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Calm-mongering
Calm-mongering
“Both the Biden administration and its critics, faced with an impending wave of disease with the potential for mass death and disability, chose to spend their time focused on critiquing or defending the tone of the messaging. The comical absurdity of the situation belies the horrific public health failure. It was a mass mortality event without precedent in the history of the United States. Given that the level of concern of the public was likely to impact their degree of adoption of risk mitigation measures, this misplaced focus on urging calm, rather than masking and vaccination, was a deadly mistake. A more honest discussion about the risks could have saved lives. All the back-and-forth about whether fear was or was not being mongered distracted from the task at hand, which should have been (checks notes) protecting the public from Omicron BA.1.”
#calm-mongering#minimizing and outright propaganda#media and government lies#Arijit Chavravarty#T Ryan Gregory#analysis#Discussion#CDC failure
·open.substack.com·
Calm-mongering
(🧵NO ONE COULD HAVE PREDICTED THIS): To answer the question "What does the future hold for 𝑆𝐀𝑅𝑆-𝐂𝑂𝑉-𝟐?" it's worth examining how predictable its evolutionary trajectory has been so far. Evolution is stochastic, but stochastic processes can still yield predictions. (1/)
(🧵NO ONE COULD HAVE PREDICTED THIS): To answer the question "What does the future hold for 𝑆𝐀𝑅𝑆-𝐂𝑂𝑉-𝟐?" it's worth examining how predictable its evolutionary trajectory has been so far. Evolution is stochastic, but stochastic processes can still yield predictions. (1/)
“(🧵NO ONE COULD HAVE PREDICTED THIS): To answer the question "What does the future hold for 𝑆𝐀𝑅𝑆-𝐂𝑂𝑉-𝟐?" it's worth examining how predictable its evolutionary trajectory has been so far. Evolution is stochastic, but stochastic processes can still yield predictions. (1/)”
#analysis#Discussion#Covid Statistics#predictions#Arijit Chavravarty#Covid History#compilations#SarsCov2 evolutionary trajectory
·x.com·
(🧵NO ONE COULD HAVE PREDICTED THIS): To answer the question "What does the future hold for 𝑆𝐀𝑅𝑆-𝐂𝑂𝑉-𝟐?" it's worth examining how predictable its evolutionary trajectory has been so far. Evolution is stochastic, but stochastic processes can still yield predictions. (1/)
(🧵1/5, EMERGENCE): What happens to virulence after a new pathogen emerges? Popular thinking on the subject is that pathogens evolve become less virulent over time when they co-exist with their host species, based on the logic that virulent pathogens don't spread effectively.(1/)
(🧵1/5, EMERGENCE): What happens to virulence after a new pathogen emerges? Popular thinking on the subject is that pathogens evolve become less virulent over time when they co-exist with their host species, based on the logic that virulent pathogens don't spread effectively.(1/)
(🧵1/5, EMERGENCE): What happens to virulence after a new pathogen emerges? Popular thinking on the subject is that pathogens evolve become less virulent over time when they co-exist with their host species, based on the logic that virulent pathogens don't spread effectively.(1/)
#transmission#education#Discussion#analysis#Arijit Chavravarty#viral evolution#virulence
·x.com·
(🧵1/5, EMERGENCE): What happens to virulence after a new pathogen emerges? Popular thinking on the subject is that pathogens evolve become less virulent over time when they co-exist with their host species, based on the logic that virulent pathogens don't spread effectively.(1/)