Some back-of-the-envelope math to think about what the next few years will look like.
“Some back-of-the-envelope math to think about what the next few years will look like.
Assumptions: *average of 1 infection/person/yr *half of infections are asymptomatic *super-optimistic: symptomatic cases recover fully in one week (no long COVID etc.)
What happens? 1/4”
Great thread: