Bill Gates and Steve Jobs were once interviewed on stage. The host pointed out that each man had built a defining company of their generations.
Gates responded: “Steve and I will always get more credit than we deserve, because otherwise the story gets too complicated.”
One of the reasons people discount the possibility of big, crazy events is that we assume big events need big causes. A huge recession, in our minds, must be caused by a huge, rare, risk hitting us at once.
But most big things – companies, events, careers, pandemics, etc – are just a bunch of small, random, boring things that compound at just the right time and explode into something bigger and more powerful than anyone imagined.