#dieWIRTSCHAFTSPRAXIS-VW.THINKTANK I STATUS.QUO Q4/2025

China is willing to buy more Indian products to balance trade, Beijing’s Ambassador Xu Feihong said just ahead of a US tariff announcement expected to hit the south Asian neighbors.

Euro-area inflation eased further toward the European Central Bank’s 2% target as officials weigh whether or not to continue lowering interest rates.

Several European Central Bank officials are still wavering on whether to cut interest rates next month, according to people familiar with the matter, suggesting the meeting remains far more open than investors are betting.

China’s residential sales fell again in March, suggesting the recovery in the property sector remains frail.

Mehr als deutlich hat Österreich im vergangenen Jahr die Maastricht-Grenze von drei Prozent des Budgetdefizits überschritten. Am Montag meldete die Statistik Austria einen Anstieg des gesamtstaatlichen Defizits auf 4,7 Prozent des BIP. Der Schuldenstand erhöhte sich damit um 22,6 Milliarden auf mehr als 394 Milliarden Euro. 2023 lag das Defizit noch bei 12,4 Milliarden Euro bzw. 2,6 Prozent des BIP. Für WIFO-Chef Gabriel Felbermayr sind diese Zahlen eine „enorme Negativüberraschung“.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists now forecast both the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank will cut interest rates three times this year as President Donald Trump’s tariffs weigh on economic growth.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. economists now forecast both the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank will cut interest rates three times this year as President Donald Trump’s tariffs weigh on economic growth.

President Christine Lagarde said that the European Central Bank can’t relent on inflation, with the US administration’s trade policy creating uncertainty.

US employers probably tempered their hiring in March, just as consumers grow increasingly cautious and the economic outlook dims on concerns about the fallout from higher tariffs.

As US stock prices tumbled this month, John Sidawi, a fund manager at Federated Hermes, noticed something strange.

Chinese President Xi Jinping vowed to improve market access at a meeting with a group of global business leaders in Beijing, in an effort to boost investor sentiment as rising tariffs fuel uncertainty for the economy and international trade.

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Tom Barkin said rapid policy changes by the Trump administration have created “a sense of instability” in the business community, and the associated decline in sentiment could “quiet demand.”

Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said it looks “inevitable” that tariffs will boost inflation, at least in the near term, adding it’s likely appropriate to keep interest rates steady for longer.

Porsche AG and Mercedes-Benz Group AG will be hit hardest by President Donald Trump’s latest trade salvo, facing a potential €3.4 billion ($3.7 billion) blow from new US tariffs on imported cars.

Trump’s environmental directives are gutting basic protections for Americans and the agencies designed to deliver them.

President Donald Trump’s coming wave of tariffs is poised to be more targeted than the barrage he has occasionally threatened, aides and allies say, a potential relief for markets gripped by anxiety about an all-out tariff war.

WIFO und IHS erwarten wie schon die Österreichische Nationalbank (OeNB) das dritte Rezessionsjahr in Folge. Mit durchaus drastischen Worten appellierten die Wirtschaftsforscher an die Regierung, „mutige Strukturreformen“ umzusetzen, die auch schmerzhaft sein können. Für Pensionen wurden etwa Anpassungen unter der – weiterhin höheren Inflation – empfohlen. Fakt sei jedenfalls: „Wir werden ärmer.“

Die Oesterreichische Nationalbank (OeNB) hat ihre Wachstumsprognose für heuer und die kommenden Jahre spürbar zurückgenommen. Dennoch rechnet die OeNB damit, dass sich die heimische Wirtschaft heuer stabilisiert. Die Inflation soll erst auf längere Sicht sinken, für das Budget rechnet die OeNB mit einem Defizit von 3,8 Prozent – derzeit.

The European Union took steps to limit the amount of steel that can be imported into the bloc tariff-free as part of a broader effort to protect the sector from rising imports.

German business optimism rose to the highest level since June 2024 as Chancellor-in-waiting Friedrich Merz readies hundreds of billions of euros of spending to modernize the economy.

European Central Bank officials are playing for time on what to do at their next meeting, with Governing Council members from Estonia, Slovakia and Croatia highlighting the uncertainty created by global trade tensions.

Angesichts der deutlich schlechteren Wirtschaftsprognosen müssten ÖVP, SPÖ und Neos härter sparen als gedacht, um ein Defizitverfahren abzuwenden

Risks to euro-zone economic forecasts are more to the downside than the upside, according to European Central Bank Governing Council member Jose Luis Escriva.

BYD Co.’s sales last year surpassed the $100 billion mark, leapfrogging Elon Musk’s Tesla Inc. on revenue, as the Chinese auto giant wows consumers with a range of electric and hybrid cars packed with high-tech features.

Business activity in the euro area reached its highest level in seven months as manufacturers recovered more than expected ahead of a massive increase in German spending.

US economic data are diverging wildly, fueling a debate over whether rising anxiety from President Donald Trump’s trade policies will push a moderating economy into a serious downturn.

Two Federal Reserve officials on Friday echoed comments from Chair Jerome Powell earlier this week, downplaying the recent rise in a key measure of long-term inflation expectations but emphasizing the outlook is highly uncertain.

China’s imports of US cotton, cars and some energy products all plunged in the first two months of the year after President Donald Trump started imposing tariffs and Beijing retaliated.