Emerging Risks

Emerging Risks

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Mario Nawfal on Twitter / X
Mario Nawfal on Twitter / X
🇷🇺🇺🇸 Russian Media: “This is what a Russian nuclear attack on the United States would look like.’Still think Putin is bluffing? pic.twitter.com/VfXhLWUGmY— Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) March 17, 2024
·x.com·
Mario Nawfal on Twitter / X
Reuters: Putin warns the West: Russia is ready for nuclear war
Reuters: Putin warns the West: Russia is ready for nuclear war
President Vladimir Putin warned the West on Wednesday Russia was technically ready for nuclear war and that if the U.S. sent troops to Ukraine, it would be considered a significant escalation of the conflict.
·reuters.com·
Reuters: Putin warns the West: Russia is ready for nuclear war
Israel’s Escalation with Hezbollah: Possible Scenarios | Geopolitical Monitor
Israel’s Escalation with Hezbollah: Possible Scenarios | Geopolitical Monitor

There’s a risk of cascading conflicts in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen, along with the possibility of Iran’s full armed support. Even the potential use of chemical and biological weapons cannot be ruled out in light of reports that Hezbollah has already been transporting chemical weapons from Syria.

·geopoliticalmonitor.com·
Israel’s Escalation with Hezbollah: Possible Scenarios | Geopolitical Monitor
Iran Has Put Middle East Into 'Convergence of Crises,' CENTCOM Commander Tells Senate - USNI News
Iran Has Put Middle East Into 'Convergence of Crises,' CENTCOM Commander Tells Senate - USNI News
Iran has thrown the Middle East into “a convergence of crises” with its military support of Hamas in Gaza and the Houthis in Yemen, Army Gen. Michael Kurilla told the Senate Armed Services Committee Thursday. Calling it “the most volatile situation in 50 years,” Central Command’s top commander said Tehran has “every proxy operationalized” to include militias in Syria and Iraq, who have launched missile and drone attacks killing three American service members, and Hezbollah in Lebanon engaged in cross-border shelling with Israel. In the Middle East, to help finance these militia operations, ran is selling 90 percent of its
·news.usni.org·
Iran Has Put Middle East Into 'Convergence of Crises,' CENTCOM Commander Tells Senate - USNI News
Hamas Spokesman: Oct 7 attack launched to stop the red heifers
Hamas Spokesman: Oct 7 attack launched to stop the red heifers
The Hamas spokesman gave a rare speech on the 100 day anniversary of the war against Israel. In his speech, he cited the arrival of the red heifers in Israel as one of the motives for the massacre of Jews on October 7.
·israel365news.com·
Hamas Spokesman: Oct 7 attack launched to stop the red heifers
Niall Ferguson on Twitter / X
Niall Ferguson on Twitter / X
"The entire Western world has been living in a fool’s paradise, imagining that the post-Cold War era would never end. We have been living in the age of butter not guns, ploughshares not swords." https://t.co/oFraPxYz86— Niall Ferguson (@nfergus) March 2, 2024
·x.com·
Niall Ferguson on Twitter / X
Opinion | The Risk of a China War Over Taiwan Is Rising - The New Yor…
Opinion | The Risk of a China War Over Taiwan Is Rising - The New Yor…

In 2020 the balance of military power in the Taiwan Strait began a gradual but profound shift in China’s favor.

As a military analyst specializing in China and Taiwan who has spent the past two years managing an open-source database tracking Chinese military activity, I am deeply concerned about the dangers that this activity poses. Alarms should be ringing, but neither Taiwan nor the United States has taken meaningful action to deter China, ... .

·archive.is·
Opinion | The Risk of a China War Over Taiwan Is Rising - The New Yor…
War Between Israel and Hezbollah Is Now Inevitable
War Between Israel and Hezbollah Is Now Inevitable

It is likely that there is going to be a war between Hezbollah and Israel within the next six to eight months.

So, either Nasrallah will order his forces north to the Litani River, or the IDF will force them back. Hezbollah will resist because that is what it purports to do—and what better way to burnish its tattered domestic credentials? It is unlikely there is any way to hold off war now.

·archive.is·
War Between Israel and Hezbollah Is Now Inevitable
Europe’s long peace is over. We must prepare for the coming wars
Europe’s long peace is over. We must prepare for the coming wars
After decades of complacency, reality is starting to dawn. The world is not drawing inexorably closer, autocracies are not turning to democracy and liberalism, and geopolitical competition is growing more dangerous. The countries of Europe face multiple threats to their security. Russia continues to wage its war against Ukraine and could feasibly a...
·msn.com·
Europe’s long peace is over. We must prepare for the coming wars