Economic Indicators

An inverted yield curve is an unusual state in which longer-term bonds have a lower yield than short-term debt instruments.

“RT @hannahgabes: I think about this every time I teach automatic stabilizers”

Inflation has risen steadily since 2021, with prices for some necessities increasing by 20% in that time.

The Economic Forces Behind Persistent Inflation

Hawkish comments by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell helped push a closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve to its deepest inversion since 1981 on Tuesday, once again putting a spotlight on what many investors consider a time-honored recession signal.

It’s preceded every recession since 1960.

The Federal Reserve will be hard-pressed to lower inflation without a significant blow to U.S. economic activity and a sharp rise in unemployment, and even then may miss its 2% inflation target for years to come, a group of top economists concluded after a review of central banks' past inflation battles.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics has updated its CPI formula to make it better reflect changes in consumer spending.

We can learn more from boxes than you might expect.

How has inflation impacted everyday goods like milk, flour, or fuel? This chart shows the annual change in the price of basic daily goods.

Cartoon of the Day #inflation #wages #economyhttps://t.co/8IQtr15pbm pic.twitter.com/DiaViXnJc4— Hedgeye (@Hedgeye) January 30, 2023

Pretty, pretty good.

Get 25% off Blinkist premium and enjoy 2 memberships for the price of 1! Start your 7-day free trial by clicking here: https://www.blinkist.com/howmoneyworks...

U.S. retail sales fell by the most in a year in December, pulled down by declines in purchases of motor vehicles and a range of other goods, putting consumer spending and the overall economy on a weaker growth path heading into 2023.

Bird flu is driving up egg and turkey prices — and killing millions of animals. Why won’t we vaccinate against it?

OMAHA, Neb. (AP) — Chickens may not be able to fly very far, but the price of eggs is soaring. A lingering bird flu outbreak, combined with soaring feed, fuel and labor costs, has led to U.S. egg prices more than doubling over the past year, and hatched a lot of sticker shock on grocery aisles.

The answer to when inflation will revert to its long-run average likely depends on whether we are still in the “Great Moderation” regime of less volatile inflation.

New data on Friday showed that job growth remained strong, despite widespread fears of a recession.

Graph and download economic data for Noncyclical Rate of Unemployment from Q1 1948 to Q4 2032 about NAIRU, long-term, projection, unemployment, rate, USA, labor underutilization, headline figure, civilian, 16 years +, labor, and household survey.

Interactive charts reporting results from the monthly Survey of Consumer Expectations plus links to data for download

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard presented 'The Prospects for Disinflation in 2023' at an event hosted by CFA Society St. Louis.

Boy, have we talked a lot about inflation. It affected every part of our lives (and the economy) in 2022. Here are some of its highest highs and lowest lows. (It wasn't all bad news!)

An analysis of state-level economic growth suggests that a certain number of contracting state economies could signal the start of a national recession.

An analysis of state-level economic growth suggests that a certain number of contracting state economies could signal the start of a national recession.

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.9 percent in the third quarter of 2022, in contrast to a decrease of 0.6 percent in the second quarter. The increase in the third quarter primarily reflected increases in exports and consumer spending that were partly offset by a decrease in housing investment.