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#dieWIRTSCHAFTSPRAXIS-VW.THINKTANK I STATUS.QUO Q2/2025
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ECB Governing Council Press Conference - 12 December 2024
HINWEIS: VIDEOAUSSCHNITTE ZUR ZINSENTSCHEIDUNG/-PROGNOSE 15:50 - 20:58 -> Was waren die Argumente für die 0,25%PP Senkung heute + ist eine 50%PP für das nächste Meeting möglich? 25:22 - 26:50 -> Sind Zölle inflationär bzw. wie wird die EZB darauf reagieren? 46:25 - 47:40 -> Neutraler Zinssatz, wo liegt er? (Aktuelle Spanne liegt bei 1,75-2,5%)
EZB PRESS-RELEASE I Pressekonferenz I 12.12.2024
Die Europäische Zentralbank (EZB) ist die Zentralbank der Mitgliedstaaten der Europäischen Union, die den Euro eingeführt haben. Unsere vorrangige Aufgabe ist es, Preisstabilität im Euroraum zu gewährleisten und so die Kaufkraft der gemeinsamen Währung zu erhalten.
EZB PRESS-RELEASE I Geldpolitische Beschlüsse I 12.12.2024
Die Europäische Zentralbank (EZB) ist die Zentralbank der Mitgliedstaaten der Europäischen Union, die den Euro eingeführt haben. Unsere vorrangige Aufgabe ist es, Preisstabilität im Euroraum zu gewährleisten und so die Kaufkraft der gemeinsamen Währung zu erhalten.
Trump and SoftBank CEO announce the company will invest $100 billion in US projects | CNN Politics (17.12.2024)
President-elect Donald Trump and SoftBank Group CEO Masayoshi Son announced Monday morning at Mar-a-Lago that the company is expected to invest $100 billion in US projects over the next four years with a goal of creating 100,000 new jobs, according to two people familiar with the announcement.
China Plans Around 5% Growth Goal, Higher Deficit, Reuters Says (17.12.2024)
Chinese leaders plan to set an annual growth goal of about 5% for next year and raise the budget deficit to 4% of gross domestic product, Reuters reported, citing two people it didn’t identify.
Debt Dangers Loom Large for Trump Treasury Nominee Scott Bessent (18.12.2024)
Trump’s choice to run US government finance was part of the Soros team that crashed the pound. His new reality is more complex than any exchange-rate wager.
T. Rowe Raises Prospect of Treasury Yields at 6% on Fiscal Risks (17.12.2024)
Treasury 10-year yields may climb to 6% for the first time in more than two decades as US fiscal woes worsen and Donald Trump’s policies help keep inflation elevated, according to T. Rowe Price.
Germany Business Outlook Slumps Amid Economic Uncertainty (17.12.2024)
German business expectations sank in December, highlighting the challenges for Europe’s top economy with snap elections likely to bring a change of government.
Germany Business Outlook Slumps Amid Economic Uncertainty (17.12.2024)
German business expectations sank in December, highlighting the challenges for Europe’s top economy with snap elections likely to bring a change of government.
Germany to Cut Federal Debt Sales 13% to €380 Billion in 2025 (17.12.2024)
Germany will reduce federal debt sales by 13% next year as the government scales back despite a sputtering economy and pressure to support Ukraine’s defense against Russia.
ECB’s Rehn Sees Direction Clear on Interest Rates as Inflation Stabilizes (17.12.2024)
European Central Bank interest rates will continue to head lower as inflation starts to stabilize around the 2% goal, according to its Governing Council member Olli Rehn.
Confidence of Foreign CEOs in China Slides Despite Stimulus (17.12.2024)
A key measure of CEO confidence in China signaled pessimism for the first time since the pandemic even after the nation unleashed a raft of stimulus measures.
