#dWP-VW.THINKTANK I Q4/2025

The European Union plans to hike tariffs on steel imports to 50% and cut by nearly a half the volume of steel that’s allowed in before that higher rate is imposed, according to a draft proposal seen by Bloomberg.

Chinese carmakers grabbed a record 9.8% of Europe’s hybrid-vehicle sales in August, making further strides in a segment that’s gaining importance among car buyers and manufacturers.

Chinese carmakers grabbed a record 9.8% of Europe’s hybrid-vehicle sales in August, making further strides in a segment that’s gaining importance among car buyers and manufacturers.

Saudi Arabia’s crude exports leaped to the highest for 18 months in September, a sign that the kingdom’s share of OPEC+ output hikes is starting to hit global markets.

Saudi Arabia’s crude exports leaped to the highest for 18 months in September, a sign that the kingdom’s share of OPEC+ output hikes is starting to hit global markets.

The European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said there are no serious threats to the outlook for euro-area inflation but that officials must remain vigilant.

Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan said policymakers should be cautious in considering additional interest-rate reductions while inflation remains above target and the labor market relatively balanced.

Das Defizitziel von 4,5 Prozent des BIP soll eingehalten werden, doch das erwartete Minus wird um eine Milliarde Euro gegenüber den Prognosen bei der Budgeterstellung steigen. Eine entsprechende Information übermittelte das Finanzministerium an die EU und informierte am Donnerstag die Öffentlichkeit darüber.

Die schwache Wirtschaftsentwicklung belastet weiterhin den heimischen Arbeitsmarkt. Im Vergleich zum Vorjahresmonat stieg die Zahl der Arbeitslosen und Schulungsteilnehmer im September um 5,8 Prozent bzw. 20.455 Personen. Die Arbeitslosenquote erhöhte sich um 0,4 Prozentpunkte auf sieben Prozent, so die am Mittwoch veröffentlichten Zahlen. Laut dem Chef des Arbeitsmarktservice (AMS), Johannes Kopf, gibt es nichts Erfreuliches vom Arbeitsmarkt zu berichten.

Payrolls at US companies unexpectedly dropped in September, due at least in part to issues with data analysis.

Euro-area inflation accelerated in September, cementing the European Central Bank’s plans to keep interest rates steady for now.

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Nachdem am Dienstag bekannt geworden ist, dass der Lebensmittelhändler Unimarkt mit Sitz in Traun (Bezirk Linz-Land) alle seine gut 90 Standorte – Franchise und eigene – verkaufen und sich vom Markt zurückziehen will, signalisieren Handelsketten wie Spar, Rewe und Lidl Interesse an den Standorten.

OPEC+ is to discuss fast-tracking its latest round of supply hikes in three monthly instalments of about 500,000 barrels a day as it seeks to recoup market share, a delegate said.

European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip Lane said he doesn’t see any major risks to inflation in either direction, suggesting he and his colleagues may be happy to leave interest rates where they are for the time being.

Es ist schon ein Kraftakt gewesen für die Gewerkschaftsseite, sich überhaupt auf neue Verhandlungen einzulassen. Das bereits fixe Gehaltspaket soll wieder aufgeschnürt werden, auch die Beamten sollen nach dem Willen der Regierung zur Gesundung des Budgets beitragen. Nach einem ersten Abtasten vor zwei Wochen geht es am Dienstag am Verhandlungstisch im Kanzleramt ums Eingemachte. Der Ausgang: offen.

President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said they had agreed to a 20-point plan designed to end the war in Gaza, though the prospects for peace remained unclear without the direct involvement of Hamas.

Economists downgraded their projections for US job growth through the end of next year, helping explain why the Federal Reserve is expected continue to lower interest rates.

US personal spending rose at a solid clip in August for a third month, suggesting consumers continued to power the economy despite elevated inflation.

President Donald Trump announced a fresh round of tariffs, including a 100% duty on branded or patented pharmaceuticals starting October 1, unless a company is building a manufacturing plant in America.

The US economy grew in the second quarter at the fastest pace in nearly two years as the government revised up its previous estimate of consumer spending.

Nine European banks have joined forces to develop a euro-based stablecoin, as they seek to establish an alternative in a US dollar-dominated market.

US consumer sentiment fell in September to a four-month low on growing concerns about the impact of high prices on personal finances.

The good times have firmly come to an end, but wage growth remains strong

Global growth was more resilient than anticipated in the first half of 2025, with industrial production and trade supported by front-loading ahead of higher tariffs. However, recent indicators show some signs of softening growth and disinflation has levelled off. Effective tariff rates on imports to the United States have also risen further since May. Global growth is expected to moderate as the full impact of higher tariffs is felt. Key downside risks include further increases in trade barriers, a resurgence of inflationary pressures, increased concern about fiscal risks, and disruptive repricing in financial markets that endangers financial stability. On the upside, reductions in trade restrictions or more rapid development of artificial intelligence technologies could push economic growth higher.The Interim Report says that countries need to find ways of engaging co-operatively within the global trading system and working together to make trade policy more transparent and predictable. Central banks should remain vigilant, but can lower policy interest rates where underlying inflation is projected to moderate towards target, provided inflation expectations remain well anchored. Fiscal discipline is needed to safeguard longer-term debt sustainability and allow governments to react to future shocks. Enhanced structural reform efforts are required to durably improve living standards and help realise the potential from new technologies, such as artificial intelligence.The Interim Report is an update on the assessment in the June 2025 of the Economic Outlook (Volume 2025 Issue 1).

The euro area’s private sector expanded at the quickest pace in 16 months as outperformance in German services compensated for a slump in France.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the outlooks for the labor market and inflation face risks, reiterating his view that policymakers likely have a difficult road ahead as they weigh further interest-rate cuts.