Today we’ll continue reviewing Peter Turchin’s new book End Times, which describes his theory of “cliodynamics” and how elite overproduction tends to precede societal crises. As with Neil Howe and George Friedman,
Everything about human life has a rhythm. It is literally built into our bodies: Your heart beats in a repeating pattern that keeps you alive. Your breath is another pattern. Repetition is natural for all of us individually and for the societies we create together. Every society has its own rhythms and traditions.
Today we continue our study of the historical cycles suggesting a major crisis is in our near-term (5‒8 years) future. We don’t know the precise timing or nature of the crisis, but the patterns indicate one is coming and could be severe.
Israel’s challenges in striking Iran’s nuclear sites
Israel and Iran used to be partners, until 1979. Since then, following the Islamic revolution, there has been a conflict between them. Iran’s nuclear program is getting closer to producing nuclear weapons. It is a top concern for Israel, since Iran had threatened to destroy Israel. The latter, according to non – Israeli sources, has […]
Nasrallah says Israel ‘will cease to exist’ if war erupts, as rhetoric escalates
Hezbollah chief responds to Israeli defense minister's warnings against Lebanon during recent border tensions, claims IDF 'in its worst shape in history'
Israel-Hezbollah tensions elevate risks of conflict
An escalating war of words between Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon echoes heightened tension at the border, with each vowing to return the other to the stone age and preparing for a possible conflict even as they deny seeking one.
Will China, Russia, and North Korea Launch Their Nukes?
Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, and Kim Jong Un see the world in the same terms, and they all realize that none of them will accomplish their goals unless they get the United States out of the way. Perhaps of greatest concern is that all three regimes
More Young People Are Getting Cancer, And We Don't Know Why
Cancer is a horrible diagnosis to receive at any age, but an apparent rise in the rate of cancers among young adults uncovered by a recent study is posing a concerning mystery epidemiologists are especially keen to solve.
No let-up in China nuclear weapons expansion, Stratcom general says
China is showing no let-up in the rapid expansion of its nuclear forces and now joins Russia in posing a dual threat to American strategic deterrence of a nuclear conflict, the commander of the U.S. S
Iranian Political Analyst Emad Abshenas: Iran Has Enough Uranium To Produce 15 Nuclear Bombs
Iranian political analyst Emad Abshenas discussed his country's nuclear program on an August 12, 2023 show on Asharq News (Saudi Arabia). He said that before the nuclear deal was signed, Iran had enough uranium to produce 20 nuclear bombs and it now has enough uranium to produce 10-15 bombs if it only wanted to. Abshenas said that Iran doesn't want to produce nuclear weapons, but it has technology and science to do so if it wanted to. He suggests that Iran might be using its nuclear program as a bargaining chip so that the other side lifts its sanctions.
The Chinese Slide Into Deflation (The Final Straw?) || Peter Zeihan
The current Chinese system has been staring down the barrel of a number of serious challenges for quite a while now, and this new economic data just took the...
U.S. Military Systems Infected by Chinese Malware: How Deep Does It Run? - CPO Magazine
Anonymous officials from the Biden administration have told the New York Times that Chinese malware has been planted in the networks that control the critical infrastructure of military bases. The "ticking time bomb" could potentially cripple military systems in the event of a conflict between the two countries.
Japan’s Military Is Getting Ready to Take on a Rising China
Japan’s Ministry of Defense uses annual white papers to survey the country’s strategic surroundings and explain how it means to manage them. Its latest such survey shows Tokyo upping its g
Mark B. Schneider, The Death of the New START Treaty, No. 560, August 7, 2023
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The Death of the New START Treaty
Dr. Mark SchneiderDr. Mark B. Schneider is a Senior Analyst with
Every aspect of American life and culture is under assault, including the very processes by which we govern ourselves, and the manner in which we live.
Gatestone Institute senior fellow Gordon Chang explains why he believes the Biden administration is ‘clueless’ for thinking they are at peace with the rest o...