“How SARS-COV-2 spreads (Re) and why there are differences between countries ?
An explanation for kids based on the astonishing new study of @firefoxx66 @richardneher and colleagues”
“How SARS-COV-2 spreads (Re) and why there are differences between countries ?
An explanation for kids based on the astonishing new study of @firefoxx66 @richardneher and colleagues”
“We are in year six of the Covid pandemic, and patients are still struggling to access safe healthcare. Hospitals removed mask mandates, didn’t bother upgrading their air quality or ventilation, and stopped requiring staff to test or isolate for Covid.
As a result, Covid aware patients have to take enormous steps to protect themselves in the one place they should have a reasonable expectation of safety.”
December 14, 2024:
“Map of U.S. Covid transmission, per CDC data.
Bear in mind that reporting lags mean transmission has had 7 days to get worse.
Approximately 1 in 64 Americans are now actively infectious. “
Higher doses of SarsCov2 at exposure correlate with higher viral loads and severe symptoms in animals.
The more virus you are exposed to the more severe your disease. (HINT: masks work to lower viral loads)
59% of all transmission came pre/asymptomatic transmission,
35% presymptomatic individuals 24% asymptomatic.
“I politely asked her to wear it and told her I was immunocompromised. She rolled her eyes, held the mask in front of her face without actually putting it on. She leaned across me to hit the button, even though there was another set of buttons on the opposite side of the elevator. This felt like a deliberate attempt to violate my personal space and ensure I knew just how unhappy she was that I asked her to mask. As time went on and more people bought into the comfortable lie that COVID was over, it became harder to access safe medical care. Fewer and fewer staff were complying with mandates; eventually mandates were dropped altogether in favour of “mask-friendly” policies.”
COVID-19 hitches a ride on mucus to spread deep into lungs, live imaging shows.
Investigators observed that the movement of mucus can spread the COVID-19 virus inside the respiratory tract, where it later forms aerosols that infect other people.
“PMC COVID-19 Forecasting Model, Nov 11, 2024
We're starting to get out 1st glimpse of the shape of the winter wave.
🔸Expected transmission a month from now: 1.3 million daily infections 🔸Best-case: 0.7 million daily infections 🔸Worst-case: 1.8 million daily infections
There's nothing in the data yet to suggest the winter will be markedly different from last year, which is very bad news. Within 3 weeks, we'll have a much better sense of what path we're on and what the peak of the wave may look like, likely around NYE.”
study on COVID-19 in auditoriums found displacement ventilation minimized infection risk, while natural ventilation had highest spread.
Masks, shorter events, and lower occupancy helped reduce risks.
“Several Bay Area counties have reinstated mask mandates at health care facilities to coincide with the beginning of respiratory virus season.
Alameda, Contra Costa, Napa, San Francisco, San Mateo and Santa Clara counties, along with the City of Berkeley, have all issued health orders requiring the use of face masks in health care settings starting on November 1 and continuing through March 31, 2025.”
Shionogi just announced that their antiviral pill, ensitrelvir, significantly prevents COVID transmission!
Participants took the antiviral after known exposure.
October, 2024: “The UK's health body has warned that COVID-19 spreads ‘very easily through close contact with people who have the virus’ and you can still be infectious for ‘up to 10 days’”
“this study investigated the airborne transmission of respiratory diseases in the hospital elevator by comparison to the conference room.”
“The results showed that the infection probability in the elevator with 5 min was higher than that in the conference room with 50 min.”