America and China prepare for an Alpine trade clash
Might tariffs fall from their mountainous highs?
#dieWIRTSCHAFTSPRAXIS-VW.THINKTANK I STATUS.QUO Q2/2025
FED ZINSENTSCHEID I 07.05.2025 I NOTIZEN M.E.STUBENBÖCK.pdf
FOMC Press Conference May 7, 2025
HINWEIS: VIDEOAUSSCHNITTE ZUR ZINSENTSCHEIDUNG/-PROGNOSE
- 11:50 I Wie ist der Fahrplan zum neuen SOFT-Landing-Szenario
- 41:40 I Warum wartet man noch, da SOFT-Daten zeigen Veränderung (Inflation+ARLO+), warum wartet man auf HARD-Daten - glaubt man den SOFT-Daten nicht
FOMCpresconf20250507.pdf
monetary20250507a1.pdf
Chinese Trade Flow Resilient at End of April Despite US Tariffs (06.05.2025)
China’s trade flows increased at the end of April, indicating the damage from US tariffs has yet to manifest in actual shipments even though the trade war is widely expected to eventually slow the world’s second-largest economy.
Creditreform: Pleiten stiegen in Europa 2024 (06.05.2025)
Creditreform: Pleiten stiegen in Europa 2024 (06.05.2025)
Österreichs Außenwirtschaft erzielte 2024 Plus (06.05.2025)
US-Handelsdefizit auf Rekordhoch gestiegen (06.05.2025)
WIFO-Chef für Aufmachen von Beamtengehaltsabschluss (06.05.2025)
China Cuts Key Rate, Reserve Ratio to Aid Economy Hit by Tariffs (07.05.2025)
China reduced its policy rate and lowered the amount of cash lenders must keep in reserve, as Beijing ramps up efforts to help an economy caught in a second trade war with the US.
Immobilienmarkt: Altbaumietshäuser als Spekulationsobjekte (05.05.2025)
Eine neue Studie der TU Wien im Auftrag der Arbeiterkammer (AK) zeigt: Der Wiener Altbau-Mietwohnungsmarkt ist fest in der Hand von Spekulanten und Immobilienfirmen. Während Investoren Millionengewinne erzielen, geraten Mieter zunehmend unter Druck.
China Quietly Exempts About a Quarter of US Imports from Tariffs (02.05.2025)
China has quietly started to exempt some US goods from tariffs that likely cover around $40 billion worth of imports, in what looks like an effort to soften the blow of the trade war on its own economy.
Tariff Concerns Drive Global Food Prices to Two-Year High (02.05.2025)
Global food prices rose to a two-year high in April, a sign that tariff uncertainty is starting to put a squeeze on trade.
Tariff Concerns Drive Global Food Prices to Two-Year High (02.05.2025)
Global food prices rose to a two-year high in April, a sign that tariff uncertainty is starting to put a squeeze on trade.
Euro-Zone Inflation Holds Above Target as ECB Weighs Cuts (02.05.2025)
Euro-area inflation unexpectedly held steady and an underlying measure jumped in an awkward report for officials weighing how to respond to the economic hit from US tariffs.
Inflation bleibt hoch – 3,1 Prozent im April (02.05.2025)
Als Preistreiber fungieren Pauschalreisen. Auch Nahrungsmittel steigen überdurchschnittlich im Preis.
Fed’s Powell Is About to Defy Trump and Hold Rates Steady (03.05.2025)
Things are getting awkward for the Federal Reserve.
US Jobs Report: Payroll Growth Tops Forecasts With 177,000 Positions Added (02.05.2025)
US job growth was robust in April and the unemployment rate held steady, suggesting uncertainty over President Donald Trump’s trade policy has yet to have a material impact on hiring plans.
No Fed Cuts Until September Despite Rising Risks, Economists Say (02.05.2025)
Economists see a darkening outlook for the US economy but are sticking by projections for two interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year.
praesentation-neubaubericht-2025.pdf
A superpower crunch over Taiwan is coming (01.05.2025)
Folgend werden 3 aktuelle Brennpunkte/Faktoren, welche eine Übernahme von Taiwan durch China begünstigen, dargelegt:
- Unter Trump verliert Amerika seine Abschreckungskraft: Die durch Handelskrieg und Protektionismus geschwächte US-Abschreckung macht China mutiger, Taiwan zu versuchen, zu erobern.
- Chinas "Grauzonen"-Taktiken: Durch Inspektionen, Quarantänen und Zollkontrollen in taiwanesischen Gewässern versucht China, Taiwans Souveränität zu untergraben und Zweifel an der Bereitschaft und Fähigkeit der USA, im Konflikt zu helfen, zu säen.
- Innenpolitische Instabilität in Taiwan: Polarisierung, politische Blockaden und politische Uneinigkeit in Taiwans Regierung verhindern entscheidende Verteidigungsmaßnahmen, was die Insel anfälliger macht Diese Faktoren erhöhen das Risiko eines Konflikts um Taiwan, obwohl ein direkter Krieg auch durch strategische, politische und militärische Überlegungen beeinflusst wird.
French Economy Returns to Growth But Still Faces Trade Hit (30.04.2025)
France’s economy returned to growth at the start of the year but showed little momentum as it headed into a tougher environment marred by global trade tensions.
Insurers May Face $145 Billion in Catastrophe Losses in 2025 (29.04.2025)
Insured losses from natural catastrophes could soar to $145 billion this year — well above the 10-year average — as population growth, urban sprawl and climate change combine to supercharge risks, according to a report by Swiss Re Institute.
US Economy Contracts for First Time Since 2022 on Imports Surge (30.04.2025)
The US economy contracted at the start of the year for the first time since 2022 on a monumental pre-tariffs import surge and softer consumer spending, a first snapshot of the ripple effects from President Donald Trump’s trade policy.
Core PCE: Fed’s Preferred Inflation Gauge Stalls While Spending Picks Up (30.04.2025)
US consumer spending jumped in March while a key measure of inflation decelerated, a welcome reprieve before tariffs are expected to broadly drive up prices.
US and Ukraine Sign Natural Resources Deal (01.05.2025)
The US and Ukraine reached a deal over access to the country’s natural resources, offering a measure of assurance to officials in Kyiv who had feared that President Donald Trump would pull back his support in peace talks with Russia.
ECB Should Be Cautious on Further Rate Cuts, Stournaras Says (29.04.2025)
The European Central Bank should proceed carefully with additional cuts in borrowing costs due to the uncertain global environment, Governing Council Member Yannis Stournaras said.
US Jobless Claims Jumps to Highest Since February After Easter Holiday (01.05.2025)
Applications for US unemployment benefits jumped to the highest level since February during the week that followed Easter.