MNC Leaders' Confidence in Doing Business in China Sinks
The survey underscores the lingering worries about China’s economy this year. On Monday, new data showed retail sales growth unexpectedly weakened in November, the latest reminder of a weak consumer sector. Chinese policymakers recently elevated boosting consumption as the top priority for economic efforts in 2025, only the second time they’ve done that in at least a decade.
China Capital Exodus Reaches Record Speed on Tariff Threat (17.12.2024)
China suffered the biggest outflow on record from its financial markets last month as the prospect of higher US tariffs posed more risks for the world’s second-largest economy.
China Capital Exodus Reaches Record Speed on Tariff Threat (17.12.2024)
China suffered the biggest outflow on record from its financial markets last month as the prospect of higher US tariffs posed more risks for the world’s second-largest economy.
China’s Factories Seek to Trump-Proof Business by Going Global (16.12.2024)
Weeks before Donald Trump returns to the White House, China’s factories are expanding production abroad and growing their customer base outside the US as they gird for new levies from the self-proclaimed “tariff man.”
Weather Derivatives: What Are They, And Why Is Demand Soaring? (17.12.2024)
As the world’s climate becomes increasingly volatile, businesses that depend on predictable weather are turning to financial products that compensate them when there’s a heat wave, a drought or an unusually persistent bout of rain.
Bond Traders Target Deeper 2025 Fed Rate Cuts Than Market Sees (18.12.2024)
Bond traders have been boosting options and futures wagers that the Federal Reserve is about to signal deeper interest-rate cuts next year than the market anticipates.
Fed Set to Cut Rates at Last 2024 Meeting, Update US Inflation Forecast (18.12.2024)
Federal Reserve officials are likely to lower borrowing costs for a third-straight meeting this week while also signaling fewer interest-rate cuts next year than previously projected.
Inflation im November bei 1,9 Prozent (18.12.2024)
IEA rechnet mit weltweiter Rekordnachfrage nach Kohle (18.12.2024)
Germany, economic-sentiment index I The ECONOMIST I 2024
Kryptowährung: Bitcoin erreicht Rekordhoch über 106.000 Dollar – Hoffnung auf strategische Reserve (16.12.2024)
ECB Broadly Comfortable With Market’s Rate-Cut Bets, Wunsch Says (16.12.2024)
Investor bets on how much lower the European Central Bank’s interest rates will have to fall are relatively consistent with policymakers’ own assessments, according to Governing Council member Pierre Wunsch.
Staatsfinanzen: Fiskalrat fordert Sparen „ohne Tabus“ (16.12.2024)
Österreich wird in den kommende Jahren Löcher im Staatshaushalt zu stopfen haben. Grund ist die schwache Konjunktur bei gleichzeitig steigenden öffentlichen Ausgaben. In seinem am Montag veröffentlichen Jahresbericht warnt der Fiskalrat eindringlich vor wachsenden Staatsschulden, sollte nicht gegengesteuert werden. Die Empfehlung lautet: „Konsolidierung ohne Tabus“ – aber mit Bedacht.
China Consumption Unexpectedly Slows as Stimulus Effects Fade (16.12.2024)
China’s retail sales growth unexpectedly weakened in November, highlighting the urgency for Beijing to further encourage residents to spend.
China Will Keep Trying to Spur Consumption Without Big Stimulus (16.12.2024)
China’s top leaders have signaled stronger stimulus to help fill a hole in consumer demand. That doesn’t mean Beijing will roll out a “bazooka” package just yet, or abandon its factory focus.
Lagarde Says ECB to Cut Further With Inflation Close to Goal (16.12.2024)
The European Central Bank will lower borrowing costs further as the inflation spike of recent years increasingly moves into the rear-view mirror, bringing the 2% target within reach, President Christine Lagarde said.
CPI Report: Fed Seen Likely to Cut Rates in December But More Cautious in 2025 (11.12.2024)
Fresh inflation figures are likely to make the Federal Reserve more cautious about the pace of interest-rate cuts — but not quite yet.