(What is the lag in voter perceptions following events? Do voters realize they are asked to compare one from before the pandemic against another afterward, e.g. rather than simply inflation? What is the impact internationally? What are the theories concerning surprises the challenger has in store to seize the prize, e.g. after they had tried mood and revolt? Will the parties of the Supreme Court member matter? What is a good problem set for a monthly review? Is this establishing a global strategy versus populists? Who are the significant analysts domestically and worldwide? Is AI having any effect, e.g. ease of data science on ChatGPT, or is that being ruled out? )

For now, it is the only case on track to conclude before Election Day, as Mr. Trump has managed to bog down the others in delays and appeals. (On the ground, the partisans appear to localize if not personalize issues that then get picked up in chatter. Ideally, for soul-searching rather than scapegoating.)