#dieWIRTSCHAFTSPRAXIS-VW.THINKTANK I STATUS.QUO Q2/2025

Treasury 10-year yields may climb to 6% for the first time in more than two decades as US fiscal woes worsen and Donald Trump’s policies help keep inflation elevated, according to T. Rowe Price.

German business expectations sank in December, highlighting the challenges for Europe’s top economy with snap elections likely to bring a change of government.

German business expectations sank in December, highlighting the challenges for Europe’s top economy with snap elections likely to bring a change of government.

Germany will reduce federal debt sales by 13% next year as the government scales back despite a sputtering economy and pressure to support Ukraine’s defense against Russia.

European Central Bank interest rates will continue to head lower as inflation starts to stabilize around the 2% goal, according to its Governing Council member Olli Rehn.

A key measure of CEO confidence in China signaled pessimism for the first time since the pandemic even after the nation unleashed a raft of stimulus measures.

China suffered the biggest outflow on record from its financial markets last month as the prospect of higher US tariffs posed more risks for the world’s second-largest economy.

China suffered the biggest outflow on record from its financial markets last month as the prospect of higher US tariffs posed more risks for the world’s second-largest economy.

Weeks before Donald Trump returns to the White House, China’s factories are expanding production abroad and growing their customer base outside the US as they gird for new levies from the self-proclaimed “tariff man.”

As the world’s climate becomes increasingly volatile, businesses that depend on predictable weather are turning to financial products that compensate them when there’s a heat wave, a drought or an unusually persistent bout of rain.

Bond traders have been boosting options and futures wagers that the Federal Reserve is about to signal deeper interest-rate cuts next year than the market anticipates.

Federal Reserve officials are likely to lower borrowing costs for a third-straight meeting this week while also signaling fewer interest-rate cuts next year than previously projected.

Investor bets on how much lower the European Central Bank’s interest rates will have to fall are relatively consistent with policymakers’ own assessments, according to Governing Council member Pierre Wunsch.

Österreich wird in den kommende Jahren Löcher im Staatshaushalt zu stopfen haben. Grund ist die schwache Konjunktur bei gleichzeitig steigenden öffentlichen Ausgaben. In seinem am Montag veröffentlichen Jahresbericht warnt der Fiskalrat eindringlich vor wachsenden Staatsschulden, sollte nicht gegengesteuert werden. Die Empfehlung lautet: „Konsolidierung ohne Tabus“ – aber mit Bedacht.

China’s retail sales growth unexpectedly weakened in November, highlighting the urgency for Beijing to further encourage residents to spend.

China’s top leaders have signaled stronger stimulus to help fill a hole in consumer demand. That doesn’t mean Beijing will roll out a “bazooka” package just yet, or abandon its factory focus.

The European Central Bank will lower borrowing costs further as the inflation spike of recent years increasingly moves into the rear-view mirror, bringing the 2% target within reach, President Christine Lagarde said.

Fresh inflation figures are likely to make the Federal Reserve more cautious about the pace of interest-rate cuts — but not quite yet.

Companies say they confront multiple obstacles to reshoring production, from environmental regulations to labor shortages.

Investments by Alphabet, Amazon.com and others may take years to pay off. Skeptics worry about a bubble.

America’s surprisingly robust economy has raised expectations that US interest rates will stay high compared to Europe next year.

Deutschland erreicht einen Punkt, an dem es kein Zurück mehr gibt. Wirtschaftsbosse wissen es, die Menschen im Land spüren es — doch die Politik findet keine Antworten.

Deutschland erreicht einen Punkt, an dem es kein Zurück mehr gibt. Wirtschaftsbosse wissen es, die Menschen im Land spüren es — doch die Politik findet keine Antworten.

The euro-area’s private sector shrank less than anticipated in December thanks to a bigger than expected contribution from the services sector.

China’s President Xi Jinping in recent years has shopped his nation as a model for others in the great competition with the West, and his government is poised to double down on its criticism of the US after Donald Trump takes office again.

European Central Bank policymakers said more interest-rate reductions are on the way, with France’s Francois Villeroy de Galhau saying investors’ bets on more than 100 basis points of easing look reasonable.