#dieWIRTSCHAFTSPRAXIS-VW.THINKTANK I STATUS.QUO Q2/2025

Die Mieten sind vor allem in den Großstädten in den letzten Jahren stark gestiegen. Vizekanzler Andreas Babler (SPÖ) will die „Stopptaste“ drücken, wie er am Montag sagte. Er kündigte in seiner Funktion als Wohnungsminister eine Mietpreisbremse für die beiden kommenden Jahre und eine Verlängerung der Mindestbefristung an. Die Immobilienwirtschaft vermisst Antworten auf die „großen Fragen“.

The dollar will tumble to levels last seen during the Covid-19 pandemic by the middle of next year, hit by interest rate cuts and slowing growth, according to predictions by Morgan Stanley.

Ende Mai waren 375.347 Personen ohne Arbeitsplatz. 296.140 davon waren arbeitslos und 79.207 in Schulungsmaßnahmen beim Arbeitsmarktservice (AMS) gemeldet. Im Vergleich zum April stieg die Zahl um 6,9 Prozent bzw. 24.196 Personen. Die Arbeitslosenrate erhöhte sich um 0,5 Prozentpunkte auf 6,9 Prozent.

The latest World Economic Outlook reports a slowdown in global growth as downside risks intensify. While policy shifts unfold and uncertainties reach new highs, policies need to be calibrated to rebalance growth-inflation trade-offs, rebuild buffers, and reinvigorate medium-term growth, thereby reducing both internal and external imbalances. Policies that promote healthy aging, bridge gender disparities, and enhance the alignment of migrants’ skills with local labor market demands can play a crucial role in countering slow economic growth and fiscal pressures, especially when coupled with infrastructure investment.

Chinese automakers captured the biggest share of Europe’s electric-vehicle market in nine months, regaining ground lost after the European Union imposed tariffs last year.

US consumers hit the brakes in April while goods imports plummeted by a record as companies adjusted to higher tariffs.

German inflation slowed less than expected, highlighting lingering risks as the European Central Bank prepares to lower interest rates again.

The European Central Bank will lower interest rates twice more, according to a Bloomberg survey, but respondents warned it shouldn’t wait too long between those moves or investors will conclude that its easing campaign is already over.

President Donald Trump pushed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to lower interest rates at their first in-person meeting since the president’s inauguration, the White House said.

European Central Bank Governing Council member Francois Villeroy de Galhau said more reductions in borrowing costs could be on the way, with little sign at present of upward pressure on consumer prices.

President Donald Trump’s erratic policies offer a “prime opportunity” to strengthen the euro’s international role and allow the currency bloc to enjoy more of the privileges so far reserved for the US, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said.

President Xi Jinping’s government is considering a new version of its master plan to boost production of high-end technological goods, according to people familiar with the matter, signaling its intention to keep a firm grip on manufacturing as President Donald Trump looks to bring more factories back to the US.

France’s inflation rate dropped further below the European Central Bank’s 2% target, reaching a more than four-year low and adding to arguments that borrowing costs can be cut further.

President Donald Trump threatened a 50% tariff on goods from the European Union starting on June 1, saying “our discussions with them are going nowhere.”

Latest Bloomberg survey still suggests economy is shifting into a lower gear

Faster US inflation triggered by President Donald Trump’s tariffs wouldn’t necessarily spill over into the euro zone, according to European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip Lane.

The US Supreme Court shielded the Federal Reserve from Donald Trump’s push to fire top officials at independent federal agencies, in a decision likely to quell concerns that the president might move to fire Jerome Powell.

The European Central Bank must remain vigilant, despite almost having returned inflation to 2%, Governing Council member Joachim Nagel said.

Finance ministers and central bank governors from the Group of Seven nations pledged to address “excessive imbalances” in the global economy, an effort clearly aimed at China, though the final communique omitted the name of the country.

The European Central Bank warned that escalating global tariff tensions have emerged as a “significant concern” for financial stability and the global economy.

The European Central Bank warned that heightened investor concern over the riskiness of US assets following Donald Trump’s tariff drive could further jolt the world’s financial system.

Germany’s economy will stagnate this year, though a recovery is in sight thanks to plans to ramp up government spending, Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s independent panel of experts said.

JPMorgan Chase & Co. chief Jamie Dimon said he can’t rule out the US economy will fall into stagflation as the country faces huge risks from geopolitics, deficits and price pressures.

This Spring Forecast projects real GDP growth in 2025 at 1.1% in the EU and 0.9% in the euro area– broadly the same rates attained in 2024.

Die Inflation hat im April wieder leicht zugelegt. Im Jahresvergleich stiegen die Preise im Schnitt um 3,1 Prozent, wie die Statistik Austria am Montag mitteilte. Die Inflationsrate lag damit leicht über dem revidierten Wert von drei Prozent im März. Neben Strom und Miete hätten diesmal auch die Reisen in den Osterferien zum Preisanstieg beigetragen, so die Statistik Austria. Im Monatsvergleich legten die Preise im Schnitt um 0,2 Prozent zu.

Growth in US retail sales decelerated notably in April, suggesting consumers pulled back spending on cars, sporting goods and other categories of imported goods amid concerns about rising prices from tariffs.