#dieWIRTSCHAFTSPRAXIS-VW.THINKTANK I STATUS.QUO Q2/2025

Der Fiskalrat erwartet für die Jahre 2024 und 2025 ein höheres Budgetdefizit als zuletzt prognostiziert. Für heuer rechnen die Expertinnen und Experten mit einem Minus von 3,9 Prozent und für kommendes Jahr von 4,1 Prozent des Bruttoinlandsprodukts (BIP). Im Frühjahr waren sie noch von einem Abgang von 3,4 (2024) bzw. 3,2 Prozent (2025) ausgegangen. Die Einleitung eines Defizitverfahrens der EU hält der Fiskalrat daher für „wahrscheinlich“, hieß es in einer Aussendung am Dienstag.

The Russian government’s revenue from the oil industry fell by 29% in October from a year earlier due to lower crude prices and higher state payouts to the nation’s fuel producers.

Catch up: Trump claims victory; Republicans take the Senate

Die Wirtschaft Russlands ist durch hohe Kriegskosten „überhitzt“. Die Zentralbank unternimmt Anstrengungen zur Gegensteuerung. Der Erfolg bleibt jedoch beschränkt.

China’s top legislative body reviewed a proposal to transfer some off-balance-sheet debt of local governments to their official accounts, aiming to ease their financial burden in a move foreshadowed by officials.

Chinese lawmakers are gathering in the shadow of the US election to sign off on a fiscal package that’s set to run into the trillions of yuan yet is unlikely to put the market fully at ease.

Higher US tariffs on Chinese goods could dent growth but also force a long-awaited shift to the consumer in the world’s second-largest economy, according to economists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

The US heavily taxed imports for much of its history before largely abandoning the policy, beginning in the 1930s, as government leaders embraced the idea of free trade. High tariffs made a comeback during the presidency of Donald Trump, who adopted them in an effort to revitalize American manufacturing and to counter what the US regards as China’s unfair trade practices. Trump’s successor Joe Biden kept the trend going.

Apple Inc.’s iPhone exports from India jumped by a third in the six months through September, underscoring its push to expand manufacturing in the country and reduce dependence on China.

Upmarket brands are scrambling to adjust strategy after being wrongfooted by the rapid downturn in Chinese spending.

If the US were to deport the 1.7 million undocumented workers who help power its food system, trips to the supermarket will only get more expensive.

When Jung Yoonseok was looking for an assembly partner for his AI chip startup, he had his pick of almost any country in Asia, including his native South Korea. Instead, the Rebellions strategy chief opted for Taiwan because of what he sees as an unparalleled combination of talent, cost and speed.

Laut einer Schnellschätzung der Statistik Austria steigt das Preisniveau gegenüber dem Vormonat September um 0,3 Prozent

A weak October employment report keeps Federal Reserve officials on track to cut interest rates by a quarter point when they meet next week and gives them room to continue lowering borrowing costs.

Forecasters anticipate a monthly report on US employment will show a steady unemployment rate even as storms and strikes put a temporary dent in hiring.

China’s residential property sales rose in October, the first year-on-year increase of 2024, as the government’s latest stimulus blitz brought back buyers.

Billions in government incentives haven’t reversed an alarming drop in birth rates. Women in South Korea, Japan and China tell us what could.

China’s first major economic indicators after authorities unveiled their recent stimulus push suggest the economy has stabilized somewhat, with manufacturing and housing sectors showing tentative signs of recovery.

The European Central Bank must continue to lower borrowing costs to keep inflation from undershooting, according to Governing Council member Fabio Panetta.

The scenario of another contested presidential race riven by violence looms as an unpriced risk for investors who have long counted on US institutional integrity as a foundation for the nation’s economic strength.

Euro-area inflation accelerated more than expected — matching the European Central Bank’s target and boosting arguments for gradual rate cuts.

The Czech economy is confronting a series of potential inflationary risks that warrant a consideration of pausing interest-rate cuts, a top central banker said.

The European Central Bank can afford to take a careful approach to lowering interest rates and officials should keep paying close attention to incoming information, according to Governing Council member Joachim Nagel.

The European Union has decided to send officials to Beijing to hold more talks aimed at finding an alternative to tariffs on electric vehicles from China, according to people familiar with the matter.

Gross domestic product was expected to increase at a 3.1% annualized pace in the third quarter.

Die Wirtschaft im Euro-Raum ist im dritten Quartal stärker gewachsen als erwartet. Laut Eurostat-Schnellschätzung stieg das saisonbereinigte Bruttoinlandsprodukt (BIP) um 0,4 Prozent. Während Österreich mit 0,3 Prozent knapp unter dem Schnitt liegt, setzt Spanien seinen Wachstumskurs fort. Das Land profitiert von einem enormen Tourismusboom, das Wachstum in anderen Bereichen ist aber noch deutlich stärker.