#dieWIRTSCHAFTSPRAXIS-VW.THINKTANK I STATUS.QUO Q2/2025

As the world’s climate becomes increasingly volatile, businesses that depend on predictable weather are turning to financial products that compensate them when there’s a heat wave, a drought or an unusually persistent bout of rain.

Bond traders have been boosting options and futures wagers that the Federal Reserve is about to signal deeper interest-rate cuts next year than the market anticipates.

Federal Reserve officials are likely to lower borrowing costs for a third-straight meeting this week while also signaling fewer interest-rate cuts next year than previously projected.

Investor bets on how much lower the European Central Bank’s interest rates will have to fall are relatively consistent with policymakers’ own assessments, according to Governing Council member Pierre Wunsch.

Österreich wird in den kommende Jahren Löcher im Staatshaushalt zu stopfen haben. Grund ist die schwache Konjunktur bei gleichzeitig steigenden öffentlichen Ausgaben. In seinem am Montag veröffentlichen Jahresbericht warnt der Fiskalrat eindringlich vor wachsenden Staatsschulden, sollte nicht gegengesteuert werden. Die Empfehlung lautet: „Konsolidierung ohne Tabus“ – aber mit Bedacht.

China’s retail sales growth unexpectedly weakened in November, highlighting the urgency for Beijing to further encourage residents to spend.

China’s top leaders have signaled stronger stimulus to help fill a hole in consumer demand. That doesn’t mean Beijing will roll out a “bazooka” package just yet, or abandon its factory focus.

The European Central Bank will lower borrowing costs further as the inflation spike of recent years increasingly moves into the rear-view mirror, bringing the 2% target within reach, President Christine Lagarde said.

Fresh inflation figures are likely to make the Federal Reserve more cautious about the pace of interest-rate cuts — but not quite yet.

Companies say they confront multiple obstacles to reshoring production, from environmental regulations to labor shortages.

Investments by Alphabet, Amazon.com and others may take years to pay off. Skeptics worry about a bubble.

America’s surprisingly robust economy has raised expectations that US interest rates will stay high compared to Europe next year.

Deutschland erreicht einen Punkt, an dem es kein Zurück mehr gibt. Wirtschaftsbosse wissen es, die Menschen im Land spüren es — doch die Politik findet keine Antworten.

Deutschland erreicht einen Punkt, an dem es kein Zurück mehr gibt. Wirtschaftsbosse wissen es, die Menschen im Land spüren es — doch die Politik findet keine Antworten.

The euro-area’s private sector shrank less than anticipated in December thanks to a bigger than expected contribution from the services sector.

China’s President Xi Jinping in recent years has shopped his nation as a model for others in the great competition with the West, and his government is poised to double down on its criticism of the US after Donald Trump takes office again.

European Central Bank policymakers said more interest-rate reductions are on the way, with France’s Francois Villeroy de Galhau saying investors’ bets on more than 100 basis points of easing look reasonable.

Germany’s economy will hardly grow in 2025 after shrinking again this year, according to fresh forecasts from Bundesbank.

Germany’s economy will hardly grow in 2025 after shrinking again this year, according to fresh forecasts from Bundesbank.

Europe’s central banks are taking a determined dovish turn to aid economies bracing for more disruption from Donald Trump’s second stint in the White House.

China signaled more public borrowing and spending in 2025 with a shift of policy focus to consumption, in an effort to repair the economy’s weak link as looming US tariffs threaten exports.

President-elect Donald Trump says renewing tax cuts would turbo-charge investment and boost US economic growth — a pledge that helped propel him to election victory in November.

Pacific Investment Management Co. and Fidelity International are among investors who say the darkening economic outlook in Europe may force policymakers to cut interest rates more than the market expects.

European Central Bank policymakers expect to cut interest rates by another quarter point in January and probably also in March as inflation stabilizes at the 2% target and economic growth remains sluggish, according to officials familiar with their thinking.

Federal Reserve officials will lower interest rates this month for a third straight time and pare back the number of rate cuts they anticipate next year, according to economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

Das US-Magazin „Time“ hat den designierten Präsidenten Donald Trump zur Person des Jahres 2024 gekürt. In einem begleitenden Interview skizzierte Trump einige seiner Pläne: Bei der Abschiebung von illegal Eingereisten will er das Militär einsetzen. Kinderimpfprogramme könnten gestrichen werden, und Kapitol-Stürmer von Jänner 2021 will er begnadigen. Auch bei seiner Vereidigung könnte es eine Premiere geben.