Global Economy Won’t Feel Much Pain From Trump Agenda in 2025 (10.12.2024)
Promised overhaul of conventional wisdom on trade, debt and security won’t happen overnight.
#dieWIRTSCHAFTSPRAXIS-VW.THINKTANK I STATUS.QUO Q2/2025
ECB Officials to Lock Horns Over How Much Cuts Can Boost Economy (10.12.2024)
European Central Bank officials agree that lower interest rates are needed to buoy the region’s shaky economy. How much they can actually help, though, is hotly contested.
Fiscal Debt Binge Is World’s Biggest Stability Threat, BIS Says (10.12.2024)
Government borrowing habits pose the biggest danger to world economic stability and recent shifts in market sentiment should serve as a warning, the Bank for International Settlements said.
China Economists Ramp Up Expectations for Rate Cuts, Spending (10.12.2024)
China may raise its budget deficit to the highest in three decades and make the deepest interest-rate cuts since 2015 following the boldest stimulus signals from its top leaders in years, according to economists.
Trump Policy Report I National Institute of Economic and Social Research I BLOMMBERG I 10.12.2024
If President-elect Donald Trump follows through on his policy program, it will trigger a US recession, according to the London-based think tank National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
“In a worst case scenario, where immigrant expulsions are massive, tariff increases hit straight away and retaliation is swift and effective, GDP could contract by two to three percentage points,” NIESR said in a release this month. That compares with a trend growth estimate of about 2%.
Even modest migrant expulsions would push up wage costs and inflation, according to the analysis by NIESR fellow Paul Mortimer-Lee. Sustained deportations would mean a persistent hit to growth, unlike tariffs’ one-off shock, NIESR said. The report also cautioned that undermining Fed independence could see inflation above 7% by 2027.
Xi warnt vor Folgen von Handelskrieg mit USA (10.12.2024)
China Targets Nvidia (NVDA) For Potential Breaches of Anti-Monopoly Law (09.12.2024)
China has opened a probe into Nvidia Corp. over suspicions that the US chipmaker broke anti-monopoly laws around a landmark 2020 deal, taking aim at the AI heavyweight as Washington ramps up sanctions.
Bericht: China fährt nahe Taiwan Dutzende Kriegsschiffe auf (09.12.2024)
EU’s Teresa Ribera Pledges Vigilance on China’s Clean-Tech Tactics (05.12.2024)
The European Union should guard against Chinese attempts to dominate the bloc’s clean-tech market and make sure its exports aren’t destroying local rivals, the EU’s new competition chief warned.
Warum eine stärkere EZB-Zinssenkung nicht vom Radar verschwindet (09.12.2024)
Marktteilnehmer und Ökonomen können sich nicht ganz von der Vorstellung lösen, dass die Europäische Zentralbank in den kommenden Monaten eine größere Zinssenkung vornehmen wird.
China Consumer Inflation Slows Despite Stimulus to Support Economy (09.12.2024)
China’s consumer inflation unexpectedly decelerated in November while factory deflation eased, painting a mixed picture of the effects of recent stimulus efforts on the economy ahead of key policy meetings this week.
China Signals Bolder Stimulus for Next Year as Trump Returns (09.12.2024)
China’s top leaders signaled bolder economic support next year using their most direct language on stimulus in years, as Beijing braces for a trade war when Donald Trump takes office.
Trump Is on Collision Course With EU Over Big Tech Crackdown (09.12.2024)
The European Union’s multiyear clampdown on some of the largest American companies is set to force President-elect Donald Trump to decide which bothers him more: Europe or Big Tech.
ECB Rate Cuts: Why a Half-Point Move Refuses to Drop Off Investor Radars (09.12.2024)
Investors and economists can’t quite shake the idea that the European Central Bank will deliver a bigger cut in interest rates over the coming months.
Turmoil in Paris and Berlin Overshadows ECB Policy in Frankfurt (08.12.2024)
European Central Bank officials long used to navigating troubling times for the world now face a headache far closer to home: a leadership crisis at the heart of the euro zone itself.
Abu Dhabi Finance Week- Tariffs, Geopolitics Can Rattle Markets in 2025: UBS CEO (09.12.2024)
The incoming US administration’s potential move to raise tariffs on trading partners could combine with conflicts around the globe to increase risk in financial markets next year, according to the chief executive of UBS Group AG.
Trump Fires Early Warning Shot at Dollar’s Would-Be Challengers (07.12.2024)
Donald Trump has jumped straight into action as the defender of dollar power, training some heavy fire on an enemy that barely even exists.
Chinese Stocks, Yuan Stage Late Rebound on Politburo Pledges (09.12.2024)
Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong rebounded in the final hour of trading as the nation’s top leaders vowed to ease monetary policy and expand fiscal spending.
Nachhaltigkeit: Berichtspflicht auch für KMU (08.12.2024)
2025 müssen Unternehmen mit mehr als 250 Beschäftigten oder 40 Millionen Euro Jahresumsatz einen umfassenden Nachhaltigkeitsbericht erstellen. Diese neue EU-Regel und das Lieferkettengesetzt sorgen nun dafür, dass auch Klein- und Mittelbetriebe (KMU) in die Pflicht genommen werden.
Handelsverband zufrieden mit Weihnachtsgeschäft (08.12.2024)
Trump droht erneut mit US-Austritt aus NATO (08.12.2024)
Trump Tells NBC He Has No Plan to Remove Powell as Fed Chair (08.12.2024)
President-elect Donald Trump said he has no plans to replace Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell once he returns to the White House, saying “I don’t see it.”
US Executives Turn More Optimistic After Trump’s Reelection, Surveys Show (05.12.2024)
US executives turned significantly more optimistic about the economy and prospects for their own businesses after Donald Trump won the presidential election, with finance chiefs and other leaders expecting stronger growth in 2025 even as they see inflation as a risk, two surveys showed.
US Executives Turn More Optimistic After Trump’s Reelection, Surveys Show (05.12.2024)
US executives turned significantly more optimistic about the economy and prospects for their own businesses after Donald Trump won the presidential election, with finance chiefs and other leaders expecting stronger growth in 2025 even as they see inflation as a risk, two surveys showed.
Trump's First-Term Tariffs on China Hurt US Economy, Stocks, Research Finds (04.12.2024)
Tariffs imposed on China during President-elect Donald Trump’s first term had negative effects for the US economy, according to newly released research from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
China Sets Precedent by Banning Others From Selling Goods to US (06.12.2024)
Beijing has set out to extend its domestic laws across international borders with a ban on selling some goods to the US that applies to companies both inside and outside China.
Trump’s China Tariff Plan Has $64 Billion Import Hole (05.12.2024)
President-elect Donald Trump has promised to impose 10% tariffs on all imports from China as soon as he takes office next month.
Manufacturing Outlook Brightens Across Several US Regions I BLOOMBERG I 07.12.2024
ECB Rate Cuts: Faster Moves Likely to Revive Eurozone Economy, Survey Shows (06.12.2024)
The European Central Bank will cut interest rates more rapidly than previously envisaged to perk up an economy facing weaker growth and inflation, a Bloomberg survey showed.
Zurückhaltung beim Wohnungsneubau (06.12.2024)
Mit dem Auslaufen der KIM-Verordnung Ende Juni kommenden Jahres wird es deutlich leichter, einen Wohnbaukredit zu bekommen. Das begrüßen Banken und vor allem auch die Wohnbauträger, die schon länger mit leerstehenden Wohnungen zu kämpfen haben.