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A Research Agenda for the Economics of Transformative AI
A Research Agenda for the Economics of Transformative AI
(Or, once they can code, put them on economic methods and analysis. The work is the unfinished business, or problem set. Everyone else gets a management cap and jacket. The etymology of franchise followed freedom. One difference between the early sci-fi journals and now is that they thought time would proceed traditionally rather than tilt. Or maybe this is the key to the storm.)
·nber.org·
A Research Agenda for the Economics of Transformative AI
Canaries in the Coal Mine? Six Facts about the Recent Employment Effects of Artificial Intelligence
Canaries in the Coal Mine? Six Facts about the Recent Employment Effects of Artificial Intelligence

ChatGPT Nerd summary outline excerpts: The rookies are getting squeezed first. AI’s wings may be clipped for the inexperienced. AI’s impact isn’t quietly nibbling salaries—it’s knocking roles off the board entirely. When AI replaces rather than complements work, that's when the shockwaves are felt strongest. This isn’t a fluke in Silicon Valley or Zoom land—it’s a broader shift. (On the bright side, spotting the problem set allows the expert to solve it on the board: "And then a miracle occurs." Of course, the canary would be entry level in this one so, if that isn't chirping, it may have gone multimodal. See The Emotion Machine. But, just as the generative AI pioneers are trying economies that are off the screen, sort of crypto-codex, the next wave could be doing something like that on the ground in their regions. Not a disaster, but a sign of things to come, post-Capitalism. It's all been approved. Molon labe.)

·digitaleconomy.stanford.edu·
Canaries in the Coal Mine? Six Facts about the Recent Employment Effects of Artificial Intelligence