ERSTE I CEE Macro Outlook, 11.03.2024
China Imposes 34% Tariffs on All US Imports as Retaliation (04.04.2025)
China retaliated against new US tariffs with levies on all American imports, delivering on a promise to strike back after President Donald Trump imposed duties and escalating a trade fight.
Fed's Powell Says Trump Tariff Impact Likely to Be Larger Than Expected (04.04.2025)
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the economic impact of new tariffs is likely to be significantly larger than expected, and the central bank must make sure that doesn’t lead to a growing inflation problem.
ECB Rate-Cut Bets Build as Growth Tops List of Tariff Worries (04.04.2025)
Expectations for European Central Bank interest-rate cuts are rising as investors and analysts assessing the fallout from Donald Trump’s tariffs conclude that the outcome for inflation will be more benign while growth will suffer.
US Payroll Growth Beats Forecasts, Unemployment Rate Ticks Up (04.04.2025)
US job growth beat forecasts in March and the unemployment rate edged up, pointing to a healthy labor market before the global economy gets hit by widespread tariffs.
US Services Index Falters as Employment Shrinks Most Since 2023 (03.04.2025)
US service providers expanded in March at the slowest pace in nine months as orders growth cooled and a measure of employment tumbled to the lowest since 2023.
Fed’s Jefferson Says Rates Well Positioned for Uncertainty (03.04.2025)
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said interest rates remain well positioned to handle competing risks despite a high degree of uncertainty in the economic outlook amid substantial changes to US policies on trade, immigration and regulation.
ECB's Nagel Says Trump Tariffs Will Put ECB Policy Progress to the Test (03.04.2025)
US President Donald Trump’s array of tariffs threatens the global economy and calls into question the European Central Bank’s achievements in fighting inflation, according to Governing Council member Joachim Nagel.
US Tariffs Seen as Far Worse Shock to China Than First Trade War (03.04.2025)
Donald Trump’s latest tariff hikes threaten to inflict a bigger hit on China’s economy than it suffered during his first trade war.
Budgetgipfel: Bund, Länder, Gemeinden zeigen Einhelligkeit (02.04.2025)
Spitzenvertreter von Bund, Ländern und Gemeinden haben am Mittwoch im Bundeskanzleramt ein Gipfelgespräch abgehalten, um über die Sanierung des aus dem Ruder gelaufenen Budgets zu beraten. Nach dem Termin äußerte man sich einhellig: Bundeskanzler Christian Stocker (ÖVP) sprach nach dem Treffen von einem Stufenplan, um auch langfristig den Staatshaushalt in den Griff zu bekommen. Erstes Ziel sei es, das Defizit auf drei Prozent und damit das Maastricht-Ziel zu drücken.
US JOLTS February 2025: Job Openings Decline by More Than Forecast (01.04.2025)
US job openings fell in February while layoffs remained subdued, adding to evidence of a labor market that’s only gradually cooling.
China startet große Militärübung rund um Taiwan (01.04.2025)
Das chinesische Militär will es als »ernste Warnung« an Taiwan verstanden wissen: Streitkräfte nähern sich der Insel für eine Übung aus der Luft und vom Wasser. Taiwan hat bereits reagiert.
ECB’s Schnabel Revives Joint-Debt Debate to Bolster Euro’s Role (02.04.2025)
European Central Bank Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel said it’s time to talk about joint debt again in the euro area as policymakers see an opportunity to bolster the currency’s role in the global economy.
China Restricts Companies From Investing in US as Tensions Rise (02.04.2025)
China has taken steps to restrict local companies from investing in the US, according to people familiar with the matter, in a move that could give Beijing more leverage for potential trade negotiations with the Trump administration.
Fed’s Barkin Says Tariffs Could Reduce Jobs and Raise Inflation (01.04.2025)
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Tom Barkin said President Donald Trump’s tariffs could raise both inflation and unemployment, creating a big challenge for the central bank.
Schnellschätzung: Teuerung im März bei 2,9 Prozent (01.04.2025)
Fast 400.000 Arbeitslose im März (01.04.2025)
Einkommen und Konsum: Deutlicher Trend zum Sparen (01.04.2025)
Wie viel haben die Österreicherinnen und Österreicher in den letzten Jahren im Durchschnitt verdient, und wie viel davon konnten sie sich auf die Seite legen? Antworten auf diese beiden Fragen geben Zahlen der Statistik Austria vom Montag. Die Verdienststrukturerhebung bis 2022 zeichnet die Entwicklung der Löhne und Gehälter nach Branchen, Geschlecht und Region nach. Auffallend ist aktuell ein deutlicher Trend zum Sparen und zur Zurückhaltung beim Konsum.
Germany inflation Slows More Than Expected as ECB Weighs Next Move (31.03.2025)
German inflation slowed more than anticipated in March, nearing the European Central Bank’s 2% target as officials ponder whether to lower interest rates again at their next meeting or pause.
China Ready to Buy More Products from India as US Tariffs Loom (01.04.2025)
China is willing to buy more Indian products to balance trade, Beijing’s Ambassador Xu Feihong said just ahead of a US tariff announcement expected to hit the south Asian neighbors.
Euro-Zone Inflation Slows as ECB Officials Weigh Rate-Cut Pause (01.04.2025)
Euro-area inflation eased further toward the European Central Bank’s 2% target as officials weigh whether or not to continue lowering interest rates.
More ECB Officials Appear Ready to Accept an April Rate Pause (31.03.2025)
Several European Central Bank officials are still wavering on whether to cut interest rates next month, according to people familiar with the matter, suggesting the meeting remains far more open than investors are betting.
China’s New Home Sales Fall as Sluggish Demand Weighs on Market (31.03.2025)
China’s residential sales fell again in March, suggesting the recovery in the property sector remains frail.
Statistik Austria: Budgetdefizit stieg 2024 auf 4,7 Prozent (31.03.2025)
Mehr als deutlich hat Österreich im vergangenen Jahr die Maastricht-Grenze von drei Prozent des Budgetdefizits überschritten. Am Montag meldete die Statistik Austria einen Anstieg des gesamtstaatlichen Defizits auf 4,7 Prozent des BIP. Der Schuldenstand erhöhte sich damit um 22,6 Milliarden auf mehr als 394 Milliarden Euro. 2023 lag das Defizit noch bei 12,4 Milliarden Euro bzw. 2,6 Prozent des BIP. Für WIFO-Chef Gabriel Felbermayr sind diese Zahlen eine „enorme Negativüberraschung“.
Goldman Sees More Fed Cuts This Year as Tariffs Dent Growth (31.03.2025)
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists now forecast both the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank will cut interest rates three times this year as President Donald Trump’s tariffs weigh on economic growth.
Goldman Sees More Fed Cuts This Year as Tariffs Dent Growth (31.03.2025)
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists now forecast both the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank will cut interest rates three times this year as President Donald Trump’s tariffs weigh on economic growth.
ECB’s Lagarde Says Keeping Inflation in Check ‘Constant Battle’ (31.03.2025)
President Christine Lagarde said that the European Central Bank can’t relent on inflation, with the US administration’s trade policy creating uncertainty.
China gibt Banken Milliardenkapitalspritzen (30.03.2025)
US Employers Tap Brakes as Tariff Policy Dims Outlook (29.03.2025)
US employers probably tempered their hiring in March, just as consumers grow increasingly cautious and the economic outlook dims on concerns about the fallout from higher tariffs.
Trump Is Stripping Dollar of Its Haven Role in World Markets (28.03.2025)
As US stock prices tumbled this month, John Sidawi, a fund manager at Federated Hermes, noticed something strange.