led to heated exchanges between Israeli and Iranian leaders that have reached dangerous levels.
·arabnews.com·
Iran and Israel are on the brink of catastrophe
Iran takes steps to make enriched uranium metal; U.S., Europe powers dismayed
Iran takes steps to make enriched uranium metal; U.S., Europe powers dismayed
Iran has begun the process of producing enriched uranium metal, the U.N. atomic watchdog said on Tuesday, a move that could help it develop a nuclear weapon and that three European powers said threatened talks to revive the 2015 Iran nuclear deal.
·reuters.com·
Iran takes steps to make enriched uranium metal; U.S., Europe powers dismayed