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COVID activity is high, but Canada not 'remotely close' to worst days of the pandemic: experts
COVID activity is high, but Canada not 'remotely close' to worst days of the pandemic: experts

“I don’t think the majority of scientists who were looking at this early in 2020 or at the end of 2019 expected that, four years later, we’d be dealing with unrelenting waves of variants, which are immune evasive…

…We haven’t seen a widely distributed virus in recent human history that has had this property.”

“I don’t think the majority of scientists who were looking at this early in 2020 or at the end of 2019 expected that, four years later, we’d be dealing with unrelenting waves of variants, which are immune evasive,” Razak said. “We haven’t seen a widely distributed virus in recent human history that has had this property.”
·nationalpost.com·
COVID activity is high, but Canada not 'remotely close' to worst days of the pandemic: experts
Covid-19 was presented as a one and done infection, that ‘only’ killed the vulnerable, that didn’t harm kids, that was spread by droplets not air.
Covid-19 was presented as a one and done infection, that ‘only’ killed the vulnerable, that didn’t harm kids, that was spread by droplets not air.

“Covid-19 was presented as a one and done infection, that ‘only’ killed the vulnerable, that didn’t harm kids, that was spread by droplets not air. That vaccines would prevent. Now NONE of the above are true, we are floundering in denial with no plan. Covid is not over.”

·x.com·
Covid-19 was presented as a one and done infection, that ‘only’ killed the vulnerable, that didn’t harm kids, that was spread by droplets not air.
I genuinely thought there might be a momentary lull between the summer and autumn waves this year here.
I genuinely thought there might be a momentary lull between the summer and autumn waves this year here.

“I genuinely thought there might be a momentary lull between the summer and autumn waves this year here. But no. There's tons of infections around, and XEC (which seems to be able to reinfect due to the T22N mutation on the spike, growth below) is not hanging around.”

·x.com·
I genuinely thought there might be a momentary lull between the summer and autumn waves this year here.
The two main takeaways from this graph are the following:
The two main takeaways from this graph are the following:

Overall, fewer than 20% of COVID-19 deaths are being reported in these public places in all provinces (a bit higher in Quebec in fall/winter season, but not much).

Provinces are only reporting 20% of COVID deaths, that would mean that Alberta's 735 deaths in the last 12 months is actually around 3675. Which would be by far the #1 cause of death.

US record-keeping is similarly limited/skewed

·x.com·
The two main takeaways from this graph are the following:
Only 33% of hospitals in the U.S. submitted COVID data this week, which is similar to last week but down from 91% in May. This means actual case numbers and hospitalizations are substantially higher than reported.
Only 33% of hospitals in the U.S. submitted COVID data this week, which is similar to last week but down from 91% in May. This means actual case numbers and hospitalizations are substantially higher than reported.
“Only 33% of hospitals in the U.S. submitted COVID data this week, which is similar to last week but down from 91% in May. This means actual case numbers and hospitalizations are substantially higher than reported.”
·x.com·
Only 33% of hospitals in the U.S. submitted COVID data this week, which is similar to last week but down from 91% in May. This means actual case numbers and hospitalizations are substantially higher than reported.
Some back-of-the-envelope math to think about what the next few years will look like.
Some back-of-the-envelope math to think about what the next few years will look like.

“Some back-of-the-envelope math to think about what the next few years will look like.

Assumptions: *average of 1 infection/person/yr *half of infections are asymptomatic *super-optimistic: symptomatic cases recover fully in one week (no long COVID etc.)

What happens? 1/4”

Great thread:

·x.com·
Some back-of-the-envelope math to think about what the next few years will look like.