Apple (AAPL) is returning to the bond market with a four-part offering that marks the company's fourth debt offering in a little over a year. In a regulatory filing, Apple outlines...
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Above Avalon: Apple's $400 Billion Buyback Program
One of the more certain items found with Apple’s upcoming 2Q19 earnings is that the board will approve increases to the company’s share buyback authorization and the quarterly cash dividend. The two capital return initiatives continue to be polarizing topics as Apple holds more than $100 billion of
AAPL has had a rough two months. The shares are down nearly 20% from all-time highs, shedding $275 billion of market cap in eight weeks. Unprecedented does a good job of describing the fall’s magnitude and speed. Apple’s dramatic stock price drop is now leading to a surge in pessimism towards the
Share buybacks have once again come under fire. Some companies that were recent buyers of their shares now find themselves in financial distress and seeking bailouts due to economic fallout from the pandemic. Set within this environment and backlash, Apple is scheduled to provide a
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The Market Underestimates Apple’s Massive Buyback Program, Says RBC
Apple (AAPL) has more than earned its reputation as a trend setter. According to RBC analyst Robert Muller, besides its position as a tech innovator, Apple is also “in a league of its own when it comes to share repurchases.”Muller argues the market is underestimating the financial impact Apple’s aggressive share buyback policy will have over the next few years.“We estimate that within our base case, AAPL can grow its EPS at a 3.5% CAGR over the next 5-years if we assume zero growth beyond FY20 while continuing its repurchase pace of ~$70 billion annually. What this implies, to us, is that the potential uplift from the upcoming 5G upgrade cycle is being discounted by the market (in addition to recent robust Wearables and Services growth as well as any potential future product innovations),” Muller explained.How long can Apple maintain its current program?Muller believes if Apple continues to grow its top-line at its current rate of 3-4%, while maintaining its annual $70 billion share repurchase initiative, it has a decade left before reaching its stated target of becoming “cash neutral.”Even considering a “no organic growth scenario,” Muller estimates the tech giant can keep up the current rate of buyback activity until mid-2023.“At which point,” Muller adds, “AAPL could then repurchase ~$45 billion of shares indefinitely without affecting its net cash position. We note that this is on top of nearly $15 billion of annual dividend payments.”To this end, Muller reiterated an Outperform (i.e. Buy) rating on Apple, while raising the price target from $345 to $390. The upside potential from current levels is 9%. (To watch Muller’s track record, click here)Overall, Apple's Strong Buy consensus rating is based on 29 Buys, 4 Holds and 1 Sell. However, after recently notching another all-time high, the $340.23 average price target suggests possible downside of 5%. (See Apple stock-price forecast on TipRanks)To find good ideas for stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a newly launched tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights.
I receive many questions about Apple from Above Avalon readers, listeners, and members. In previous years, one topic has been far ahead of any other as a source of questions. Everyone wanted to know about Apple’s share buyback program. Why is Apple buying back its shares? Is Tim Cook trying t