December 14, 2024:
“Map of U.S. Covid transmission, per CDC data.
Bear in mind that reporting lags mean transmission has had 7 days to get worse.
Approximately 1 in 64 Americans are now actively infectious. “
59% of all transmission came pre/asymptomatic transmission,
35% presymptomatic individuals 24% asymptomatic.
“PMC COVID-19 Forecasting Model, Nov 11, 2024
We're starting to get out 1st glimpse of the shape of the winter wave.
🔸Expected transmission a month from now: 1.3 million daily infections 🔸Best-case: 0.7 million daily infections 🔸Worst-case: 1.8 million daily infections
There's nothing in the data yet to suggest the winter will be markedly different from last year, which is very bad news. Within 3 weeks, we'll have a much better sense of what path we're on and what the peak of the wave may look like, likely around NYE.”
October, 2024: “The UK's health body has warned that COVID-19 spreads ‘very easily through close contact with people who have the virus’ and you can still be infectious for ‘up to 10 days’”
