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Iran’s New Nuclear Threat | Foreign Affairs
Iran’s New Nuclear Threat | Foreign Affairs

Key Points of the Article:

  • Iran's New Strategy: Iran is using its advanced nuclear capabilities (being a "threshold state") as a deterrent against attacks and sanctions.
  • Threats and Rhetoric: Iran has threatened to build nuclear weapons if Israel or the US attacks its nuclear facilities or reimposes sanctions.
  • Risks of the Strategy:
    • This strategy may lead Iran to actually build nuclear weapons.
    • It increases tensions and risks miscalculation leading to war.
    • International inspectors may not be able to properly monitor Iran's program.
  • Recommendations for US and Allies:
    • Increase diplomatic pressure to convince Iran not to build a bomb.
    • Strengthen monitoring and intelligence capabilities.
    • Prepare consequences for Iranian nuclear provocations.
    • Work on a new diplomatic agreement with Iran before October 2025 deadline.
·archive.md·
Iran’s New Nuclear Threat | Foreign Affairs
The real danger of Iran linking Hezbollah to Gaza - analysis
The real danger of Iran linking Hezbollah to Gaza - analysis
Although this is not a direct parallel, it’s worth considering how the current crisis has some commonalities with the First World War and the failed concepts that led Europe into a massive conflagration in 1914.
·jpost.com·
The real danger of Iran linking Hezbollah to Gaza - analysis
Israel Faces a Second-Front in Lebanon
Israel Faces a Second-Front in Lebanon
Israel is on the brink of having to fight Iranian-backed terrorists on a second front, in Lebanon. In the last six months, more than 100,000 civilians on both sides of the border have been displaced f
·realclearworld.com·
Israel Faces a Second-Front in Lebanon
Are we heading for World War Three?
Are we heading for World War Three?
Doomsday pendulum swings back towards Middle East after Iran crosses red line in bombarding Israeli territory
·theweek.com·
Are we heading for World War Three?
The Coming Conflict with Hezbollah
The Coming Conflict with Hezbollah
Although the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza has captured the world’s attention, there is a serious risk of war between Israel and Hezbollah, according to a new assessment by CSIS.
·csis.org·
The Coming Conflict with Hezbollah
Israel’s Escalation with Hezbollah: Possible Scenarios | Geopolitical Monitor
Israel’s Escalation with Hezbollah: Possible Scenarios | Geopolitical Monitor

There’s a risk of cascading conflicts in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen, along with the possibility of Iran’s full armed support. Even the potential use of chemical and biological weapons cannot be ruled out in light of reports that Hezbollah has already been transporting chemical weapons from Syria.

·geopoliticalmonitor.com·
Israel’s Escalation with Hezbollah: Possible Scenarios | Geopolitical Monitor
War Between Israel and Hezbollah Is Now Inevitable
War Between Israel and Hezbollah Is Now Inevitable

It is likely that there is going to be a war between Hezbollah and Israel within the next six to eight months.

So, either Nasrallah will order his forces north to the Litani River, or the IDF will force them back. Hezbollah will resist because that is what it purports to do—and what better way to burnish its tattered domestic credentials? It is unlikely there is any way to hold off war now.

·archive.is·
War Between Israel and Hezbollah Is Now Inevitable