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I genuinely thought there might be a momentary lull between the summer and autumn waves this year here.
I genuinely thought there might be a momentary lull between the summer and autumn waves this year here.

“I genuinely thought there might be a momentary lull between the summer and autumn waves this year here. But no. There's tons of infections around, and XEC (which seems to be able to reinfect due to the T22N mutation on the spike, growth below) is not hanging around.”

·x.com·
I genuinely thought there might be a momentary lull between the summer and autumn waves this year here.
The two main takeaways from this graph are the following:
The two main takeaways from this graph are the following:

Overall, fewer than 20% of COVID-19 deaths are being reported in these public places in all provinces (a bit higher in Quebec in fall/winter season, but not much).

Provinces are only reporting 20% of COVID deaths, that would mean that Alberta's 735 deaths in the last 12 months is actually around 3675. Which would be by far the #1 cause of death.

US record-keeping is similarly limited/skewed

·x.com·
The two main takeaways from this graph are the following:
Only 33% of hospitals in the U.S. submitted COVID data this week, which is similar to last week but down from 91% in May. This means actual case numbers and hospitalizations are substantially higher than reported.
Only 33% of hospitals in the U.S. submitted COVID data this week, which is similar to last week but down from 91% in May. This means actual case numbers and hospitalizations are substantially higher than reported.
“Only 33% of hospitals in the U.S. submitted COVID data this week, which is similar to last week but down from 91% in May. This means actual case numbers and hospitalizations are substantially higher than reported.”
·x.com·
Only 33% of hospitals in the U.S. submitted COVID data this week, which is similar to last week but down from 91% in May. This means actual case numbers and hospitalizations are substantially higher than reported.
Some back-of-the-envelope math to think about what the next few years will look like.
Some back-of-the-envelope math to think about what the next few years will look like.

“Some back-of-the-envelope math to think about what the next few years will look like.

Assumptions: *average of 1 infection/person/yr *half of infections are asymptomatic *super-optimistic: symptomatic cases recover fully in one week (no long COVID etc.)

What happens? 1/4”

Great thread:

·x.com·
Some back-of-the-envelope math to think about what the next few years will look like.