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Dueling Over Platforms
Dueling Over Platforms
Plus! De-Googling; Reshoring; Attribution; Volatility; The State of AI Workers; Diff Jobs
A market structure where there's opportunity for value creation at the level of individual companies and value destruction at the level of overall industries is a tricky situation.
Some of Microsoft's most profitable channel partners were pirates who ensured that Windows and Office would be standards even in developing-world countries where the sticker price for these products exceeded GDP per capita—at release, Windows 95 had a sticker price of $210 and Office '97, released in 1996, was priced at $599 if it wasn't an upgrade. China's GDP per capita crossed 800 in 1998; the market for full-priced software there was tiny
AI capabilities are improving far faster than our ability to intelligently reason about what these systems do, for example, but that sets a ceiling on productivity gains from using AI. If you can't reason about a system, it's hard to improve it.
It's exciting, but not especially fun. One big driver of this is the lag: the products that get announced now are the ones that have been in the works for months, and that's a long time in the AI world: "It seems like everyone is simultaneously extremely motivated and extremely close to burning out."
·thediff.co·
Dueling Over Platforms
The Path Dependence of YAML Templates
The Path Dependence of YAML Templates
Why did YAML templates come to dominate configuration? YAML was initially released a month after JSON (2001). A hypothesis is that YAML is not only popular because it is more human-readable/writable than JSON but also because it is significantly more machine writable as a raw string.
·blog.matt-rickard.com·
The Path Dependence of YAML Templates
No GPUs Before Product Market Fit
No GPUs Before Product Market Fit
Most AI-focused startups shouldn’t focus on training, fine-tuning, or otherwise making significant hardware investments (e.g., GPUs) before finding product market fit. (GPUs for inference is, of course, OK). In many cases, this is the wrong sequence for startups
·blog.matt-rickard.com·
No GPUs Before Product Market Fit
Tim Cook on Shaping the Future of Apple
Tim Cook on Shaping the Future of Apple
In a frank conversation, the Apple CEO offers new insight into his leadership—and explains how he has refashioned the world’s most creative company (from its privacy policy to its Oscar-winning movies to what’s coming next) on his own exacting terms.
·gq.com·
Tim Cook on Shaping the Future of Apple
The Future of Headless
The Future of Headless
James Mikrut (CEO, Payload CMS) and Steven Tey (Vercel) discuss what the future of headless looks like.Hit the links below for the repos featured in the vide...
·youtube.com·
The Future of Headless
Buyers in the Foundational Model Stack
Buyers in the Foundational Model Stack
Product teams and application engineers will be the buyers of the foundational model stack, not data teams. Why? Direct value without a data pipeline. Application engineers can get direct value out of LLMs without involving a data team. For a proof-of-concept or demo, all they have to do is build some infrastructure around a hosted foundational model. They don’t need access to the data warehouse since a tiny bit of copy-pasted data can validate an idea.
·blog.matt-rickard.com·
Buyers in the Foundational Model Stack
Relationship Liquidity
Relationship Liquidity
Haaave you met so-and-so?
The only way to avoid making these kinds of interactions cringey beyond all reason is to focus on value creation, never value capture. Be a genuine human being who wants to connect people because you like these people, and you think their lives will be better as the result of meeting each other. If you're doing it in hopes of getting value out of those people, go touch some grass, cause you might be a scrub.
"The most curious people I know are constantly paying attention to how things work. Creativity is often remixing the things around us, but in order to remix we have to experience. We take in information, experiences, and perspectives, and then roll them into something new. 'The whole is greater than the sum of the parts.'"
As I started to unpack some aspects of what seemed to be logical ways to increase relationship liquidity, these are the three things that came to mind for me, often because they come up when I'm talking to my superconnector friend:Natural Curiosity"Start Where They Are"Specialization
"Listening and understanding people's lives is a prerequisite. If you start where they are, not where you want them to be, the process goes smoother. Too often missionaries are focused on teaching rather than learning. You will need to learn where they are in order to teach what they need to progress."
But that's not how relationships are built. Relationships are built, first, from listening and understanding. Understanding where someone is in their life, what makes them tick, what are their hopes and dreams, and then finding ways to fit into that, and add value to their life. That's how relationships are made.
You need to be able to articulate why someone would want to know you, respond to you, or spend time with you.
And all of these things compound. The more curious you are, the more able you are to understand where a specific person is. And the better understanding you have of them, the more capable you are of articulating what you could do to bring value into their lives.
He shared these charts demonstrating where the curiosity phase exists along several adoption curves for new technology, and I think it’s pretty illustrative of the moment in time.
·investing1012dot0.substack.com·
Relationship Liquidity
How to Get Rich
How to Get Rich
A collection of all my interviews about my ‘How to Get Rich’ tweetstorm.  Seek Wealth, Not Money or Status Wealth is assets that earn while you sleep You probably know Naval from his Twitter account. We’re going to talk about his tweetstorm, “How To Get Rich (without getting lucky).” More
·nav.al·
How to Get Rich
Travis Fischer on Twitter
Travis Fischer on Twitter
A practical guide on how to use LLMs effectively: pic.twitter.com/ysv4ZnbDAU— Travis Fischer (@transitive_bs) April 3, 2023
·twitter.com·
Travis Fischer on Twitter
Reasons To Do a Startup
Reasons To Do a Startup
On Patrick Collison’s (the co-founder and CEO of Stripe) personal site, he has a page for “Advice.” It provides some life advice for readers aged 10-20, but under the 20-30 section, he puts, “If you're 20–30: I don't know yet. I plan to think about this when I'm 35-40.” I call this the
·blog.matt-rickard.com·
Reasons To Do a Startup
Bet-the-Company Ideas
Bet-the-Company Ideas
Plus! The Universal Second Language; Asset and Liability Management in Sports; Light Contagion; Buying Status; Shutting Down Banks
Microsoft made an aggressive pivot towards the Internet in the mid-90s. (Sample: "Amazingly, it is easier to find information on the Web than it is to find information on the Microsoft Corporate Network. This inversion where a public network solves a problem better than a private network is quite stunning."[1]
But this turns out to be the signature of a well-timed bet-the-company choice—new models are purely accretive only when they've been perfected somewhere else, so a company whose big bets aren't costly is a company that's catching up to somebody else's earlier bet that's already paying off.
The big late-stage pivots tend to look too early from the outside and to feel too late from the inside.
In retrospect, it's a gaping economic inefficiency, because as the more forgettable but important half of the Stewart Brand quote goes, "information sort of wants to be expensive because it is so valuable—the right information in the right place just changes your life
·thediff.co·
Bet-the-Company Ideas
Why Isn't Usage Based Billing A Bigger Category?
Why Isn't Usage Based Billing A Bigger Category?
Usage billing is the new hotness for SaaS, and I have personally seen the pain it caused, but I was ultimately scared off from investing in it.
It was possibly the most painful, yet high-revenue-impact work that an engineer could do. Over the course of >12 months we painstakingly instrumented every single part of the platform to not just work, but charge real money for the work we were doing. First we started metering bandwidth, the most obvious usage to charge for a web hosting company. Then, new charges for build minutes, quietly rolled out via email. Then over a year later, the journey ended with usage charges for everything else. (This happens to exactly match the main components of cloud businesses: Networking, Compute, and Storage)
·dev.to·
Why Isn't Usage Based Billing A Bigger Category?
Inside The Matrix Awakens: a vision for the future of real-time graphics
Inside The Matrix Awakens: a vision for the future of real-time graphics
For Digital Foundry, the highlight of The Game Awards wasn't actually an award as such or even a massive triple-A revea…
[UPDATE: After publication, Epic asked for a correction here, the original piece quoted Michal Valient as saying the data throughput is 10MB/s - it's 10MB per frame. At 30fps, this would be 300MB per second.]
A core philosophy of Unreal Engine has been the democratisation of core technologies, but also in enabling much bigger projects from smaller studios - including Epic's special projects team itself. "It's a small team, so we don't have the army of artists that comes with Fortnite," adds Jerome Platteux. "So we wanted to prove to the world that we can generate a large scale city with a small team and the best approach is a procedural system. So that means we use Houdini extensively. This is where we create all the recipes for the world."
·eurogamer.net·
Inside The Matrix Awakens: a vision for the future of real-time graphics
Usage as the Moat in AI by @ttunguz
Usage as the Moat in AI by @ttunguz
As generative AI captivates Startupland, startups will do what they have always done: integrate new technology to build transformative businesses. Incumbents have seized the moment with Microsoft, Adobe, & others integrating generative AI into their products quickest. In response, startups must develop moats to stake out their market. What are these moats? At the moment, capital & technical expertise create competitive advantage. Models require millions of dollars & technical expertise to deploy: document chunking, vectorization, prompt-tuning or plugins for better accuracy & breadth.
·tomtunguz.com·
Usage as the Moat in AI by @ttunguz
Consumption Pricing Units in AI
Consumption Pricing Units in AI
A look at some of the current consumption-based pricing units in AI (and some alternative ones). Consumption-based pricing units should fit the following general criteria: Relevant to the core functionality Easy to measure and understand Scalable and adaptable across customer segments
·blog.matt-rickard.com·
Consumption Pricing Units in AI
Reflections on 10,000 Hours of DevOps
Reflections on 10,000 Hours of DevOps
Some reflections after putting 10,000 hours into DevOps engineering. From my early adolescence doing sysadmin work, customizing my Arch Linux installation, to running a server in the closet of my college dorm (narrator: it was loud, and my email rarely delivered), to working on open-source DevOps at Google — I’ve probably put in many more hours. It’s hard to tell how many of those counted as Malcolm Gladwell’s “deliberate practice,” but these are the lessons learned nonetheless. (Also see my more general
·blog.matt-rickard.com·
Reflections on 10,000 Hours of DevOps
Read Old Books
Read Old Books
Occasionally, you come across something that really makes you think.
·collabfund.com·
Read Old Books
All Together Now
All Together Now
The Brooklyn Bridge was the largest structure in the western hemisphere when it opened in 1883.
·collabfund.com·
All Together Now
Mental Liquidity
Mental Liquidity
I recently heard a phrase I love: Mental liquidity.
·collabfund.com·
Mental Liquidity